LWX issues SPS for the mid-week storm...

Cheesy_Poofs · #1 Postby **Cheesy_Poofs** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 3:59 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
345 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2004

DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-221000-
ALBEMARLE VA-ALLEGANY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-BERKELEY WV-
CALVERT MD-CARROLL MD-CHARLES MD-CLARKE VA-CULPEPER VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK VA-
FREDERICK MD-GRANT WV-GREENE VA-HAMPSHIRE WV-HARDY WV-HARFORD MD-
HIGHLAND VA-HOWARD MD-JEFFERSON WV-KING GEORGE VA-LOUDOUN VA-
MADISON VA-MINERAL WV-MONTGOMERY MD-MORGAN WV-NELSON VA-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-ORANGE VA-PAGE VA-PENDLETON WV-
PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA-
RAPPAHANNOCK VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-SHENANDOAH VA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD-
SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ST. MARYS MD-STAFFORD VA-WARREN VA-WASHINGTON MD-

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE GULF COAST
STATES TUESDAY SPREADING PRECIPITATION NORTH OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION BY TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH IN CANADA WILL
PUSH COLDER TEMPERATURES SOUTH ACROSS MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA. THERE
IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH AND THE
STORM TRACK WILL BE SUCH THAT THE REGION MAY EXPERIENCE A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM.

AS ALWAYS...THIS STORM IS SEVERAL DAYS AWAY AND THERE IS UNCERTAINTY
AS TO THE EXACT TRACK...TYPE AND AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION. LATER
FORECASTS WILL BE BETTER ABLE TO REFINE THE DETAILS OF THE FORECAST.
AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ABOUT THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.

$$
MANNING/WATSON

Barnaby · #2 Postby **Barnaby** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:01 pm

I'm very close to honking right now.

My hand is on the honker....or horn...or what ever it is that I should actually have to start honking. :lol:

WXBUFFJIM · #3 Postby **WXBUFFJIM** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:03 pm

Something to watch closely 5 days out. With the NAO going negative and the presence of a colder wintry weather pattern, the potential does exist for a significant snowstorm somewhere in the mid atlantic region. It's the question of how much and where exactly does this occur.

One more storm to wrap up February is not too bad here. We have gone 15 days without measureable rain at BWI. But yet again after a wet year last year, we could use those deficits as opposed to 2002 when we just needed every drop of rain possible to fill up those reservoirs.

I'll keep watching this carefully. Thanks for the update Jassi.

Jim

Cheesy_Poofs · #4 Postby **Cheesy_Poofs** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:10 pm

Barnaby wrote:I'm very close to honking right now.

My hand is on the honker....or horn...or what ever it is that I should actually have to start honking.

LOL. I won't start honking until I see the GFS and Euro this evening.

N/P Jim.

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:22 pm

Well, as of now, it looks like LWX, HPC, Gary Gray, and DT are all onboard for a significant or major snowstorm around here. Is that a good thing or a bad thing from 5 days out, though? :wink:

WXBUFFJIM · #6 Postby **WXBUFFJIM** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:30 pm

The key word is POTENTIAL!!!! We gotta keep an eye on this to see if the models are consistent for another 4-5 days!!! So far, so good!!!

On average, some of the biggest snowstorms that have occurred in this region have done so around mid to late February. Once we get past mid March, the chances of a major snowstorm is almost zero in most years.

Jim

molecules · #7 Postby **molecules** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:43 pm

WXBUFFJIM wrote:The key word is POTENTIAL!!!! We gotta keep an eye on this to see if the models are consistent for another 4-5 days!!! So far, so good!!!

On average, some of the biggest snowstorms that have occurred in this region have done so around mid to late February. Once we get past mid March, the chances of a major snowstorm is almost zero in most years.

Jim

Another interesting note climologically speaking for the Philly area is this month of Feb. we have has only reported .10 of an inch of precip offically at phila int nat airport. That is very odd for this month giving this is our snowiest month around here. So that is a plus. Just another interesting fact to throw out!

WXBUFFJIM · #8 Postby **WXBUFFJIM** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:45 pm

Had received no precip for 15 days straight and counting. Today is day 15. But that streak may likely end by Tuesday night, about 3 days from now.

Jim

molecules · #9 Postby **molecules** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 4:49 pm

WXBUFFJIM wrote:Had received no precip for 15 days straight and counting. Today is day 15. But that streak may likely end by Tuesday night, about 3 days from now.

Jim

I think it will end.....It seems BWI/DC/PHI have gotten screwed this winter on snow and storm tracks I have a good feeling it's our turn.

Cheesy_Poofs · #10 Postby **Cheesy_Poofs** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 11:25 pm

Barnaby wrote:I'm very close to honking right now.

My hand is on the honker....or horn...or what ever it is that I should actually have to start honking.

Honk cancel. :cry:

Anonymous · #11 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Feb 21, 2004 11:37 pm

Well I am trending into spring now, but I am beginning to wonder if we might get some more snow.

We just had three days straight of 60 degree weather.

Those roads will be wet. They have gotten so warm that even if we did get heavy snow, it will be slush and the roads will be just fine.

-Jeb

LWX issues SPS for the mid-week storm...

LWX issues SPS for the mid-week storm...

POTENTIAL is key word here

Re: POTENTIAL is key word here

BWI

Re: BWI

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