Winter weather arriving to Central Indiana

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michaelwmoss
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Winter weather arriving to Central Indiana

#1 Postby michaelwmoss » Mon Nov 22, 2004 3:40 pm

Check it out!! Could be some accumulating snow!!

Strong storm to bring mix of weather to region Wednesday...

A strong storm system will develop Tuesday night and bring rain to
central Indiana. By Wednesday, the storm will move across Kentucky or
southeast Indiana. As it does so, colder air will surge into Illinois
and portions of Indiana. This could change the precipitation over to
snow.

At this time, the exact track of the storm is uncertain. However, it
appears that areas of central and northern Illinois into northern
Indiana and much of Michigan could see accumulating snow and
deteriorating travel conditions Wednesday into Wednesday night.

If you have travel plans on Wednesday, especially west toward St.
Louis or north toward Chicago or Michigan check http://www.Weather.Gov for
the latest forecasts and warnings. Once at http://www.Weather.Gov just click
on your area of planned travel for the latest on this developing
storm system.


Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details or updates.
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PurdueWx80
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#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Mon Nov 22, 2004 4:10 pm

The heaviest snow will run from Kansas City to Chicago...most of Indiana will see a dusting to an inch (except for the far northwest away from the lake where several inches are possible). Here is the Eta's representation of storm total snowfall:

Image

I'm expecting parts of MO, IA, IL and MI to see up to a foot, with most places seeing a good 4-7". Remember, roadways are still relatively warm, so driving won't be too much of a problem, except where the heaviest snow is falling (within the deformation band to the NW of the surface low). Most snow will occur on Wednesday as cold air rushes in and the powerful southern low phases with the northern stream. There will be EXTREMELY strong CAA on the left/back side of the associated vort max, with the 60+ kt low-level jet ushering in below-zero air. Some of that wind will translate to the surface with the tightening pressure gradient, making for blizzard-like conditions at times. Once out of the metro areas within this band, folks traveling for the holiday should use EXTREME caution on highways, especially after dark Wed. evening.

As a side note, the prospects for severe weather appear to be increasing in southern IN and northern KY (where I'll be for the rest of the week) for Wed, particularly through the early afternoon. It looks as if a dry slot will set up ahead of the surface low, and the Eta has CAPES upwards of 1500-2000 under the clear skies. Add in the fact that an 80 kt mid-level jet and 60-80 kt low-level jet will move across these regions, and you have an explosive situation along and head of the low and trailing cold front. I know most have been concentrating on areas further south, but the clearing being hinted at by some of the models really has me worried about tornadic storms around these parts. You always have to watch out for deepening surface lows (or any low really) since winds out ahead will be back around to the S or even SE (perfect environment for low-level helicity and low-level storm rotation). The mid-level rotation will already be there owing to the mid and upper jets, but that will be more conducive to lewps and bows along any squall line that develops. This looks to be a fascinating storm to say the least!!!
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Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Mon Nov 22, 2004 4:10 pm

Congrats!!! I hope you get about 12 inches of snow!!!

I hope that Virginia does NOT get severe weather!!! Please, no more tornadoes!!! But I wish everyone in the snow areas the very best!! ENJOY THAT SNOW!!! Take a nice long 7-mile jebwalk for me!!!! :) And get out there and shovel that snow!!!


-Jeb
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verycoolnin
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#4 Postby verycoolnin » Mon Nov 22, 2004 5:56 pm

A foot of snow may be excessive. I think AccuWeather has it about right.

Image
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Guest

#5 Postby Guest » Mon Nov 22, 2004 6:05 pm

I would go inbetween the both of them and go with 8 inches. which would include northern IN, Southern MI (Kalamazoo East and north to near Detroit), and extreme nw Ohio. SOME could see a foot (sw MI) BUT that will be with added lake effect AFTER the system passes by.
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michaelwmoss
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#6 Postby michaelwmoss » Thu Nov 25, 2004 10:07 am

The lake effect looks to have kicked off from Michigan and Erie. Great weather map by the way!! When will the site be up and ready?
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