Where's my winter?

Winter Weather Discussion

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southerngale
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Where's my winter?

#1 Postby southerngale » Mon Dec 06, 2004 8:08 pm

I saw a glimpse of it but now it's gone. Sitting at 72° right now...decorated my Christmas tree last night with the A/C on full blast instead of a fire blazing in the fireplace.

It sure is WET here - a mixture of that with COLD weather would be peachy!! Instead, I've got mud slop.

Anyone know when Old Man Winter will be knocking on the deep south's door?
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Re: Where's my winter?

#2 Postby Guest » Mon Dec 06, 2004 8:52 pm

southerngale wrote:I saw a glimpse of it but now it's gone. Sitting at 72° right now...decorated my Christmas tree last night with the A/C on full blast instead of a fire blazing in the fireplace.

It sure is WET here - a mixture of that with COLD weather would be peachy!! Instead, I've got mud slop.

Anyone know when Old Man Winter will be knocking on the deep south's door?



Could be by the weekend but your chances imo gets better as we head into next week and there after. It IS comming just gotta be just a little more patient.
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#3 Postby verycoolnin » Mon Dec 06, 2004 9:57 pm

There's winter in SE Texas???
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#4 Postby southerngale » Mon Dec 06, 2004 10:53 pm

Good point verycoolnin. We actually have 10 months of summer and 2 months of fall.

KOW....I had patience last year and the year before and the year before - I don't have any left! 8-)
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#5 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Dec 06, 2004 11:16 pm

KOW is right. We will probably see a shot of cold around MOnday or tuesday and then some real cold will settle end about a week and a half later till the end of the year if the models verify and the pattern holds.

We may see some VERY COLD(for us) weather right around Christmas.
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#6 Postby depotoo » Mon Dec 06, 2004 11:27 pm

send some cold weather my way too! it has been unseasonably warm here. just want more really cool mornings and evenings!
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#7 Postby Guest » Tue Dec 07, 2004 12:33 am

vbhoutex wrote:KOW is right. We will probably see a shot of cold around MOnday or tuesday and then some real cold will settle end about a week and a half later till the end of the year if the models verify and the pattern holds.

We may see some VERY COLD(for us) weather right around Christmas.


Yep and other things as well is starting to support this more and more. Infact alot of areas east of the rockies is looking to turn quite cold next week on. And what could make things even more intresting is if the the southern branch stays active which right now is as well looking good. Alot of If's but one thing for sure is that the temps that way should really start to come down next week down there.
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#8 Postby Wacahootaman » Tue Dec 07, 2004 4:56 am

Bring it on!

We needs to gets rid of de skeeters. Theys still bad down here in Wacahoota!

I gots all dis firewood cut up frum de hurricane and cant burn it cause it aint cold yet! It wuz 82 today.

I wants a frosty mornin wif ice on my winshield! ( But it better warm up to 60 and be sunny in de afternoon)

Wuts wrong wif Canada dis year? Usually, de weather man say dat cold air frum Canada is comming down but not dis year!

Bring it on!
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#9 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Dec 07, 2004 9:38 am

72?? Try 85 like it is here.. December and its sweating hot.. Sigh
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#10 Postby weatherlover427 » Tue Dec 07, 2004 10:35 am

We need more rain...Make sure to give us the trough back when you are done :P
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#11 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Dec 07, 2004 11:59 am

Mondays forecast for Dallas/Ft Worth has a high of 52 low of 30, I really don't think we will make it out of the upper 40's monday. Now I don't think this next front will say very long and it should warm slightly before the bottem falls out around the 17th give or take a day. After that you better have a good supply of firewood because we could have a repeat of 1989 when the deep freeze opened and we recorded the 3rd lowest temp on December 23, 1989 at -1 below. :D
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#12 Postby gboudx » Tue Dec 07, 2004 1:01 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:Mondays forecast for Dallas/Ft Worth has a high of 52 low of 30, I really don't think we will make it out of the upper 40's monday. Now I don't think this next front will say very long and it should warm slightly before the bottem falls out around the 17th give or take a day. After that you better have a good supply of firewood because we could have a repeat of 1989 when the deep freeze opened and we recorded the 3rd lowest temp on December 23, 1989 at -1 below. :D


I'd be scared to open my gas and electric bills in January if that were to happen. My heater would never shut off.
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#13 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Dec 07, 2004 1:20 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:Mondays forecast for Dallas/Ft Worth has a high of 52 low of 30, I really don't think we will make it out of the upper 40's monday. Now I don't think this next front will say very long and it should warm slightly before the bottem falls out around the 17th give or take a day. After that you better have a good supply of firewood because we could have a repeat of 1989 when the deep freeze opened and we recorded the 3rd lowest temp on December 23, 1989 at -1 below. :D


I'll be ready for it, it's been a few years since we've had a good cold outbreak. It hit 20 here in Jan. of 2002 and we also saw some snow but I want a year like Feb. of 1996 where our lows were in the teens for 3 days and the temp stayed below freezing for over 48 hours. 1989 wouldn't be bad either, we were in the single digits :eek: .
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#14 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Dec 07, 2004 1:47 pm

quick look before it's to late :D

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#15 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Dec 07, 2004 6:25 pm

Looks good but only time will tell. It is looking more likely that it will turn much colder around here starting Monday, so maybe we can eliminate some of the mosquitos next week!
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#16 Postby yoda » Tue Dec 07, 2004 6:48 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:quick look before it's to late :D

Image


That just looks ridiculous... :lol: I can't see that happening anytime soon... looks to be WAY overdone IMO. :eek:
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#17 Postby verycoolnin » Tue Dec 07, 2004 7:40 pm

I can't see that happening anytime soon
I can see it happening in... oh... 9.5 days. :lol:
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#18 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Dec 07, 2004 8:23 pm

Yoda, please explain why you think it is overdone. Are you saying something someone else is saying at another site? At least tell us why you think it is overdone. Looks very possible to me with several models now appearing to latch on to it.
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#19 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Dec 07, 2004 8:34 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Yoda, please explain why you think it is overdone. Are you saying something someone else is saying at another site? At least tell us why you think it is overdone. Looks very possible to me with several models now appearing to latch on to it.


I agree with you to David. It does not look overdone in the least bit. DT and HM are calling this possibly MECL or MECS bait over on another site.

Here is Daves Exact words
DT wrote:The threat for a MECS or MECL is VERY High for dec 15 TIME frame... i will go into that later but clearly the s/w coming into the west coast on the day 9 and d 10 euro UNDER the west canada ridge -- on the STJ -- is going to spin up a HUGE winter storms over the east coast.


DTS GREAT POSTS LINK

Hm says that this is just a taste of whats to come after the real pattern switch in mid January, HM says there will be a brief warm up around the last week of December to First week or two of January then the big Shabang.
Link to HM's Post Below

HM's Great Post

Not to mention SF great post that has me all elated

Stormsfury wrote:
RaleighWX wrote:I agree. Second half of December should have many chances at a big snow event over the east. Hopefully we can get one supressed enought to bring a good snow down here, or if one phases, hopefully there will be a storng enough high in the right CAD position to give us some serious ice and snow.


Right now I think that won't be a problem. I sat down for lunch and viewed the 0z ECMWF and literally had to bite my tongue as to not to scream out loud about the potentials on the 3 day avg ...

SF



Use the link I gave for DT's quote and you will see his post there.

Overall the MRF(GFS) Cringe:eek: looks pretty good there.
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#20 Postby breeze » Tue Dec 07, 2004 9:10 pm

These mid-60°F temps are so VERY unseasonably warm!
I'm hoping that KOW and CaptinCrunch's resources are right on!
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