Texas Winter 2024-2025

[South Texas Storms]

It sure does feel like winter is pretty much over for much of TX. March will be here in a few days and the next 2 weeks look to feature above normal temps. So long winter...it was good one for a large part of TX this year!

[Cpv17]

It sure does feel like winter is pretty much over for much of TX. March will be here in a few days and the next 2 weeks look to feature above normal temps. So long winter...it was good one for a large part of TX this year!

Haha we got about 6 weeks of winter altogether. Not much.

[Stratton23]

Models are bullishly predicting around the 8-10th a final warmimg or Major SSWE to take place, with the GFS/ Euro even showing yet another stretching or splitting of the PV, since its mid march it would probably lead to cooler conditions but nothing crazy, I kinda hope that happens so that we can add a 12-13th PV stretch to the books this winter, you dont see that many PV stretches in a winter like that every year

[wxman22]

Severe weather season begins. As I stated a few days ago early March is worth watching.

[orangeblood]

DFW might be able to tag 80*F today.

It's currently 79*F.

Go from setting 4 cold record lows to 80F in less than a week, the roller coaster ride of Texas winter weather!!

[rwfromkansas]

Well, so much for a return to winter that was expected a few weeks ago.

Oh well, at least I had some snow here and saw a lot still on the ground in Kansas.

Kind of hope we get some severe weather here, but it looks to be east of DFW, which is pretty common this early.

[Cpv17]

Severe weather season begins. As I stated a few days ago early March is worth watching.

https://i.ibb.co/Ft19G0m/IMG-0293.gif

I doubt much will happen for most of Texas with the exception being far east Texas. The Dixie Alley will be a big hot spot again, I’m sure.

[jasons2k]

From SCW:

Houston is about to experience some of its nicest weather of the year

In brief: Tuesday brought gorgeous weather into the region, and if you missed it fear not, there is more to come. We’re going to see continued mild conditions and sunny skies through much of the weekend as spring marches into Houston and hangs around for awhile.

https://spacecityweather.com/houston-is ... -the-year/

[wxman22]

Severe weather season begins. As I stated a few days ago early March is worth watching.

https://i.ibb.co/Ft19G0m/IMG-0293.gif

I doubt much will happen for most of Texas with the exception being far east Texas. The Dixie Alley will be a big hot spot again, I’m sure.

That’s expected this time of year as tornado season usually doesn't start to ramp up here until April. March severe weather is usually centered in the Southeast. But I just wanted to notate the beginning of severe weather season looks to start in March with a stormy pattern showing up. Which the models have been showing for several days now.

[snownado]

Severe weather season begins. As I stated a few days ago early March is worth watching.

https://i.ibb.co/Ft19G0m/IMG-0293.gif

I doubt much will happen for most of Texas with the exception being far east Texas. The Dixie Alley will be a big hot spot again, I’m sure.

That’s expected this time of year as tornado season usually doesn't start to ramp up here until April. March severe weather is usually centered in the Southeast. But I just wanted to notate the beginning of severe weather season looks to start in March with a stormy pattern showing up. Which the models have been showing for several days now.

https://i.ibb.co/j9jSFNHq/IMG-0295.png

The Climtological peak for severe weather in North Texas is late April / early May.

And as we all know, last season, much of the severe weather action was concentrated in that 2 week period of late May / early June.

[snownado]

DFW might be able to tag 80*F today.

It's currently 79*F.

While it ended up falling short yesterday, as of 4pm, DFW did tag 80*F today.

[jasons2k]

83 here today.

[snownado]

DFW might be able to tag 80*F today.

It's currently 79*F.

While it ended up falling short yesterday, as of 4pm, DFW did tag 80*F today.

Official high is 81*F

[Stratton23]

80 degrees here, yuck with a capital Y!

[Cpv17]

80 degrees here, yuck with a capital Y!

Haha it’s not too bad cuz the dew point is tolerable.

[Brent]

We had a cool front here and tornado siren test after almost 80 yesterday

Yup that season is coming

[snownado]

Getting a strong t'storm right now. Certainly unexpected...

[wxman22]

Severe weather season is here. Those in the ArklaTex should watch this setup.Already at 30% for day 6.

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0402 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2025

Valid 021200Z - 071200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...D6/Tue - East Texas into the Mid/Lower Mississippi Valley...
A compact mid-level low will translate east across the Southwest on
Sunday which will result in lee cyclogenesis in the southern/central
High Plains. As surface high pressure across the Midwest translates
east, favorable low-level trajectories and strengthening flow across
the Gulf and southern Plains will initiate significant moisture
return across Texas. The initial mid-level low will weaken as it
moves across the Plains and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley on
D5/Monday. However, lee cyclogenesis will likely strengthen Monday
afternoon as a larger scale trough approaches the southern Plains.
Shortwave ridging will likely keep the dryline capped on Monday with
continued moistening beneath the capping inversion as low-level
moisture advection continues.

By 12Z Tuesday, moisture recovery across the western Gulf should be
complete with 70F dewpoints forecast near the Gulf Coast by both GFS
and ECMWF ensembles. Confidence in the upper-level pattern is
increasing as the ECMWF and EC Ensembles have been consistent with
an amplified mid-level pattern across the central and southern
Plains now for several consecutive runs. In addition, the GFS/GEFS
has trended toward the more amplified ECMWF solution. As the
confidence in the overall pattern increases, the confidence for a
significant severe weather threat has also increased and 30% severe
weather probabilities have been added from East Texas to central
Mississippi. While specifics will remain uncertain until the event
draws closer, the potential for multiple rounds of severe convection
including supercells, clusters, and likely an eventual squall line
will likely bring a threat for all severe weather hazards including
strong tornadoes.

[TomballEd]

No idea what is producing returns on HGX radar, unless thin high level clouds are producing a little virga.

I have seen virga from pretty thin high level clouds but I don't even see clouds.

[Ntxw]

Getting a strong t'storm right now. Certainly unexpected...

Had some small hail and thunder that woke me up just after midnight.