Just thought of something

[Stormchaser16]

Taking a look at the lastest ETA there is a CLEAR transition from clipper to coastal. What could be the rammifications of this? Well for one it COULD mean that areas further west see a decreased duration of snows as the coastal system begins to develop and pull that precip shield towards the coast. That precip shield has the potential to be pretty decent as Atlantic moisture is kicked back in. I would look for precip to break out across the region in a manner much like the ETA is showing, and then as the coastal develops, precip over western PA should begin to rocket towards the coast. Where this shield ends up IMO should determine where we see the highest amounts of snow(excluding NW NJ and other areas with crazy ratios). The ETA brings this shield over most of NJ and parts of SNE and eastern PA. Then as the low lifts off this shield will move out to sea. This whole thing could be good and bad in a few ways:

CONS:
1) Would reduce total duration of storm for many areas further west
2) Shield may not stop and could slide right out to sea, leaving many areas shafted
3) Coastal solution has potential to become messed up in some way which would reduce the strength of the shield

PROS:
1) Atlantic moisture thrown into the shield
2) Has potential to increase amounts near coastal sections

Any thoughts or objections are welcome.

[WoodstockWX]

if the coast develops, eastern NJ gets 4-8" easily. ALL of eastern NJ, from ACY up to NYC.

[Stormchaser16]

Agreed however it would likely happen at the expense of those inland

[Chris the Weather Man]

Yeah, I hope it becomes a coastal low... WoodstockWX, I would argee, But, I would say, 5-9 inches is good bet if the coastal forms....

[Stormchaser16]

Possibly..... however remember that a coastal taking over would not provide the crazy ratios..... maybe 4-7" would be a better bet as air comes in off the ocean right along the coast. Models still only give the coast .25-.5 inches of QPF so assuming a 20:1 ratio we have 5-10", but we will see if that will actually happen

[Guest]

I believe I have been forecasting that idea for a while folks

if the coast develops, eastern NJ gets 4-8" easily. ALL of eastern NJ, from ACY up to NYC.

[Chris the Weather Man]

I believe I have been forecasting that idea for a while folks

if the coast develops, eastern NJ gets 4-8" easily. ALL of eastern NJ, from ACY up to NYC.

Yes You have MR DT

[Stormchaser16]

Yes DT you have, but whats your point? I have known for awhile that atlantic moisture would be kicked back in, common sense if you ask me