"ALL Aboard the ARTIC EXPRESS!"

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
azsnowman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8591
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)

"ALL Aboard the ARTIC EXPRESS!"

#1 Postby azsnowman » Mon Nov 29, 2004 9:10 pm

"BRRR, BRRRR and TRIPLE BRRRRRRr!" Our "HIGH" for the day here at the house reached a "BALMY" 21° :eek: and the forecast LOW temp is SOMEWHERE between -6° to 0° :eek: :eek: for tonight, tomorrows high, even WARMER, 29° with an even COLDER temp for tomorrow night....
-10 to -3°, this is, with out a DOUBT, record breaking temps, these temps are indicative of late Jan, early Feb!

OH....btw, I forgot to mention the N-NW WIND we had ALL day too, peak gusts reached 32 MPH, sustained at 18....made for ONE H**LUVA BITTERLY COLD day, also, snow total was a meger 3", not quite the snowfall that was forecast but as with any cut off low, we KNOW it's HARD to predict the EXACT track! :wink:

Dennis :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

Re: "ALL Aboard the ARTIC EXPRESS!"

#2 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Nov 29, 2004 9:12 pm

azsnowman wrote:"BRRR, BRRRR and TRIPLE BRRRRRRr!" Our "HIGH" for the day here at the house reached a "BALMY" 21° :eek: and the forecast LOW temp is SOMEWHERE between -6° to 0° :eek: :eek: for tonight, tomorrows high, even WARMER, 29° with an even COLDER temp for tomorrow night....
-10 to -3°, this is, with out a DOUBT, record breaking temps, these temps are indicative of late Jan, early Feb!

OH....btw, I forgot to mention the N-NW WIND we had ALL day too, peak gusts reached 32 MPH, sustained at 18....made for ONE H**LUVA BITTERLY COLD day, also, snow total was a meger 3", not quite the snowfall that was forecast but as with any cut off low, we KNOW it's HARD to predict the EXACT track! :wink:

Dennis :eek:


Wow. Thats pretty cold :eek:
0 likes   

Guest

#3 Postby Guest » Mon Nov 29, 2004 9:25 pm

at least itll stick for a while ;)
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#4 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Nov 29, 2004 9:28 pm

nikolai wrote:at least itll stick for a while ;)


LOL...Right about that...:roflmao:
0 likes   

User avatar
azsnowman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8591
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)

#5 Postby azsnowman » Mon Nov 29, 2004 10:37 pm

Check out some of the latest obs.....BTW, I'm NOW down to 7° :eek:

Flagstaff, Flagstaff Pulliam Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 16 1 52 ENE 5 1029.00
Grand Canyon, Grand Canyon National Park Airport 29 Nov 19:50 Fair 9 4 79 NE 3 1033.50
Kingman, Kingman Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 32 16 51 E 7 1027.30
Winslow, Winslow Municipal Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 21 9 58 NW 6 1029.40
Page, Page Municipal Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Haze 32 7 34 NW 5 1027.80
Prescott, Love Field 29 Nov 19:50 Fair 27 14 58 N 8 1027.90
Phoenix, Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 54 12 19 NNE 8 1026.30
Window Rock, Window Rock Airport 29 Nov 19:50 Fair 11 6 80 calm 1027.40
Show Low Municipal 29 Nov 16:50 Mostly Cloudy 23 14 68 N 6 na
St. Johns, St. Johns Industrial Airpark 29 Nov 19:50 A Few Clouds 25 18 74 WSW 3 1026.20
Tucson, Tucson International Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 43 19 39 NNW 7 1025.70
Yuma / Yuma International 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 52 16 24 NNW 9 1027.80
LAKESIDE 29 Nov 20:00 13 11 90 E 4 G 6 na
FORT APACHE RX#1 29 Nov 19:10 11 9 90 N 2 G 4 na
BALDY 29 Nov 17:00 12 0 0 calm na
WILDCAT 29 Nov 17:00 19 0 0 calm na
GREER 29 Nov 20:05 7 -3 63 calm na
ALPINE 29 Nov 20:05 13 1 58 WNW 4 G 14 na
0 likes   

User avatar
azsnowman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8591
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)

#6 Postby azsnowman » Mon Nov 29, 2004 10:38 pm

The first number after the time is the actual temp, second # is the dew point!

Dennis
0 likes   

User avatar
W13
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1938
Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2004 2:46 pm
Location: Kent, Washington

#7 Postby W13 » Mon Nov 29, 2004 11:01 pm

Wow, that is pretty cold. Got any systems heading your way soon?
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#8 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Nov 29, 2004 11:12 pm

azsnowman wrote:Check out some of the latest obs.....BTW, I'm NOW down to 7° :eek:

Flagstaff, Flagstaff Pulliam Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 16 1 52 ENE 5 1029.00
Grand Canyon, Grand Canyon National Park Airport 29 Nov 19:50 Fair 9 4 79 NE 3 1033.50
Kingman, Kingman Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 32 16 51 E 7 1027.30
Winslow, Winslow Municipal Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 21 9 58 NW 6 1029.40
Page, Page Municipal Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Haze 32 7 34 NW 5 1027.80
Prescott, Love Field 29 Nov 19:50 Fair 27 14 58 N 8 1027.90
Phoenix, Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 54 12 19 NNE 8 1026.30
Window Rock, Window Rock Airport 29 Nov 19:50 Fair 11 6 80 calm 1027.40
Show Low Municipal 29 Nov 16:50 Mostly Cloudy 23 14 68 N 6 na
St. Johns, St. Johns Industrial Airpark 29 Nov 19:50 A Few Clouds 25 18 74 WSW 3 1026.20
Tucson, Tucson International Airport 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 43 19 39 NNW 7 1025.70
Yuma / Yuma International 29 Nov 19:55 Fair 52 16 24 NNW 9 1027.80
LAKESIDE 29 Nov 20:00 13 11 90 E 4 G 6 na
FORT APACHE RX#1 29 Nov 19:10 11 9 90 N 2 G 4 na
BALDY 29 Nov 17:00 12 0 0 calm na
WILDCAT 29 Nov 17:00 19 0 0 calm na
GREER 29 Nov 20:05 7 -3 63 calm na
ALPINE 29 Nov 20:05 13 1 58 WNW 4 G 14 na


WOW....I hope we can get that cold this winter :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

#9 Postby Aslkahuna » Mon Nov 29, 2004 11:14 pm

We have nothing that will give us anything other than keeping it cold. Here in Sierra Vista, I recorded a high of 42F which is the coldest high temperature I have ever recorded at the house since I began keeping records in 1988. We are already well below freezing and we could break my November record of 21F tonight or possibly tomorrow night. Temperatures in the teens are not out of the question. This brings up an
interesting possibility. Because of cold air drainage, the temperatures down by the river are anywhere from 10-15 degrees colder than they are here in town so lows down there could get into the single digits. Last year they had -2F by the river and +8F in Douglas during the big December cold spell. We are at latitude 31.6N at the house but also at 4500+ ft in elevation.

Steve
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#10 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Nov 29, 2004 11:17 pm

Aslkahuna wrote:We have nothing that will give us anything other than keeping it cold. Here in Sierra Vista, I recorded a high of 42F which is the coldest high temperature I have ever recorded at the house since I began keeping records in 1988. We are already well below freezing and we could break my November record of 21F tonight or possibly tomorrow night. Temperatures in the teens are not out of the question. This brings up an
interesting possibility. Because of cold air drainage, the temperatures down by the river are anywhere from 10-15 degrees colder than they are here in town so lows down there could get into the single digits. Last year they had -2F by the river and +8F in Douglas during the big December cold spell. We are at latitude 31.6N at the house but also at 4500+ ft in elevation.

Steve


Wow...Send this east latter in the winter. LOL
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#11 Postby weatherlover427 » Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:07 am

It's 44 here right now, I would not be surprised to see upper 30s at least if the temp keeps dropping at this rate. :eek:

You all stay warm out there in Arizona tonight. ;)
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#12 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:11 am

Joshua21Young wrote:It's 44 here right now, I would not be surprised to see upper 30s at least if the temp keeps dropping at this rate. :eek:

You all stay warm out there in Arizona tonight. ;)


Dang you westerners. Now yall got the cold. :P :D
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#13 Postby yoda » Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:12 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:
Joshua21Young wrote:It's 44 here right now, I would not be surprised to see upper 30s at least if the temp keeps dropping at this rate. :eek:

You all stay warm out there in Arizona tonight. ;)


Dang you westerners. Now yall got the cold. :P :D


Don't worry KC. We will get it soon...
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#14 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:13 am

yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
Joshua21Young wrote:It's 44 here right now, I would not be surprised to see upper 30s at least if the temp keeps dropping at this rate. :eek:

You all stay warm out there in Arizona tonight. ;)


Dang you westerners. Now yall got the cold. :P :D


Don't worry KC. We will get it soon...


COME ON MID JAN :D
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#15 Postby yoda » Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:14 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
Joshua21Young wrote:It's 44 here right now, I would not be surprised to see upper 30s at least if the temp keeps dropping at this rate. :eek:

You all stay warm out there in Arizona tonight. ;)


Dang you westerners. Now yall got the cold. :P :D


Don't worry KC. We will get it soon...


COME ON MID JAN :D


It will be here in about three weeks....
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#16 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:14 am

yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
Joshua21Young wrote:It's 44 here right now, I would not be surprised to see upper 30s at least if the temp keeps dropping at this rate. :eek:

You all stay warm out there in Arizona tonight. ;)


Dang you westerners. Now yall got the cold. :P :D


Don't worry KC. We will get it soon...


COME ON MID JAN :D


It will be here in about three weeks....


Just waiting on the SSTA's to switch.
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#17 Postby weatherlover427 » Tue Nov 30, 2004 1:04 am

I would say 31.7 is pretty cold by my book. :P

Although at this rate we might get pretty close tonight. :eek:

Now down to 42 here and still dropping...
0 likes   

User avatar
azsnowman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8591
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)

#18 Postby azsnowman » Tue Nov 30, 2004 6:29 am

W13 wrote:Wow, that is pretty cold. Got any systems heading your way soon?


As the pattern has been every weekend, it appears there IS another system forming, models aren't quite sure what track this next one will take as evident by the AFD. This is a GREAT pattern, as long as it lasts through the coming winter, this is VERY similar to 1997, one system after another, NEVER saw the ground until late May. I know everyone on the east coast is "Foaming at the mouth" waiting for snow/cold however, bear in mind, we've been in/still are, in a 9 year drought, we need every single snowflake we can get!

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FXUS65 KFGZ 301040 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF 330 AM MST TUE NOV 30 2004 .SYNOPSIS...EXPECT VERY COLD TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS AS A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS SITS OVER THE REGION. EXCEPT FOR THE PASSAGE OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS...SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WITH DRY CONDITIONS...AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. && .DISCUSSION...A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TODAY. HOWEVER WITH A COLD AIRMASS AND DRY ATMOS...NIGHTTIME RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE STRONG WITH NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPS AT A FEW LOCATIONS. THE STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL ACT TO STRENGTHEN THE INVERSIONS OVER THE HIGH DESERT REGIONS OF THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...CHINLE VALLEY AND AROUND PAGE...EXPECT COOL DAYTIME HIGHS. EXPECT A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING ON THURSDAY AS ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH SETTLES INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. BRINGING A REINFORCEMENT TO THE COOLER AIR OVER THE AREA. AS FOR THE EXTENDED PERIODS FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...ANOTHER STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. AS FOR MODEL CONSISTENCY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...THE GFS HAS NOT BEEN GOOD. EARLIER RUNS BROUGHT THE SYSTEM ACROSS ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AS AN OPEN WAVE...LATEST 06Z RUN NOW SHOWS THE SYSTEM AS A CLOSED LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. IF THE 06Z SOLUTION VERIFIES...THEN THE PRECIP THAT WE HAVE FOR SUNDAY MAYBE NOT BE RIGHT AND THE WEATHER COULD BE DRY INSTEAD. FOR NOW WE WILL KEEP WITH CURRENT FORECAST AND MAKE CHANGES WHEN NECESSARY OR WHEN MODEL FORECASTS START TO CONVERGE TOWARD A CONSISTENT SOLUTION.



Dennis
0 likes   

User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8728
Age: 57
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Kennedale, TX (Tarrant Co.)

#19 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Nov 30, 2004 8:48 am

Drive that ARTIC TRAIN on in to TEXAS Dennis, and we'll load it up with some good old SJS for ya!!!! :)
0 likes   

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#20 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Nov 30, 2004 11:48 am

Not to rain (or snow out) on the Easterners parade (including myself), but this building of snowpack in the SW has been exactly what the doctor ordered many years ago, and is finally getting around to being delivered ...

SF
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests