Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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Gotwood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#781 Postby Gotwood » Fri Dec 12, 2025 9:26 pm

We don’t make assumptions for cold 2 weeks out so we shouldn’t be doing it with warmth. Especially with all the cold and snow pack up north.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#782 Postby Brent » Fri Dec 12, 2025 11:48 pm

Lol even the TV met is posting the record highs for Christmas. Never a great sign

Maybe this will go like when they hype snow here and it doesn't happen :spam:
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#783 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Dec 13, 2025 12:00 am

I know its the GFS long range lol, but it it showing some pretty big changes just a day or two after christmas, very strong poleward - EPO ridging and se ridge starts to flatten somewhat
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Golfisnoteasy75
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#784 Postby Golfisnoteasy75 » Sat Dec 13, 2025 12:10 am

Stratton23 wrote:I know its the GFS long range lol, but it it showing some pretty big changes just a day or two after christmas, very strong poleward - EPO ridging and se ridge starts to flatten somewhat

Stratton, the eps was hinting at that also with the epo. If the gefs and eps start to show it consistently, then watch out below!!
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#785 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 13, 2025 12:12 am

I'm just hoping January is good at this point :lol: i do have some hope there

I have zero confidence in Christmas not being warm. There's too many signals and people talking about it. For one thing the GFS was an absolute embarrassment during Melissa inside a week! So if we're pinning our hopes on it yikes
Last edited by Brent on Sat Dec 13, 2025 12:14 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#786 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Dec 13, 2025 12:13 am

Golfisnteasy75 possibly, but i wouldn’t get excited, ita probably gone on the next run, but hey when the pattern looks like an absolute snoozefest, what else is their to talk about lol? But still worth watching how ensembles trend with the telconnections
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#787 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Dec 13, 2025 12:14 am

Brent yup, gold old GFS lol, but hey when you got a boring pattern like this, i just figure bringing up what long range models show will at least keep the thread from going dormant hahaha
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