Latest HPC Discussion (Not Good)

[Anonymous]

Mon-Wed event for MA...No Coastal Low...slides east and out, not up the coast...event looks cancelled with latest run

[Anonymous]

Mon-Wed event for MA...No Coastal Low...slides east and out, not up the coast...event looks cancelled with latest run

If this run verifies, then I am still thankful because no rain over N VA. Nice and cold for our precious snowpack, with lows at night in free-fall And snow during the day tends to constrain high temperatures from getting out of control as well.


-JEB.

[blizzard20]

They didn't say thay ok read it carefully ok.

[Anonymous]

NEXT BIG CONCERN WL BE DVLPG LOW COMING OUT OF GULF STATES MON. AT
THE SAME TIME COLD AIR WL BE PUSHED DOWN THE E SIDE OF THE APLCHNS
VIA HIGH PRES OVER NEW ENGLAND. PCPN W/ THIS STORM COULD RUN THE
GAMUT OF P TYPES...AND HV REISSUED AN SPS COVERING ALL THE PTNLY
GORY DETAILS. WARM AIR LOOKS TO OVERRUN THE COLDER CFC AIR TUE...SO
A PD OF FZRA IS PSBL B4 A CHG TO STRAIGHT RA...BUT WE'LL BECOME MR
SPECIFIC W/ THIS OVR THE WKND.


Not a big event...some mix then to rain...stick a fork in it, it's done

[Lowpressure]

The way I read it, it says "Next big concern"

[Anonymous]

Sorry Lowpressure, you there on I-95 will certainly be mix to rain.

Maybe you will have a shot at a real snowstorm before the winter is over, let's hope so.

[Cheesy_Poofs]

BEF- What makes you believe that this will be nothin' but a light mix to rain event? Just wondering.

[Anonymous]

Poofs-

1. No coastal run up North...more flat and east.

2. OVR will occur but, CAD not as cold as last week, so will change to rain quickly.

3. Gut feeling tells me this storm will not come together.

[Anonymous]

Poofs-

1. No coastal run up North...more flat and east.

2. OVR will occur but, CAD not as cold as last week, so will change to rain quickly.

3. Gut feeling tells me this storm will not come together.

Then if your Gut is correct, let's hope that N VA does not get more than a light plain rain shower......the snow is dry, it should be able to absorb that allright, then it'll freeze and we will be all the better off for free-fall temps at night and constrained high temps in the daytime.

Perhaps we all need to be a little bit more cautious about this "Monday-Tuesday storm". Maybe it's only gonna move east off the coast relatively quick.

Thank you, Big-Eyed Fish...... Even if you are wrong,.......You provide a good balancing mechanism, so folks like me do not get TOO excited about what may in fact turn out to be a big nothing in the water(sorry folks, I could not resist a JAWS quip lol).



-JEB!!!!!

[JCT777]

Not sure where you live, BigEyedFish, but this is Mt. Holly's 3 PM discussion:

... A winter storm possible Monday night and Tuesday...

The Parade of storms continues this winter, and current indications are showing this trend yet again for Monday night and Tuesday. Low pressure is expected to develop Sunday across the Texas area and move northeastward. As it does so, a secondary area of low pressure may form along the middle Atlantic coast Monday night and move northeastward. With high pressure over New England, cold air is expected to remain across most of the region as moisture moves in from the southwest Monday night.

There is still uncertainty as to the exact track of these storms. However at this time, a wintry mix of precipitation is possible Monday night and Tuesday. With the current projected storm track, the best chance for accumulating wintry precipitation should be north and west of Philadelphia. At this time, precipitation could range from snow, to sleet, to freezing rain. Enough warmer air may arrive across northeast Maryland, Delaware, southeast Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey for the mixed precipitation to change over to a period of rain Tuesday.

A moderate to significant wintry precipitation event is possible Monday night and Tuesday. Later forecasts will be able to more precisely determine the type and amount of precipitation.

I would wait another day before cancelling this event.