12z ETA wetter & colder

iCez2003 · #1 Postby **iCez2003** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:05 am

at 6 HRs...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _006.shtml

compare it to the 6z...850 is a good distance farther south.

iCez2003 · #2 Postby **iCez2003** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:08 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 2_012l.gif

Look at all that precip even at 12 HRS...this baby is gonna be pumping

ctsnowlover · #3 Postby **ctsnowlover** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:13 am

and out to sea....looking like the Euro is still GOD

Lisa · #4 Postby **Lisa** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:18 am

Being the novice that I am...what is the map telling us? We are still having rain.....suppose to change to snow this evening, but with only 1-2 inches accumulation...I want snow--not rain!!!

ctsnowlover · #5 Postby **ctsnowlover** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:24 am

the ETA is much more east and hence colder for the coast, will mean more snow in the corridor, less rain. I'll let a pro chime in in case I'm way off.

njbeachwx · #6 Postby **njbeachwx** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:27 am

ctsnowlover wrote:the ETA is much more east and hence colder for the coast, will mean more snow in the corridor, less rain. I'll let a pro chime in in case I'm way off.

yes please

njbeachwx · #7 Postby **njbeachwx** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:28 am

eta 24 hours railing the coast with snow.

iCez2003 · #8 Postby **iCez2003** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:38 am

HISTORICAL EVENT FOR PHILADELPHIA IF NEW ETA IS CORRECT:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 6_036l.gif

Stormchaser16 · #9 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:41 am

It is possible, but it is very weak and quick w/ the second storm, if the GFS folows suite like this then the amounts in the interior zones need to be lowered by at least half, and the amounts for the corridor need to raise.

FORECAST:
Phl-6-10"
Nyc- 4-8"
Ttn-6-10"

Im still not hooked on a huge snowstorm that will bring a foot to jersey

JCT777 · #10 Postby **JCT777** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:45 am

Stormchaser - you are wise to be cautious, especially since the ETA is notorious for overdoing QPF. Although I think the QPF estimates are not too far below what will materialize.

Guest · #11 Postby **Guest** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:32 am

thats a really crappy forecast

Stormchaser16 wrote:It is possible, but it is very weak and quick w/ the second storm, if the GFS folows suite like this then the amounts in the interior zones need to be lowered by at least half, and the amounts for the corridor need to raise.

FORECAST:
Phl-6-10"
Nyc- 4-8"
Ttn-6-10"

Im still not hooked on a huge snowstorm that will bring a foot to jersey

mike01205 · #12 Postby **mike01205** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:34 am

DT wrote:thats a really crappy forecast

Stormchaser16 wrote:It is possible, but it is very weak and quick w/ the second storm, if the GFS folows suite like this then the amounts in the interior zones need to be lowered by at least half, and the amounts for the corridor need to raise.

FORECAST:
Phl-6-10"
Nyc- 4-8"
Ttn-6-10"

Im still not hooked on a huge snowstorm that will bring a foot to jersey

I actually agree with DT, I don't see Philly getting more than NYC

wrkh99 · #13 Postby **wrkh99** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:35 am

DT wrote:thats a really crappy forecast

Stormchaser16 wrote:It is possible, but it is very weak and quick w/ the second storm, if the GFS folows suite like this then the amounts in the interior zones need to be lowered by at least half, and the amounts for the corridor need to raise.

FORECAST:
Phl-6-10"
Nyc- 4-8"
Ttn-6-10"

Im still not hooked on a huge snowstorm that will bring a foot to jersey

That's a really Crappy Attitude as always from you DT. Why not tell him why you think it is wrong ?

Eddie · #14 Postby **Eddie** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 12:08 pm

If the Eta is overdoin precip you should check out the GFS, even more PRECIP!!!

12z ETA wetter & colder

12z ETA wetter & colder

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