WXRisk's First Call - 12/24/03

[Dr Spectrum]

http://www.wxrisk.com/Meteorology/Verif ... ec24/1.jpg

I'll take it!

[StormCrazyIowan]

Not certain for my area, whew, that's a shocker!

All I'm asking is enough to make my Christmas white, that's all!

[Anonymous]

Sure this is a real stupid question, but wheres I-80?


JEB

[Guest]

Not a stupid question. I80 runs from NY city across northern pa and then northern OH and nothern Indiana and northern IL and into central IA.......

[Dr Spectrum]

Sure this is a real stupid question, but wheres I-80?


JEB

I'm about 30 minutes from 80. It's a very thin line to draw a rain/snow line with.

[Anonymous]

Thanks KOW. My neighbor has got his boat all set up for us. the ground is 100% saturated and we're settling in for a nice long 2 day heavy soaking rain event. Be a shame to have to evac on Christmas Day though. I can't believe we're in for rain, it's 27 with a dewpoint of 9 degrees. That's the REAL shame........



JEB

[Guest]

Sure this is a real stupid question, but wheres I-80?


JEB

I'm about 30 minutes from 80. It's a very thin line to draw a rain/snow line with.

And a line im really not agreeing with. And now the 00z ETA surely dont help matters either?????

I personally think his next map may look alot different especially if the other models start to show what the ETA has done with this latest run!!!!!

[Dr Spectrum]

Don't the models usually have a "Bogus" run right before they start pin-pointing the storm? I seem to recall quite a few posts at WWBB about "...Oh, this is the bogus run. Wait until xxETA or xxGFS comes out".

[Guest]

Don't the models usually have a "Bogus" run right before they start pin-pointing the storm? I seem to recall quite a few posts at WWBB about "...Oh, this is the bogus run. Wait until xxETA or xxGFS comes out".

Yes they do. However i do believe that they are catching on to what upslope has been saying about the colder air in Canada that some models like the Euro seem to miss alot which DT seems to have based this first call map on which btw looks like the 18zgfs as well.

The 00z if looked at closely up to the 72hr time frame seems to trend over towards the 18z ETAs idea which itself has made a trend supringly a bit farther east and colder yet again on the 00z run.

Maybe Just Maybe tomorrow hopefully we will have a pretty good or atleast a better idea of what will happen. I for one am not gonna let this run fool me again. Even though this is a good trend in our favor at this point.

[Dr Spectrum]

Just remember: If you need to knock on wood, paper will do - It's made out of wood!

Also, if you're crossing your fingers - Only one hand. Both is bad luck

BTW: The meaning behind "Knock On Wood" comes from an old Indian legend that was if you "Don't" want bad luck from the Tree Spirits, knock on a tree when you are asking for the luck. This knocking was loud enough to keep the Tree Spirits from hearing what you said!

[Guest]

Just remember: If you need to knock on wood, paper will do - It's made out of wood!

Also, if you're crossing your fingers - Only one hand. Both is bad luck

BTW: The meaning behind "Knock On Wood" comes from an old Indian legend that was if you "Don't" want bad luck from the Tree Spirits, knock on a tree when you are asking for the luck. This knocking was loud enough to keep the Tree Spirits from hearing what you said!

LOL. Very good sound advice!!!Thanks for reminding me !

[StormCrazyIowan]

BTW- I-80 runs far past me in Iowa, all the way into the west if I'm not mistaken!! (I live about 10 miles from I-80 here in Eastern IA)

[WXBUFFJIM]

If you want to be in San Francisco and Oakland on the west coast or the New York area on the east coast. Eastern Iowa near I 80, YAY!!!! Sounds like the perfect route for you Jacki

Jim

[therock1811]

I'll see about putting out a first call for precip types later this afternoon myself...

[ColdFront77]

Here is the northern Plymouth county, MA forecast for Tuesday through Christmas Day, from the the Taunton, MA NWS:

Tuesday. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Tuesday night. Becoming cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.

Wednesday. Rain likely. Especially late. Highs 50 to 55. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Wednesday night. Rain. Breezy. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 80 percent.

Christmas. Partly cloudy and windy. Daytime temperatures steady in the mid 40s.

BTW- I-80 runs far past me in Iowa, all the way into the west if I'm not mistaken!! (I live about 10 miles from I-80 here in Eastern IA)

If you want to be in San Francisco and Oakland on the west coast or the New York area on the east coast. Eastern Iowa near I 80, YAY!!!! Sounds like the perfect route for you Jacki

Jim

Interstate 80 is 2,607 miles long from New York City, New York to San Franicisco, California.

The longest stretch of the highway is 455 through the state of Nebraska.

[senorpepr]

Interstate 80 is 2,607 miles long from New York City, New York to San Franicisco, California.

The longest stretch of the highway is 455 through the state of Nebraska.

...and I live a mile west of it.

[ColdFront77]

As of Saturday night, southeastern Massachusetts stands a chance at getting at least some snow mixed in with the rain... being north of I-80.

Interstate 80 is 2,607 miles long from New York City, New York to San Franicisco, California.

The longest stretch of the highway is 455 through the state of Nebraska.

...and I live a mile west of it.

That is the longest portion of I-80 goes through Nebraska, which is 455 miles long.

Sorry for any confusion.