After reading Wxguy post which was very good and gave great information.
I took a look at the new 00z GFS run. It is showing a sharp trough across the Central US. Could be the Coldest Air of the season so far especially for the South. We are seeing more ridging in the West come next week and a huge trough setting up in the East.
The EUROPEAN which has done good with the Cold Air over the past couple years shows the same thing.
We have the Subtropical Jet over the South and that is condusive for a Southern Snow Storm with overunning precipitation.
We will see.
A White Thanksgiving!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
A White Thanksgiving!
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PurdueWx80
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Next week will see a major shift to cold weather across the eastern 2/3 of the US. It'll be exactly where it's warm now. And, to top it all of, there may be a big nasty storm right around Thanksgiving, or a couple of days before. Not many models are phasing the southern and northern streams, but it is at least hinted at, and Joe Bastardi thinks the extreme will happen (go figure!). Basically, what a phased system breaks down to is a very strong low pressure with severe weather in the warm sector, and a nasty snow storm on the northern side where surface temperatures remain at or just below freezing. Right now the most favored snow areas, to me, look to be from the TX panhandle, to OK, KS, MO, IL, IA, WI and MI. The Appalachians and mountains of the northeast are the usual suspects with these big storms as long as the storm doesn't go up too far to the west. It'll have to be the perfect combo of cold air sneaking in to the north and west of the storm track.
Today's Euro has the ~phased solution with a big storm going into the lakes.
Surface chart with 850 winds - pressure sub-990 mb
Upper chart (500 mb)
And the Canadian is getting there...it's low over MS/LA would travel NE then NNE, probably along or west of the Appalachian spine.
That spells a cold Thanksgiving!!
Today's Euro has the ~phased solution with a big storm going into the lakes.
Surface chart with 850 winds - pressure sub-990 mb
Upper chart (500 mb)
And the Canadian is getting there...it's low over MS/LA would travel NE then NNE, probably along or west of the Appalachian spine.
That spells a cold Thanksgiving!!
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PTrackerLA
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Does that mean it will be cold all the way to the gulf coast? They're now keeping rain chances in our forecast through the middle of next week with the front just making it through in time for Thanksgiving. I'm hoping for a big cold outbreak, so I can eat my turkey and light a fire at the same time!
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It looks like the Gulf Coast is in for a wet week. Front Monday may make it through for a couple hours to bring some cooler weather. Then the warm and humid weather comes back for Tuesday and Wednesday. Yes, by Thanksgiving it looks like we will clear out and become much colder.
The Southwesterly Flow Aloft is hard to predict therefore until next week we won't know exactly.
The Southwesterly Flow Aloft is hard to predict therefore until next week we won't know exactly.
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