Winter Weather Discussion
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Brent
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#7341 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 18, 2021 6:13 pm
Iceresistance wrote:Brent wrote:BrokenGlass wrote:You know, funny thing is I’m a bit disappointed about the snow total at my house. I got at best 4 inches overall this week. Enough for some sledding and for the kid to play, but it still seems DFW is get the short straw.
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I wouldn't say I'm disappointed(
mostly because of my chases in Abilene/Waco) but I definitely noticed how again DFW got less
Well, you could have chased in Oklahoma (10 inch snowstorm & 8 inches 2 days after!), but Waco & Abilene is closer to your home anyway . . .
And also, I found a 3-foot Snowdrift in the Ditch today while clearing out some of the snow from the driveway, there was so much snow, it looked like the Driveway was so much bigger!
yeah but big difference from the other chases, the roads were basically impassable had I chased this week. When I went to Abilene/Waco the roads were wet. I never really considered it because of that plus like I said I was pretty ok with whatever happened as long as DFW broke the streak
just to see DFW with a snowstorm in the mid teens and those strong winds was impressive in its own right. I did expect a little more snow on Wednesday but it is what it is
Last edited by
Brent on Thu Feb 18, 2021 6:23 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Iceresistance
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#7342 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 18, 2021 6:21 pm
cheezyWXguy wrote:Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:
I wouldn't say I'm disappointed(mostly because of my chases in Abilene/Waco) but I definitely noticed how again DFW got less
I can't complain about 4-6" on the ground for about a week but hey north, south, east, west all got a foot

. Dry hole curse does exist!
The bill will come due. Places that get a foot mother natures takes on a snow drought for a decade. we paid hard.
Is it actually possible to get a storm track/evolution that results in an accumulation maximum in dfw? It seems that either a coastal low handoff or just a track that’s plain too far north would prevail instead
The Snowfall Forecast almost
always has me as the bullsye zone for snow. Maybe I'm the curse?

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
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somethingfunny
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#7343 Postby somethingfunny » Thu Feb 18, 2021 6:24 pm
cheezyWXguy wrote:Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:
I wouldn't say I'm disappointed(mostly because of my chases in Abilene/Waco) but I definitely noticed how again DFW got less
I can't complain about 4-6" on the ground for about a week but hey north, south, east, west all got a foot

. Dry hole curse does exist!
The bill will come due. Places that get a foot mother natures takes on a snow drought for a decade. we paid hard.
Is it actually possible to get a storm track/evolution that results in an accumulation maximum in dfw? It seems that either a coastal low handoff or just a track that’s plain too far north would prevail instead
Were you here on February 11, 2010?
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I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
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cheezyWXguy
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#7344 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Feb 18, 2021 6:46 pm
somethingfunny wrote:cheezyWXguy wrote:Ntxw wrote:I can't complain about 4-6" on the ground for about a week but hey north, south, east, west all got a foot

. Dry hole curse does exist!
The bill will come due. Places that get a foot mother natures takes on a snow drought for a decade. we paid hard.
Is it actually possible to get a storm track/evolution that results in an accumulation maximum in dfw? It seems that either a coastal low handoff or just a track that’s plain too far north would prevail instead
Were you here on February 11, 2010?
I was! But I didn’t know very much about pattern recognition back then. How did that setup manage to favor the metroplex, and is it possible to have a similar setup and colder, less borderline temps?
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Ntxw
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#7345 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 18, 2021 7:00 pm
cheezyWXguy wrote:somethingfunny wrote:cheezyWXguy wrote:Is it actually possible to get a storm track/evolution that results in an accumulation maximum in dfw? It seems that either a coastal low handoff or just a track that’s plain too far north would prevail instead
Were you here on February 11, 2010?
I was! But I didn’t know very much about pattern recognition back then. How did that setup manage to favor the metroplex, and is it possible to have a similar setup and colder, less borderline temps?
Take the 2009 Christmas Eve blizzard bowling ball, move the ULL track over Waco to Austin instead of over DFW and cash in. Had we not dry slotted totals would have been much higher. Northern stream phasing would make for the best set up. Relying just on southern stream often ends up with strong gulf lows.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2009/us1224.php
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Captmorg70
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#7347 Postby Captmorg70 » Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:24 pm
Finally have power after 54 hours of no power and 90 of 96 hrs out of power!!

This is my current thoughts after the cold outbreak!!
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Quixotic
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#7348 Postby Quixotic » Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:28 pm
Anybody been to the grocery store lately? lol
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Shoshana
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#7349 Postby Shoshana » Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:31 pm
81.5 hours after we lost power we finally got it back. No internet but finally have cell phone internet. Water is just a trickle downstairs and none upstairs. Boil water notice of course. Stocked up on water last week so ok there. So many neighbors have no water
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Brent
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#7350 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:34 pm
Quixotic wrote:Anybody been to the grocery store lately? lol
Lol I work at Walmart but I haven't worked since Saturday went up there today and I swear an EF5 hit grocery
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HockeyTx82
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#7351 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:37 pm
Glad they got you all fixed up. Sure has been an interesting few days to say the least. Us Ponder folk just figure out a way. Small towns are great, pros and cons, but I must admit with all that's gone on over the past year I'm glad to be out here.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Quixotic
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#7352 Postby Quixotic » Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:07 pm
Brent wrote:Quixotic wrote:Anybody been to the grocery store lately? lol
Lol I work at Walmart but I haven't worked since Saturday went up there today and I swear an EF5 hit grocery
Dude, Target had every perishable item gone. I got pictures it was soo absurd.
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gpsnowman
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#7353 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:18 pm
Quixotic wrote:Brent wrote:Quixotic wrote:Anybody been to the grocery store lately? lol
Lol I work at Walmart but I haven't worked since Saturday went up there today and I swear an EF5 hit grocery
Dude, Target had every perishable item gone. I got pictures it was soo absurd.
Kroger yesterday was a zoo. Never seen so many empty shelves. I was buying for 8 people so I had to find alternatives. We managed and my in laws went home today to a home with power and heat. It has been one memorable week. One more cold day then the weekend clean up begins. I would like to be the owner of a few area car washes. One can imagine the lines of vehicles needing a wash after all this. I think I will wait a few days to avoid the inevitable rush.
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UTSARoadrunner4
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#7354 Postby UTSARoadrunner4 » Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:44 pm
Quixotic wrote:Anybody been to the grocery store lately? lol
Never been so happy to have a Costco’s membership until Tuesday afternoon. HEB in Leon Springs got shut down while I was in line. Walmart & Sam’s also closed before sunset. Costco’s, however, looked like it hadn’t been touched.
I work for HEB Home Delivery. We’re shut down until next week but we have the option to work at the stores. To be honest I’m a little afraid of working in the store during this time, but we’ll see what happens.
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jasons2k
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#7356 Postby jasons2k » Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:46 pm
katheria wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Anyone catch Larry Cosgrove's mid-day facebook update
Says there could be a new arctic intrusion that favors frozen precip for N. Texas in the Feb 28-March 3 time frame.
So can someone post this to thread. I'm going to buying a generator this time around. No power in the cold, or anytime, is not fun.
Buy the biggest you can afford...the little 2000 watt we have is not enough....
But at least we had it...it would run a small room heater tv and dvd that was it.
And buy 2x the amount of gas you think you will need
.
Check out our forum on Storm2k for preparation tips. Lots of info. on generators in this forum:
viewforum.php?f=30
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Iceresistance
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#7357 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:58 pm
It's already down in the Teens here right now, this will be the Last Night in the Single Digits in February, & maybe the entire Winter Season 2020-2021
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
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hriverajr
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#7358 Postby hriverajr » Thu Feb 18, 2021 10:01 pm
rwfromkansas wrote:BrokenGlass wrote:You know, funny thing is I’m a bit disappointed about the snow total at my house. I got at best 4 inches overall this week. Enough for some sledding and for the kid to play, but it still seems DFW is get the short straw.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
Well, I was a good sport about my 4.5 to 5 inches.
Until Del Rio got 9 today. I mean, come on. But, it is the first real snow IMBY since we moved to this house in 2015, so I can’t complain. Just nice to have something decent.
Del Rio officially got 11.2
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jasons2k
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#7359 Postby jasons2k » Fri Feb 19, 2021 12:29 am
hriverajr wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:BrokenGlass wrote:You know, funny thing is I’m a bit disappointed about the snow total at my house. I got at best 4 inches overall this week. Enough for some sledding and for the kid to play, but it still seems DFW is get the short straw.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
Well, I was a good sport about my 4.5 to 5 inches.
Until Del Rio got 9 today. I mean, come on. But, it is the first real snow IMBY since we moved to this house in 2015, so I can’t complain. Just nice to have something decent.
Del Rio officially got 11.2
That broke the record! What an amazing outbreak!
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weatherdude1108
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#7360 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Feb 19, 2021 8:41 am
Good news from NWS for tired souls.
They are talking about Friday night/Saturday morning.
We are happy to say this should be the last night below freezing for at least the next week and the last night residents should keep pipes protected.https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
Last edited by
weatherdude1108 on Fri Feb 19, 2021 9:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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