Texas Winter 2010-2011

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
northtxboy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Age: 43
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:50 pm
Location: Windom Tx
Contact:

#881 Postby northtxboy » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:18 pm

Thats correct I do think the low will move slower than expected and be alittle farther north,,now why it is I think for sure we will get snow/ice sunday night and monday is because this storm will pull down the colder air and when the low starts to pass we will get the wrap around rain mixing with the colder air on the backside of the low.
0 likes   

User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4080
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

#882 Postby gboudx » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:21 pm

I see, thanks. I'm all for that happening, as are the area schoolkids to get a snow day. :)
0 likes   

DFW Stormwatcher
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 240
Age: 54
Joined: Sun Dec 27, 2009 10:35 pm
Location: Keller, Tx

#883 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:22 pm

You know, I think the guys at NWS in OKC would agree with you a bit on that last point. It's always interesting to see the differences between offices. Alot more snow in the forecast 1/2 mile north of the oklahoma border as opposed to a half mile south of the border in Denison. Hourly graph shows. almost an inch north of the border, all rain 1 mile to the south in Texas.
Denison's forecast is virtually identical to Frisco's where I live.

Such a thin temperature gradient between it happening or not. Won't know for sure until we see white stuff falling down Monday :D

Still not a snowstorm, but snow none the less.
Last edited by DFW Stormwatcher on Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:27 pm, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes   
Disclaimer: This is not an official weather forecast. I am only an amateur weather enthusiast therefore any weather forecasts or opinions should be taken with a grain of salt. Hook em Horns!

User avatar
Kelarie
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1074
Age: 54
Joined: Mon Dec 20, 2004 1:18 pm
Location: Hobbs, NM

Re:

#884 Postby Kelarie » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:22 pm

gboudx wrote:I see, thanks. I'm all for that happening, as are the area schoolkids to get a snow day. :)


Hey I am all for adults getting a snow day from work :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
iorange55
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2388
Joined: Thu Nov 13, 2008 9:47 pm
Location: Big D

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#885 Postby iorange55 » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:23 pm

Seems like it's a battle between the GFS and Euro right now for this weekend. Euro seems to paint a better picture for us in North Texas that want snow. Think going into tonight and especially tomorrow they might come together on a solution.
0 likes   

User avatar
northtxboy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Age: 43
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:50 pm
Location: Windom Tx
Contact:

#886 Postby northtxboy » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:27 pm

When It does happen I dont know if the dfw area will see to much.. My forecast is for the red river counties but it could snow or sleet in the dfw area. As far as how much snow we get I dont really know we could get 1 to 6 in if I had to guess
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22786
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#887 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:33 pm

iorange55 wrote:Seems like it's a battle between the GFS and Euro right now for this weekend. Euro seems to paint a better picture for us in North Texas that want snow. Think going into tonight and especially tomorrow they might come together on a solution.


Tomorrow evening we should know pretty well, Saturday is the day IF a winter storm was coming is when I've noticed the frame for watches.

What I don't like is that the 540 line is away to our north. Unless the low cuts off, best we would look at is probably sleet from my standpoint.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
northtxboy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Age: 43
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:50 pm
Location: Windom Tx
Contact:

#888 Postby northtxboy » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:39 pm

hey I am still new at this can you tell me how I can comment on some ones post. I feel stupid I cant figure it out..thanks
0 likes   

User avatar
Kelarie
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1074
Age: 54
Joined: Mon Dec 20, 2004 1:18 pm
Location: Hobbs, NM

Re:

#889 Postby Kelarie » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:42 pm

northtxboy wrote:hey I am still new at this can you tell me how I can comment on some ones post. I feel stupid I cant figure it out..thanks


There is a quote button at the bottom of everyone's post, just hit that and it will quote that in your post. Hope that is what you were looking for.
0 likes   

User avatar
northtxboy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Age: 43
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:50 pm
Location: Windom Tx
Contact:

Re: Re:

#890 Postby northtxboy » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:44 pm

Kelarie wrote:
northtxboy wrote:hey I am still new at this can you tell me how I can comment on some ones post. I feel stupid I cant figure it out..thanks


There is a quote button at the bottom of everyone's post, just hit that and it will quote that in your post. Hope that is what you were looking for.



ahhhh that was it man thanks much my friend
0 likes   

User avatar
iorange55
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2388
Joined: Thu Nov 13, 2008 9:47 pm
Location: Big D

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#891 Postby iorange55 » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:44 pm

Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:Seems like it's a battle between the GFS and Euro right now for this weekend. Euro seems to paint a better picture for us in North Texas that want snow. Think going into tonight and especially tomorrow they might come together on a solution.


Tomorrow evening we should know pretty well, Saturday is the day IF a winter storm was coming is when I've noticed the frame for watches.

What I don't like is that the 540 line is away to our north. Unless the low cuts off, best we would look at is probably sleet from my standpoint.



Yeah, we'll see what happens. It could be one of those weird mixes of precip we see from time to time. The Euro at 168 looks fun up to the north. Looking like the huge blast may be coming later.
0 likes   

User avatar
Kelarie
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1074
Age: 54
Joined: Mon Dec 20, 2004 1:18 pm
Location: Hobbs, NM

Re: Re:

#892 Postby Kelarie » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:45 pm

northtxboy wrote:
Kelarie wrote:
northtxboy wrote:hey I am still new at this can you tell me how I can comment on some ones post. I feel stupid I cant figure it out..thanks


There is a quote button at the bottom of everyone's post, just hit that and it will quote that in your post. Hope that is what you were looking for.



ahhhh that was it man thanks much my friend


No problem anytime :D

Now back to tracking snow/sleet/ice :lol:
0 likes   

Mr. Weather
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 41
Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 9:27 am
Location: Houston Area

#893 Postby Mr. Weather » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:49 pm

whats the best website to go to for about a 15 day forecast ???
0 likes   

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3714
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#894 Postby orangeblood » Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:56 pm

Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:Seems like it's a battle between the GFS and Euro right now for this weekend. Euro seems to paint a better picture for us in North Texas that want snow. Think going into tonight and especially tomorrow they might come together on a solution.


Tomorrow evening we should know pretty well, Saturday is the day IF a winter storm was coming is when I've noticed the frame for watches.

What I don't like is that the 540 line is away to our north. Unless the low cuts off, best we would look at is probably sleet from my standpoint.


Anything that does fall will probably melt on contact due to temps being in the 60's most of this week. Now anything that falls towards the middle of next week will surely stick around.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22786
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#895 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:00 pm

^ EC looks fun before the cold moves out ahead of the next front. Hour 168.
Last edited by Ntxw on Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Dallasaggie01
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 34
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2009 10:36 am
Location: Dallas

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#896 Postby Dallasaggie01 » Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:00 pm

Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:Seems like it's a battle between the GFS and Euro right now for this weekend. Euro seems to paint a better picture for us in North Texas that want snow. Think going into tonight and especially tomorrow they might come together on a solution.


Tomorrow evening we should know pretty well, Saturday is the day IF a winter storm was coming is when I've noticed the frame for watches.

What I don't like is that the 540 line is away to our north. Unless the low cuts off, best we would look at is probably sleet from my standpoint.


Does that mean the bulk of the cold air is to shallow at that time for precip to fall as snow? I'm still very fuzzy on the 540, 850, heights, etc...
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22786
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#897 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:02 pm

In general you want the 540 thickness line and 850 0c line to match up pretty closely. The further away they are the less likely of frozen precip. In general terms yes more shallow cold dome of cold air the further apart they are.

http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/97/

Good link that explains it well :wink:
Last edited by Ntxw on Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:05 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
northtxboy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Age: 43
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:50 pm
Location: Windom Tx
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#898 Postby northtxboy » Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:03 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:Seems like it's a battle between the GFS and Euro right now for this weekend. Euro seems to paint a better picture for us in North Texas that want snow. Think going into tonight and especially tomorrow they might come together on a solution.


Tomorrow evening we should know pretty well, Saturday is the day IF a winter storm was coming is when I've noticed the frame for watches.

What I don't like is that the 540 line is away to our north. Unless the low cuts off, best we would look at is probably sleet from my standpoint.


Anything that does fall will probably melt on contact due to temps being in the 60's most of this week.

Now anything that falls towards the middle of next week will surely stick around.

I would have to disagree,,,we might not see much on the main roads but grass and trees will hold it,,bridges/overpass's will freeze over I am sure
0 likes   

BigB0882
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2284
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 12:08 am
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Contact:

#899 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:14 pm

Yeah, a few years ago we had 3 inches here in Baton Rouge and just 2 days before the snow fell it was in the 70's. It still stuck, even in the streets after a little while!! If it comes down hard enough, it piles up and then begins acting like an ice box.
0 likes   

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3714
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#900 Postby orangeblood » Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:25 pm

Anything that does fall will probably melt on contact due to temps being in the 60's most of this week.

Now anything that falls towards the middle of next week will surely stick around.[/quote]
I would have to disagree,,,we might not see much on the main roads but grass and trees will hold it,,bridges/overpass's will freeze over I am sure[/quote]

You're sure, huh? well that's a pretty bold forecast for this far out considering the Arctic front probably won't arrive until sometime Monday. This is well after precip ends with the Sunday system.
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests