Pattern change, I knew it!

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
azsnowman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8591
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)

Pattern change, I knew it!

#1 Postby azsnowman » Thu Dec 02, 2004 8:40 pm

WELL....I knew this snow was TOO good to be true, it APPEARS the pattern that we've been in is breaking down, a return to ABOVE normal temps and WAY BELOW normal precip is on the horizon :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: AH WELL...it was GOOD while it lasted, besides, I'm tired of shoveling snow already LOL! (reverse psychology WORKS everytime!) :roll: :cry: :wink: 8-)

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK AND DRY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SIT WEST OF ARIZONA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP COOL AND DRY WEATHER OVER THE STATE...WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER. THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND IS BECOMING MORE DIFFICULT AS WE DRAW CLOSER TO THE EVENT. MODELS HAVE DEVIATED FROM EACH OTHER AND NOW WE ARE LEFT WITH SCENARIOS RANGING FROM A SIGNIFICANT STORM TO JUST A SKIFF OF SNOW AND MORE COLD WEATHER. EVEN THE GLOBAL MODELS VARY SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE GFS KEEPING ITS MORE PROGRESSIVE TREND THAT SHOWED UP LAST NIGHT. THE UKMET/CANADIAN/AND EURO MODELS ALL SHOW A SLOWER AND DEEPER SOLUTION...WITH MUCH MORE CURVATURE. WILL TREND TOWARD A LESS PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION FOR NOW...BUT WILL NOT GO MUCH HIGHER THAN 40 PERCENT POPS FOR SUNDAY AT THIS TIME. HGHTS RECOVER EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER WEAK S/WV POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY. RIGHT NOW...WE HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THIS WAVE...AND THAT LOOKS FINE. MODELS SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON A STRONG SOUTHWEST RIDGE BY LATE NEXT WEEK...WHICH WOULD BE A CHANCE FROM THE PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN UNDER FOR A MONTH OR MORE. PETERSON.

Dennis :cry:
0 likes   

Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests