Just saw the Red, red Robin, Bob, bob, bob'n along!

azsnowman · #1 Postby **azsnowman** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 3:51 pm

WOOOOHOOOOOOOOO! Just saw the FIRST Robin of the season Bob, bob, bob'n along :lol:

You know what "THAT" means?? Won't be LONG now 8-)

Dennis

Lindaloo · #2 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 4:10 pm

Yep that means Spring is right around the corner.

JCT777 · #3 Postby **JCT777** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 4:53 pm

I need Spring to wait another few weeks, or until I can get one more decent snowstorm.

Cheesy_Poofs · #4 Postby **Cheesy_Poofs** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 5:03 pm

JCT777 wrote:I need Spring to wait another few weeks, or until I can get one more decent snowstorm.

Agreed. One more decent snowstorm, then bring on spring.

Chris the Weather Man · #5 Postby **Chris the Weather Man** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 5:22 pm

For me, 1 snowstorm like 1983, then bring on spring.....

Lindaloo · #6 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 5:34 pm

Well since I never see snow I say bring it on now.

Skywatch_NC · #7 Postby **Skywatch_NC** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 5:48 pm

I'm CERTAINLY ready for SPRING!!

Can't get here SOON enough! :wink:

Eric

azsnowman · #8 Postby **azsnowman** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 6:37 pm

It appears he may have taken a WRONG turn :lol:

By this time Thursday, his little tail feathers will be FROZEN!

FLUS45 KFGZ 171349
HWOFGZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ

700 AM MST TUE FEB 17 2004

AZZ004>018-037>040-180200-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
700 AM MST TUE FEB 17 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WARM TEMPERATURES AND MILD WEATHER WILL GIVE WAY TO A STRONG PACIFIC
STORM SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS STORM WILL BRING
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES...MOUNTAIN SNOW AND VALLEY RAIN...AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT AROUND 8000 FEET BUT QUICKLY FALL TO BELOW
4500 FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 10 TO 20 DEGREES COLDER THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED
ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THIS STORM WILL BE A LIGHT SNOWFALL
PRODUCER...WITH JUST A FEW INCHES EXPECTED IN MOST LOCATIONS.
HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND STRONG
WINDS WILL BE A SUDDEN CHANGE FROM THE WARM TEMPERATURES EXPERIENCED
EARLIER IN THE WEEK.

Dennis 8-)

molecules · #9 Postby **molecules** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 6:43 pm

I am on the fence about now w/ spring coming. We have been ripped most of the year for snow. (wilmington,DE) I wouldn't mind 1 more heavy snow in March. We are due for one that month. Then again Spring/Summer sounds good! Beach, Boat, Vacations, Corona w/ Lime...etc etc

#10 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 7:19 pm

H7 winds progged to be in the 50 kt range Thursday morning, that Robin is apt to encounter some turbulence as well since it's likely to be a tad breezy in the Whites. With the strongest winds at H7 pegged to be here in the morning hours, the stage is set for a good Canyon Wind event.

Steve

#11 Postby **Stephanie** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 7:56 pm

A few weeks ago during our last deep freeze I saw about six on the side of the road in the grass trrying to keep warm in the sunshine. I felt so bad for them! I haven't seen any since then.

Is it early for you guys to be seeing robin down your way Dennis & Steve?

I'd say one more good snow - tonight's will be nothing and then bring on Spring!

#12 Postby **MGC** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:11 pm

I have not seen any red robbins yet so spring may not be around the corner just yet. As I recall, last year they showed up in Jan....MGC

Craig286 · #13 Postby **Craig286** » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:15 pm

Damn, already spring, where does the time go? Memories of summer still..

Anyways...this winter was weak for our area, time for spring , big thunderstorms, warm weather not hot...green everywhere , easter!

BRING IT

azsnowman · #14 Postby **azsnowman** » Wed Feb 18, 2004 8:03 am

Stephanie wrote:A few weeks ago during our last deep freeze I saw about six on the side of the road in the grass trrying to keep warm in the sunshine. I felt so bad for them! I haven't seen any since then.

Is it early for you guys to be seeing robin down your way Dennis & Steve?

I'd say one more good snow - tonight's will be nothing and then bring on Spring!

Looking back at last calendar, I write these events down on the calendar here in the office, the first Robin showed up 3 March last year, so yeah, he's a little early and looking at the forecast this morning, sure hope he has a warm nest somewhere and has the nest anchored down pretty good too! NWS expects to issue a high wind warning for later today, sustained winds of 30+ with gusts nearing 45-50 by later afternoon :eek:

Dennis

Lindaloo · #15 Postby **Lindaloo** » Wed Feb 18, 2004 9:31 am

MGC wrote:I have not seen any red robbins yet so spring may not be around the corner just yet. As I recall, last year they showed up in Jan....MGC

Well darnit!! :lol:

#16 Postby **Stephanie** » Wed Feb 18, 2004 1:17 pm

I hope so too Dennis! I figured that you would remember.

How's the snow total so far this winter out there?

azsnowman · #17 Postby **azsnowman** » Wed Feb 18, 2004 2:02 pm

Snowfall this year is DOWN over last year by some 33%......the highest peaks, were most of the runoff comes from for Phoenix and outlaying areas is about 65% of normal BUT...looking at the forecasts, outlooks....it appears these next 2 weeks could turn that around, I sure HOPE so but in the same breath, I'm READY for some warmer temps, this has been the COLDEST winter in over 48 years up here!

Dennis

#18 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Wed Feb 18, 2004 3:27 pm

noted that the first 14 days of February had the coldest average low temperature there since 1964 with Cochise County coming in with the coldest average lows in the past 20-30 years. Here at the house, we are on track for the second February with an average maximum below 60F (1998 is the other). However, Feb '98 was a Niño February and wet while this month has been dry and totally obscene with no redeeming social value. Although the average lows seem warm to most people back east, that only tells part of the story since for people living in the normally cold areas such as down by the San Pedro River it means temperatures in the low teens and single digits which is plenty cold for Latitude 31.6N (a mesonet site along the river hit -2F during last December's cold snap). A cold dry winter is unusual and useless since most dry winters here are warm with the cold ones being wet.

Steve

#19 Postby **Stephanie** » Wed Feb 18, 2004 7:29 pm

You're 33% lower than LAST YEAR?? :eek:

I have noticed that the next week looks rather promising for you out there precipitation wise. Even though it's been a cold winter, though not snowy, I am hoping that this is a sign of a turn around for your area in the near future.

I'm keeping my fingers crossed!

azsnowman · #20 Postby **azsnowman** » Wed Feb 18, 2004 7:44 pm

Well......it appears from this forecast, this little Robin needs to rethink his move and HEAD BACK to warmer climates :lol:

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Special Weather Statement

WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ

345 PM MST WED FEB 18 2004

TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY... A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7500 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. LOWS 24 TO 34 ABOVE 7000 FEET...33 TO 38 BELOW 7000 FEET.
THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW... MUCH COOLER. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. HIGHS 33 TO 43 ABOVE 7000 FEET...40 TO 48 BELOW 7000 FEET.
THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY... WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTY LOWS 14 TO 22 ABOVE 7000 FEET...21 TO 28 BELOW 7000 FEET.
FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY... LIGHT WINDS... HIGHS 38 TO 48 ABOVE 7000 FEET...46 TO 52 BELOW 7000 FEET.
FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY... SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH... LOWS 19 TO 26 ABOVE 7000 FEET...25 TO 34 BELOW 7000 FEET.
SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW HIGHS 34 TO 44 ABOVE 7000 FEET...43 TO 48 BELOW 7000 FEET. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW LOWS 17 TO 24 ABOVE 7000 FEET...23 TO 32 BELOW 7000 FEET.
SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW... HIGHS 33 TO 43 ABOVE 7000 FEET...42 TO 47 BELOW 7000 FEET.
SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 19 TO 26 ABOVE 7000 FEET...25 TO 34 BELOW 7000 FEET.
MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW... HIGHS 31 TO 41 ABOVE 7000 FEET...40 TO 45 BELOW 7000 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW... LOWS 17 TO 24 ABOVE 7000 FEET...23 TO 32 BELOW 7000 FEET.
TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW... HIGHS 34 TO 44 ABOVE 7000 FEET...43 TO 48 BELOW 7000 FEET.
TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW LOWS 18 TO 25 ABOVE 7000 FEET...24 TO 33 BELOW 7000 FEET.
WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW... HIGHS 35 TO 45 ABOVE 7000 FEET...44 TO 49 BELOW 7000 FEET. =

As they say, it ain't over till the fat lady sings and I ain't her utter one single note!

Dennis :eek:

Just saw the Red, red Robin, Bob, bob, bob'n along!

Just saw the Red, red Robin, Bob, bob, bob'n along!

With

Tucson

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