Texas Winter 2010-2011

[Ntxw]

Canadian is so so. Keeps a lot of the moisture in Oklahoma and the Arklatex which mostly bypasses DFW. On a better note! Wxman57's 80 degree weather may just be around the corner next week! That 20c isotherm is rearing it's head into northern Mexico!!!

[cheezyWXguy]

Canadian is so so. Keeps a lot of the moisture in Oklahoma and the Arklatex which mostly bypasses DFW. On a better note! Wxman57's 80 degree weather may just be around the corner next week! That 20c isotherm is rearing it's head into northern Mexico!!!

God, what happened to this?? Yesterday was looking like a surefire thing for a biggie, and now each run is worse than the last. Is this this all happening merely because of the delay of arrival of the arctic air?

[Ntxw]

God, what happened to this?? Yesterday was looking like a surefire thing for a biggie, and now each run is worse than the last. Is this this all happening merely because of the delay of arrival of the arctic air?

That and the models are wanting to shear it out as it comes through. We are still well out though. And every storm has had this problem in the model world this season, it will come back strong. Don't trust them yet. They still show snow, just not the prolific amounts as before, for now...

The UKMET and some SREF members have a good hit for Abilene-DFW.

[srainhoutx]

HPC: Waiting on Euro before making any changes. (Model Diagnostic Discussions)

...WAVE DROPPING THROUGH THE WESTERN STATES EARLY DAY 2...

PRELIMINARY PREFERENCE: PENDING 12Z/06 ECMWF

THE NAM...GFS...GEM GLOBAL...AND UKMET ARE ALL LESS SHARP WITH
THIS WAVE ONCE IT TRANSLATES TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY DAY 3
THAN THE 00Z/06 ECMWF. CONSIDERING THE TRENDING THE MODELS HAVE
SHOWN WITH THE HANDLING OF THIS SYSTEM...WILL WAIT FOR THE 12Z/06
ECMWF TO MAKE A CALL HERE.


...ARCTIC FRONT DIPPING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST DAY 3...

PRELIMINARY PREFERENCE: PENDING 12Z/06 ECMWF

THE NAM AND UKMET ARE SLIGHTLY LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THIS WAVE THAN
THE 00Z/06 ECMWF...WITH THE GFS AND GEM GLOBAL OFFERING THE
FLATTEST OF THE SOLUTIONS. WITH THE ONGOING SPREAD IN THE
MODELS...WILL WAIT FOR THE 12Z/06 ECMWF TO MAKE A CALL HERE.

[iorange55]

Euro please keep the hope alive for a foot of snow! It's looking a lot less likely, though. The models might come back to what they were showing a day or two ago...it wouldn't be the first time.

[cheezyWXguy]

Euro please keep the hope alive for a foot of snow! It's looking a lot less likely, though. The models might come back to what they were showing a day or two ago...it wouldn't be the first time.

When does it come out?

[txagwxman]

Canadian is so so. Keeps a lot of the moisture in Oklahoma and the Arklatex which mostly bypasses DFW. On a better note! Wxman57's 80 degree weather may just be around the corner next week! That 20c isotherm is rearing it's head into northern Mexico!!!

It will get warm next week.
I remember in Feb 1996 it was 94F in College Station, and the next week it was 16F.

[iorange55]

Euro please keep the hope alive for a foot of snow! It's looking a lot less likely, though. The models might come back to what they were showing a day or two ago...it wouldn't be the first time.

When does it come out?

It's coming out right now!

[txagwxman]

Latest ECMWF is a tad slower with the front into SE TX on Wednesday...so sleet/ice threat is less for CLL. But I still think the front will come in faster than what the ECMWF advertises--as almost all Arctic fronts do.

I wouldn't be surprised to see rain/snow mix FTW later this evening.

[Brandon8181]

Euro please keep the hope alive for a foot of snow! It's looking a lot less likely, though. The models might come back to what they were showing a day or two ago...it wouldn't be the first time.

When does it come out?

It's coming out right now!

As we have generally seen with every winter storm this season long range generally has shown "good agreement". Then in medium range it backs off a little bit and then in the 24/36 hour time frame prior to the event things start to become in more agreement again.

I'm sure this is likely the case with the current models based on whats been happening. We will see what happens though.

[Parker_County1]

Another busted forecast! Today they forecast a high of 44°. It's still sunny here and 51°. What happened to the clouds? Maybe the air is very dry. The clouds look like they are evaporating as they get here.

[Ntxw]

ECMWF = DFW: 0.12 rain, then 0.21 transition (don't know how much is snow/mix), then 0.02 snow.

[srainhoutx]

12Z Euro @ hour 72...



Hour 96...

[katheria]

"""""""""As we have generally seen with every winter storm this season long range generally has shown "good agreement". Then in medium range it backs off a little bit and then in the 24/36 hour time frame prior to the event things start to become in more agreement again.

I'm sure this is likely the case with the current models based on whats been happening. We will see what happens though."""""""


i sure hope so... looking forward to one last winter blast for the year...

[cheezyWXguy]

ECMWF = DFW: 0.12 rain, then 0.21 transition (don't know how much is snow/mix), then 0.02 snow.

ouch...

[Ntxw]

I say we cling to the Ukmet and JMA . Talk about -removed-

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

I say we cling to the Ukmet and JMA . Talk about -removed-

What are those models showing for Tue night into Wed???!!

[iorange55]

I say we cling to the Ukmet and JMA . Talk about -removed-

Always trust in the JMA! But really I think the models might come back I sure hope so! Looks like this might be the last winter threat for us till next winter. I need to see some more snow falling before we get 100 degree days.

[Brandon8181]

I say we cling to the Ukmet and JMA . Talk about -removed-

Always trust in the JMA! But really I think the models might come back I sure hope so! Looks like this might be the last winter threat for us till next winter. I need to see some more snow falling before we get 100 degree days.

I wouldn't mind seeing a bit more snow. I love watching it fall - its so pretty. At the same time I hate the financial impacts it sometimes, but that snow Friday was beautiful.

After this winter weather event, I'll likely start getting ready for Spring and storm spotting.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

iorange55 I've found the perfect video to cool you folks off (be sure to watch it to the very end). [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gU7Fz0sSh68[/youtube] Hissssss Als! (the video is safe for all ages) Video was shot in the fall.