WAKEFIELD says dont worry about snow for mon storm

[rainstorm]

EXTENDED FCST...LOOKS LIKE A MESSY PATTERN TAKING SHAPE SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AS A SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH/
SURFACE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE TN VLY AND TOWARD THE MID ATLC COAST.
BIG FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE WITH THE PRECIP TYPE...I.E. WILL
THERE BE SUFFICIENT RESIDUAL COLD AIR FOR SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP. GFS
SHOWS AIRMASS MODIFYING SOMEWHAT SUN NIGHT AND MON AS THE HEART OF
THE COLD AIR (UPPER CONFLUENCE REGION ALOFT) MOVES OUT TO SEA...
SUGGESTING A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN OVER MOST AREAS. COMPLICATING MATTERS
FURTHER IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWITCH BACK TO SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP
LATE MON/MON NIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS OFFSHORE AND DRAGS DOWN
COLDER AIR FROM THE NORTH.


the trend has gone from the precip south of us, to mostly rain. i dont doubt the north trend will continue. will most of va have a storm this winter?
as far as a change back to snow, very doubtful. it should continue north, and that changeover scenario rarely happens here anyway

[rainstorm]

could be great news north of dc!! enjoy!!

[hurricanedude]

COMPLICATING MATTERS
FURTHER IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWITCH BACK TO SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP
LATE MON/MON NIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS OFFSHORE AND DRAGS DOWN
COLDER AIR FROM THE NORTH.
Show me where they say dont worry??????

[rainstorm]

yea, but the trend. we went from a storm south of us to now mostly rain. i have no doubt the north trend will continue. besides, that changeover scenario rarely pans out here. also, wavy went from 35/30 mon, to 44/35 i think.

[Guest]

could be great news north of dc!! enjoy!!

you are seriously mis reading the synoptic set up here.... I am Not surprised Cash would miss it.... he misses a lot
remember every winter event of any significance in te last 7 years AKQ has missed...

DEC 24 1998 SEVERE ICE storm jan 2-3 2003
jan 25 2000 Feb 16-17 2003 etc etc

This is NOT cold enough? HOW!?





and 126-132 hrs still cold.... Supressed ? MAYBE
NOT cold enough?

[Lowpressure]

Looks plenty cold to me for good portions of the Mid Atlantic. NWS D.C. Monday high 37 low 26 snow showers possible. They are focusing on clipper right now until models aline better for Sunday/Monday event.

[rainstorm]

monday high of 37 in dc doesnt bode well for va

[joshskeety]

Quit looking at the MOS guidence from 144 out, we both know its never right. Yea right, like its going to be 37 degrees and heavy snow..

Josh

monday high of 37 in dc doesnt bode well for va

[JCT777]

If the storm starts coming north, I don't think it will be 37 in DC on Monday due to clouds and precip. And if the storm is suppressed - that would indicate the cold air is still hanging on. Which would also argue against a temp of 37.

[Anonymous]

Virginia is a whole different 'country' so the saying goes....................

Virginia is an interesting place to live, I love this state.........................

But only in Virginia (away from the mountains of course) is it possible, to have such cold arctic weather for a week or more, only to have a rain or slop mix event less than a week after the cold air slides east.

Certainly we are definately being impacted by climatic changes. Even so, it is still a very bitter pill to swallow.

Remember when I said I want 36 inches of snow?

Well, you can scratch that.

I would be perfectly content with an ordinary 8-inch snow that was all snow, that could be plowed so I can enjoy my precious jebwalk around Potomac Mills Mall and look at all the piles of plowed snow. That is all I wanted.

However we will get slop on Mon-Tue or probably just plain rain.

Sure I am crying.......any dedicated weather weenie half as crazy about snow as I am would cry like a baby at the meteorological spectacle unfolding here in Virginia.

They say anything is possible with the weather..............

Well in Virginia east of the mountains, we sure know its true.

Here in Virginia east of the mountains, if the impossible is your cup of tea, then this is the land of your dreams.

It can actually stay in the 30s, 20s, even in the teens for high temperatures for a whole week or more, then subsequently mild up and present Virginia with a mixed to rain or just plain rain scenario.

It isn't fair....................but then, Who ever said Life is fair lol?



Okay folks. End of rant. End of Cry. Time to face up to our return to more seasonable temps and normal winter rains. I'm just gonna have to suck it up. LOL



-JEB

[rainstorm]

have to agree, next week looks grim

[Guest]

hey stupid why are you posting the 3am discussion based which is based on the 00z -- 7PM TUESDAY MODELS?

EXTENDED FCST...LOOKS LIKE A MESSY PATTERN TAKING SHAPE SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AS A SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH/
SURFACE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE TN VLY AND TOWARD THE MID ATLC COAST.
BIG FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE WITH THE PRECIP TYPE...I.E. WILL
THERE BE SUFFICIENT RESIDUAL COLD AIR FOR SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP. GFS
SHOWS AIRMASS MODIFYING SOMEWHAT SUN NIGHT AND MON AS THE HEART OF
THE COLD AIR (UPPER CONFLUENCE REGION ALOFT) MOVES OUT TO SEA...
SUGGESTING A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN OVER MOST AREAS. COMPLICATING MATTERS
FURTHER IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWITCH BACK TO SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP
LATE MON/MON NIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS OFFSHORE AND DRAGS DOWN
COLDER AIR FROM THE NORTH.


the trend has gone from the precip south of us, to mostly rain. i dont doubt the north trend will continue. will most of va have a storm this winter?
as far as a change back to snow, very doubtful. it should continue north, and that changeover scenario rarely happens here anyway

[Guest]

WITH A DEW POINT OF 12????

you get an F....

monday high of 37 in dc doesnt bode well for va

[JCT777]

WITH A DEW POINT OF 12????

you get an F....

monday high of 37 in dc doesnt bode well for va

Those storms with RH under 50% (Temp of 37, DP of 12) happen all the time, don't they?

[rainstorm]

lets see what happens when wakefield updates at 4 pm.