Texas Winter 2010-2011

[vbhoutex]

Ok, am I crazy(don't answer that!)or does that show the main low "relocating" more to the SW towards the Big Bend area? If so, it seems to me that unless it makes a sharp left turn that could be a major game changer for tomorrow. Tell me what am I missing?

[downsouthman1]

Ok, am I crazy(don't answer that!)or does that show the main low "relocating" more to the SW towards the Big Bend area? If so, it seems to me that unless it makes a sharp left turn that could be a major game changer for tomorrow. Tell me what am I missing?

That's what I'm getting at. I...it must be a model fluke.

[wall_cloud]

This is what has had me concerned all day...

[Ntxw]

Ok, am I crazy(don't answer that!)or does that show the main low "relocating" more to the SW towards the Big Bend area? If so, it seems to me that unless it makes a sharp left turn that could be a major game changer for tomorrow. Tell me what am I missing?

That's the surface low. It was always shown to traverse from the big bend and to the coastal Texas. It's the mechanism to throw moisture from the gulf northwards. The ULL is forecast to track along I-20 in Texas for now, we'll have to wait and see. Where the two meet is the location of the wintry precip.

This thing even has the HPC under doing it if I'm seeing it correctly.



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[CaptinCrunch]

Based on that map Texas is coming to an end, well it was nice knowing all you....

[wall_cloud]

Surface pressure, in millibars (mb).

pressure converted to sea level.

[South Texas Storms]

Surface pressure, in millibars (mb).

pressure converted to sea level.

Oh you're right. Sorry I'm currently in the process of learning this in college.

[txagwxman]

The temperatures behind this front seem way colder than they were behind last weeks.

There is going to be some "shock" in the morning.

25F NW Austin at daybreak. 19F Waco, 17F Dallas.
22F in Austin by 9AM?

[Turtle]

Based on that map Texas is coming to an end, well it was nice knowing all you....

What map? I can't read anything. Is this whole snow event not gonna come true? The trends from NAM and GFS is less and less snow.

[kb75007]

Surface pressure, in millibars (mb).

pressure converted to sea level.

If the pressure is lower (or the number) does that mean that the cold air lifts more? (im still learning so dont laugh!)

[downsouthman1]

Ok, am I crazy(don't answer that!)or does that show the main low "relocating" more to the SW towards the Big Bend area? If so, it seems to me that unless it makes a sharp left turn that could be a major game changer for tomorrow. Tell me what am I missing?

That's the surface low. It was always shown to traverse from the big bend and to the coastal Texas. It's the mechanism to throw moisture from the gulf northwards. The ULL is forecast to track along I-20 in Texas for now, we'll have to wait and see. Where the two meet is the location of the wintry precip.

This thing even has the HPC under doing it if I'm seeing it correctly.

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True as that may be, it's starting to appear to me that the trajectories are off.

[South Texas Storms]

The temperatures behind this front seem way colder than they were behind last weeks.

There is going to be some "shock" in the morning.

25F NW Austin at daybreak. 19F Waco, 17F Dallas.
22F in Austin by 9AM?

Where are you getting those temps from? The latest NAM?

[iorange55]

Based on that map Texas is coming to an end, well it was nice knowing all you....

What map? I can't read anything. Is this whole snow event not gonna come true? The trends from NAM and GFS is less and less snow.

It's going to become true...but the story might be more of a bestseller.

[txagwxman]

The temperatures behind this front seem way colder than they were behind last weeks.

There is going to be some "shock" in the morning.

25F NW Austin at daybreak. 19F Waco, 17F Dallas.
22F in Austin by 9AM?

Where are you getting those temps from? The latest NAM?

Yes and then I fudge them to what I think will happen. Been calling this all day long...but no one seems to believe me.

[Ntxw]

This DFW temperature forecast from the NWS might be in jeopardy.

Wednesday: Snow, mainly before noon. Temperature falling to around 19 by 5pm. Wind chill values between 6 and 16. Windy, with a north northwest wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

[South Texas Storms]

What do you mean no one txag, I've been believing you all along!
I'm expecting some sleet here in CLL!

[txagwxman]

What do you mean no one txag, I've been believing you all along!
I'm expecting some sleet here in CLL!

Probably freezing drizzle/fzrn/ip.

[kb75007]

This DFW temperature forecast from the NWS might be in jeopardy.

Wednesday: Snow, mainly before noon. Temperature falling to around 19 by 5pm. Wind chill values between 6 and 16. Windy, with a north northwest wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Do you not think it will get that cold or do you think it will get colder?

[South Texas Storms]

What do you mean no one txag, I've been believing you all along!
I'm expecting some sleet here in CLL!

Probably freezing drizzle/fzrn/ip.

So a mixed bag of wintry precip. at about 9 am with a temp. of 25 F?

[TrekkerCC]

This DFW temperature forecast from the NWS might be in jeopardy.

Wednesday: Snow, mainly before noon. Temperature falling to around 19 by 5pm. Wind chill values between 6 and 16. Windy, with a north northwest wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Do you not think it will get that cold or do you think it will get colder?

If the front gets to DFW quicker (by 1am to 3am) than what the model projects, we could be in the mid-teens by 5PM tomorrow.

This is not a forecast, just speculation on what a faster front will do to the temperatures.