Texas Winter 2024-2025

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Sambucol2024
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#941 Postby Sambucol2024 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 4:51 pm

This was reported this month. In my uneducated opinion, winter is not over, but just getting started.

The chief meteorologist for the Energy Reliability Council of Texas says this winter is shaping up to have a period of extreme cold that could look similar to 2021.

Chris Coleman, speaking to the board on Tuesday, said winter patterns in the state were shaping up to look like 2021 when a winter storm brought a pattern of extreme cold and challenged the state’s electric grid.

"The more I look at this winter," Coleman said. "The more cold potential I see."

https://www.fox4news.com/news/texas-win ... -grid-2024
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#942 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 26, 2024 4:58 pm

Cpv17 wrote:https://x.com/jefflindner1/status/1872390671811948980?s=46&t=t6uaykdJhHy0_m1NXPw4Cg

This just happened 10 min down the road from me. And I’m stuck at work so I couldn’t go chase. Sucks!


Stay safe down there!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#943 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 5:59 pm

Looks like the 18z GFS says what + PNA, trough digging out west, monster 1058 mb high coming out of NW canada lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#944 Postby orangeblood » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:14 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Looks like the 18z GFS says what + PNA, trough digging out west, monster 1058 mb high coming out of NW canada lol


NYE 2000 lead analog for late week 2, pretty strong ++PNA that delivered
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#945 Postby Brent » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:25 pm

Oh look another storm at the end of the GFS. Always the end
Last edited by Brent on Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#946 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:25 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Looks like the 18z GFS says what + PNA, trough digging out west, monster 1058 mb high coming out of NW canada lol


NYE 2000 lead analog for late week 2, pretty strong ++PNA that delivered


Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#947 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:26 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Looks like the 18z GFS says what + PNA, trough digging out west, monster 1058 mb high coming out of NW canada lol


NYE 2000 lead analog for late week 2, pretty strong ++PNA that delivered

Can this be correct for once!!! Bring it, I say.
Although my car slid into a ditch that night. :(
Last edited by gpsnowman on Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:28 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#948 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:27 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:https://x.com/jefflindner1/status/1872390671811948980?s=46&t=t6uaykdJhHy0_m1NXPw4Cg

This just happened 10 min down the road from me. And I’m stuck at work so I couldn’t go chase. Sucks!


Stay safe down there!


Thanks man! I was frustrated cuz I’ve never seen one in person (besides a funnel years ago) before and today I would’ve had a good opportunity to see one. Tornadoes are rare down here in these parts. Seeing one in person is definitely on my bucket list. I picked up .70” on Christmas Eve and another .85” today so altogether that’s 1.55” this week. Very pleased in that department!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#949 Postby Gotwood » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:44 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Looks like the 18z GFS says what + PNA, trough digging out west, monster 1058 mb high coming out of NW canada lol

1062 HP on heading into the Rockies on 1/8 lol. Maybe fantasy land or maybe something wild brewing.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#950 Postby Harp.1 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:49 pm

Check out the 18z GFS. Wow
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#951 Postby Gotwood » Thu Dec 26, 2024 6:50 pm

Harp.1 wrote:Check out the 18z GFS. Wow

Winter is canceled (reverse jinx)
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#952 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 7:37 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Looks like the 18z GFS says what + PNA, trough digging out west, monster 1058 mb high coming out of NW canada lol


NYE 2000 lead analog for late week 2, pretty strong ++PNA that delivered

Can this be correct for once!!! Bring it, I say.
Although my car slid into a ditch that night. :(


I remember going ice skating down the streets in Carrollton when I was still living at home because I was in high school.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#953 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 7:55 pm

Highs in the 20’s on that GFS run with a couple of inches os snow on the ground for a good chunk of texas, definitely one of the funner fantasy runs so far lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#954 Postby Harp.1 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 8:18 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Highs in the 20’s on that GFS run with a couple of inches os snow on the ground for a good chunk of texas, definitely one of the funner fantasy runs so far lol

Even Louisiana gets in on the fun! I’m going to enjoy it until tonight’s run! :lol: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#955 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Thu Dec 26, 2024 8:36 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Looks like the 18z GFS says what + PNA, trough digging out west, monster 1058 mb high coming out of NW canada lol


NYE 2000 lead analog for late week 2, pretty strong ++PNA that delivered

Can this be correct for once!!! Bring it, I say.
Although my car slid into a ditch that night. :(



You and me both brother.

I went to the snow bowl between A&M and Miss State in Shreveport. Tried to drive back to Longview. Got to Hallsville exit and slid over a bridge and down off the back side of the bridge into the median. The median had a foot and a half deep snow bank.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#956 Postby jasons2k » Thu Dec 26, 2024 9:02 pm

Picked-up 2.61” up here. Almost 6” for the month of December. The drought should be erased across Montgomery County for now.

The GFS still gets some folks every winter
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#957 Postby Brent » Thu Dec 26, 2024 9:37 pm

jasons2k wrote:Picked-up 2.61” up here. Almost 6” for the month of December. The drought should be erased across Montgomery County for now.

The GFS still gets some folks every winter


Yeah everything good has been at 300 hours :lol: I mean at least it shows there's still potential for something interesting I guess

What's crazy is how far out it still is. I remember when Christmas was gonna be 70 degrees at this range... This is the warmest it's been since Monday at 53 right now :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#958 Postby Brandon8181 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 9:46 pm

Brent wrote:
jasons2k wrote:Picked-up 2.61” up here. Almost 6” for the month of December. The drought should be erased across Montgomery County for now.

The GFS still gets some folks every winter


Yeah everything good has been at 300 hours :lol: I mean at least it shows there's still potential for something interesting I guess

What's crazy is how far out it still is. I remember when Christmas was gonna be 70 degrees at this range... This is the warmest it's been since Monday at 53 right now :lol:


It does look like that the GFS has consistently for the last couple of days been trying to bring cold / winter ISH type weather south for the week of January 5th. Maybe it is trying to latch onto something.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#959 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 9:52 pm

As much as we like to get a good laugh out of the GFS in the long range , when it comes to sniffing out potential big cold outbreaks, it actually has done pretty well in the long range of seeing some sort of outbreak, sniffed out the februrary 2021 outbreak as well as december of 2022 before any of the other models got into range, I think it has at least some weight to it on the longer range runs
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#960 Postby Harp.1 » Thu Dec 26, 2024 10:01 pm

Stratton23 wrote:As much as we like to get a good laugh out of the GFS in the long range , when it comes to sniffing out potential big cold outbreaks, it actually has done pretty well in the long range of seeing some sort of outbreak, sniffed out the februrary 2021 outbreak as well as december of 2022 before any of the other models got into range, I think it has at least some weight to it on the longer range runs

I’m reading the ensembles somewhat agree.
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