#84 Postby jimvb » Tue Oct 28, 2008 9:15 pm
This is an interesting chart. It shows that in the winter (February, March, April) ice has been less each year from 2005-2007, and then all at once it jumps higher again in 2008. In the summer (August, September, October), the deviant years are 2007-8, the most recent, when record lows were hit and the Northwest Passage opened up for the first time in history. What is also notable is that in the spring (May, June, July) and in the fall (November, December, January), the ice levels are practically the same for all years.
From what I gather from this, with 2008 winter as an outlier, the ice has been shrinking at the solstices but has been staying the same during the equinoxes. This tells me that man-made global warming is at work, but it has many negative feedback loops, for example, a low summer ice cover causes more precipitation through evaporation on the open water, and much of this turns into snow, which reflects light from the Sun. This in turn leads to cold, and then more snow and so forth. So this accounts for rapid recovery of ice from record lows. The action of global warming thus is complex and erratic.
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