NWS D.C.

#1 Postby **Lowpressure** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 8:07 am

Has dropped temps considerably for the Monday/Tuesday event. They are also leaning towards a more easterly track of the secondary low that is to form off the South Carloina coast. A more easterly track would mean more snow for this area. They are to issue a winter wx statement this morning. Maybe all the rain talk was for not. CAD appears to be the winner again. They did however state that the air is not as cold as last week and not nearly as dry, and the system has tons of moisture associated with it, indicating the potential for heavier snow accumulations.
WEATHER53 may have seen it coming better than most- appears to be a good call WEATHER53.

NoVaSnow · #2 Postby **NoVaSnow** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 8:09 am

Lowpressure wrote:. . .WEATHER53 may have seen it coming better than most- appears to be a good call WEATHER53.

Actually, 53's call last night was for the clipper moving through this morning. For Monday/Tuesday, he has been calling for a relatively uneventful clipper.

yoda · #3 Postby **yoda** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 8:59 am

Well, if the coastal low does form... it will bring us more snow.... but we will see... still hedging bets that ice may be predominant form of precip.... but if it were snow... hmmm could see 6-12.... but still too far out! :eek:

JCT777 · #4 Postby **JCT777** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 9:10 am

Most of the forecasts I have seen today seem to indicate the formation of a decent coastal low, and a snow-to-mix-to-snow scenario for my area on Monday/Tuesday (as opposed to the mostly rain scenario that was being talked about 24 hours ago).

#5 Postby **Lowpressure** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 9:16 am

The tone has changed considerably form yesterday. I was pretty convinced of a rain event, now it appears to be more wintery. You are right, 24 hours can change everything.

Still having a nice little snow shower right now.

yoda · #6 Postby **yoda** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 9:18 am

Lowpressure, have you seen the prelim CPC discussion? It seems now they aer saying more winter weather is likely in D.C. area.. as cold air will stay... guess that would mean some snow :lol:

we shall see.... hoping for a good 6-12 out of mon-tues system...

AND HOPING FOR A MAJOR NOR'EASTER next weekend!!!

#7 Postby **Lowpressure** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 9:22 am

yoda, it looks a whole lot more promising for snow than it did yesterday. We could see two significant snow events over the next few days. You may see your 6+ inches of snow. Plus what is on the ground should (for the most part) stick around giving us a little base.

Suncat · #8 Postby **Suncat** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 9:39 am

What would central NC expect from this coastal low? Currently, forcast is calling for a light freezing rain to rain mix on Monday and rain on Tuesday. Wondering if I should get some more salt for the driveway this weekend. :eek:

JCT777 · #9 Postby **JCT777** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 10:15 am

Suncat - it couldn't hurt to have some salt. This will be a close call for your area, but I would not be surprised if you had some ice.

WXBUFFJIM · #10 Postby **WXBUFFJIM** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 10:17 am

Suncat wrote:What would central NC expect from this coastal low? Currently, forcast is calling for a light freezing rain to rain mix on Monday and rain on Tuesday. Wondering if I should get some more salt for the driveway this weekend.

Probably not a bad idea to get some salt, especially say in west central NC. Cold air damming s once again looking to be a problem with colder possibly sub freezing air with warm air overriding that. That's a favorable scenario for ice. Exactly where and how much is hard to say right now. But North Carolina, especially west central portions is favored for ice potential for Monday into Tuesday.

Jim

Suncat · #11 Postby **Suncat** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 10:43 am

Thanks for the replies. I'll pick up some salt on the way home from work today. If this thing looks like it will be another hit for NC, the hardware stores will be mobbed this weekend. Ditto the grocery stores for beer and bread :lol:

DCmetroraleigh · #12 Postby **DCmetroraleigh** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 1:36 pm

This winter, as well as every winter since 2000. the models and forecasters have consistently UNDERESTIMATED the amount of snow and sleet that will fall in central North Carolina. I think the snow and sleet will once again be more significant than the models indicate for central NC.

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 2:11 pm

I am really glad to see that N VA will make good their escape from the rains of winter yet again!!! Now, we may enjoy plenty of freezing rain, sleet and perhaps a little snow. I am very, very thankful for the freezing precipitation, it's always better than that plain rain, which would have melted my precious, hard-won snowpack!!

-JEB!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!

Anonymous · #14 Postby **Anonymous** » Fri Jan 30, 2004 2:33 pm

Lowpressure wrote:Has dropped temps considerably for the Monday/Tuesday event. They are also leaning towards a more easterly track of the secondary low that is to form off the South Carloina coast. A more easterly track would mean more snow for this area. They are to issue a winter wx statement this morning. Maybe all the rain talk was for not. CAD appears to be the winner again. They did however state that the air is not as cold as last week and not nearly as dry, and the system has tons of moisture associated with it, indicating the potential for heavier snow accumulations.
WEATHER53 may have seen it coming better than most- appears to be a good call WEATHER53.

Many times here in the MA, the weather that ultimately brings big snows for us is NOT super-cold weather, but 30s and low 40s. Remember the PD2 storm last February? We hit 40 that day, the day before it hit, heck it was 39 degrees and rain that evening before changing to snow later.

-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!

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