NWS WAKEFIELD SEEMS TO DOUBT COMPUTER RUNS>>>

[hurricanedude]

IMPORTANT POINTS CONTRIBUTING TO HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN FCST
FOR WED THRU THU:

*PRECIP SHIELDS HV SURGED FRTHR N THN GDNC SUGG IN PAST SVL
SYSTEMS IN PAST CPL OF WEEKS DUE TO LESS DEEP DRYING THN GDNC SUGG.
*SVL NRN STREAM SYSTEMS FCSTD TO CONT TO FEED INTO WEAKENING SRN
STREAM IMPULSE.
*COMPLEX EVOLUTION FCSTD TO TAKE PLACE ADJACENT TO GULF OF MEXICO
AND GULF STREAM.
*HPC XTND DSCN SUGG PTNL SVR CNVCTN ALG NRN GULF COAST AND FL ASSOC
WTH STG UPR DYNMCS ASSOC WTH UPR IMPULSE. IF THIS OCCURS...
DOWNSTREAM UPR RIDGING WL AID STORM TRACK TO NW OF WHERE GDNC SUGG...
AND SFC/UPR SYSTEMS WUD BE MUCH STGR THN GDNC SUGG.
*GDNC HAS HAD DIFFICULTY EFFECTIVELY RESOLVING SYSTEMS UNTIL 12-24
HRS BEFORE AFFECTING OUR REGION.

SO...BASED ON CURRENT GDNC AND AREA OFFICE COLLABORATION...FCSTS
BASED ON SRN TRACK OF SYSTEM DEPICTED IN CURRENT GDNC. KEEPING SLGT
CHANCES FOR -RA/-SN IN SRN VA AND NE NC DURG MUCH OF TUE NGT THRU
THU...WTH -SN CHANCES INLAND SRN VA AND INLAND NE NC THU. AGN...
AREAS AND CHANCES FOR -RA AND -SN MAY NEED MODIFYING AS THE SYSTEM
EVOLUTION BECOMES MORE CLEAR.