The low on the new gfs is tracking further north-more in line with eta....the axis of the heavier qpf has also shifted north
lets see what it does from here
00Z GFS makes last ditch effort to catchup w/ ETA
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Continues this w/ 36hr frame as well
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 6_036s.gif
Moves greater QPF totals more northerly
850's also a tad warmer like the eta's
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 6_036s.gif
Moves greater QPF totals more northerly
850's also a tad warmer like the eta's
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also there has been some talk of 700 RH fields..check out these 700 RH fields different then the ETA..
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 36_l.shtml
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 36_l.shtml
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RH fields do look a lot farther north than the Eta. However, the GFS surface low is STILL tracking across N VA and keeping DCA north in at least a few inches, so the surface map has not shifted much towards the Eta. At this point, though, I'm about ready to give up hope of more than 1-2" here at IAD.
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