00Z GFS makes last ditch effort to catchup w/ ETA

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dg13x
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00Z GFS makes last ditch effort to catchup w/ ETA

#1 Postby dg13x » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:43 pm

The low on the new gfs is tracking further north-more in line with eta....the axis of the heavier qpf has also shifted north

lets see what it does from here
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dg13x
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#2 Postby dg13x » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:44 pm

Continues this w/ 36hr frame as well
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 6_036s.gif

Moves greater QPF totals more northerly

850's also a tad warmer like the eta's
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CentralNJwx
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#3 Postby CentralNJwx » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:44 pm

also there has been some talk of 700 RH fields..check out these 700 RH fields different then the ETA..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 36_l.shtml
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Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:48 pm

RH fields do look a lot farther north than the Eta. However, the GFS surface low is STILL tracking across N VA and keeping DCA north in at least a few inches, so the surface map has not shifted much towards the Eta. At this point, though, I'm about ready to give up hope of more than 1-2" here at IAD.
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Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:50 pm

Certainly the mods have gone north. This close to the event we generally need to commit to the likely fact that most if not all of the snow will be north of DCA.





-JEB
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Anonymous

#6 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:51 pm

dont worry---youll be shoveling 12-18 inches come tuesday morning
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NJwx15
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#7 Postby NJwx15 » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:56 pm

Hey there CentralNJ...ive been excited and cant wait till this gets here!! Ive already called for 6" to some of the ppl i know, and have guaranteed no school on Thurs...Pray for me!
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CentralNJwx
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#8 Postby CentralNJwx » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:57 pm

im praying for myself too! yeah i think 6" is def not out of the question. 4-8" sounds good
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Anonymous

#9 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:58 pm

Ji wrote:dont worry---youll be shoveling 12-18 inches come tuesday morning




Thanks Ji!!!!!




-JEB
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