From the Charlotte Observer, what the heck was this joker writing about? ETA is the Euorpean Model?? HA...HA....HA let the disinfromation begin.
Little snow is likely this week
Forecaster: 'Great deal of uncertainty'
STEVE LYTTLE
Staff Writer
Forecasters, faced with two widely different scenarios for a late-week winter storm, now think the Charlotte area and much of the Piedmont will get little if any snow Thursday.
The National Weather Service, along with the major private meteorological services, say only light snow is likely in most of the area.
However, added National Weather Service forecaster Rodney Hinson, “There remains a great deal of uncertainty in this situation.”
A very active southern jet stream is sending a series of storm systems across the Southeast this week.
The first of those systems spread light rain into the Carolinas on Monday. Another system will move through the area today, with a steady light rain likely late this morning and this afternoon.
Temperatures today are expected to climb into the upper 40’s, so there is no threat of wintry precipitation.
The most active weather today will be along the Gulf Coast, where severe thunderstorms and flooding rains will put a damper on the Mardi Gras celebrations in New Orleans, Mobile and other cities.
We’ll get a break from the precipitation late Tuesday night and most of Wednesday, before the next storm system arrives Thursday. By then, colder air is expected to filter into the Carolinas, setting the stage for the possible wintry weather.
One of the primary computer models used by forecasters, the European model (or ETA), predicts Thursday’s storm system will pummel Charlotte and much of the western Carolinas with a heavy snowstorm.
The other major model, the Global model (GFS), predicts Thursday’s storm system will remain far south of the Charlotte area, thereby limiting the amount of precipitation.
Forecasters say the GFS model has been more accurate in most of this winter’s storm systems.
In its Tuesday morning statement, the National Weather Service office in Greer, S.C., said, “The most recent data suggest little if any snow will fall across the heart of the Charlotte metro area, to the northwest Piedmont of North Carolina.”
The statement added, “Moisture will be limited over the I-77 corridor.”
Two major private forecasting firms, the Weather Channel and Accu-Weather, also predict only light snow for the Charlotte metro area – which also includes Monroe, Concord, Gastonia and Rock Hill.
Behind Thursday’s storm system, conditions should improve rapidly.
A chilly wind and partially cloudy sky is forecast Friday, with high temperatures in the upper 40’s.
But sunny skies and temperatures in the mid 60’s are forecast for Saturday and Sunday, before the next storm system arrives Sunday night. That system is likely to bring thunderstorms, rather than wintry precipitation, for the first day of March.
Don't you love when journalists try to play meteorologists?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Stormsfury
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donsutherland1
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Re: Don't you love when journalists try to play meteorologis
Wxbrad,
I would have among the following questions for the author of the article:
1) When and why did the European Union abandon the ECMWF and replace it with the ETA?
2) As the GFS is the only other "major" model, what happened to the rest?
3) At what point will the European Union acquire the GFS (which the author says has been more accurate this winter) and replace its recently-acquired ETA?
4) With all these developments on the model front, is it any surprise that there's much uncertainty? How can forecasters even begin to focus on the weather when they have to worry about what models might or might not be available and where they could be accessed on a daily basis?
I would have among the following questions for the author of the article:
1) When and why did the European Union abandon the ECMWF and replace it with the ETA?
2) As the GFS is the only other "major" model, what happened to the rest?
3) At what point will the European Union acquire the GFS (which the author says has been more accurate this winter) and replace its recently-acquired ETA?
4) With all these developments on the model front, is it any surprise that there's much uncertainty? How can forecasters even begin to focus on the weather when they have to worry about what models might or might not be available and where they could be accessed on a daily basis?
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Portastorm
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Wow, I didn't realize our board had folks who NEVER make a mistake in their jobs. How lucky we are!
Give the guy some credit for at least discussing the parameters involved. How many journalists even have a clue what any of these models are?
The Charlotte Observer gives a lot of attention to weather stories and I wish that newspapers in my part of the country did more of it.
Give the guy some credit for at least discussing the parameters involved. How many journalists even have a clue what any of these models are?
The Charlotte Observer gives a lot of attention to weather stories and I wish that newspapers in my part of the country did more of it.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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Portastorm
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Great! I think those journalists need all the help they can get from trained, professional mets. I suspect they will appreciate any guidance/education you can provide.
Good luck on the storm ... potential certainly seems like it could be a "doozie" for y'all.
Good luck on the storm ... potential certainly seems like it could be a "doozie" for y'all.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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