Crazy Question
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Crazy Question
I have a well, a studpid question-if a local met was giving a forecast (or general idea) for Christmass Day, what other model could he/she use other than the GFS for that far out?? Our local met in KC today said he figured it will be upper 40's on the 24th and lower 40's for 25th with no precip. Looking at the GFS for that time, I don't see it being that warm here-I'm not saying the GFS is correct-It does show a colder trend for the next few weeks with slight possibilities of the STJ getting going-but I was just wondering what this particular met was looking at-am I reading the GFS wrong? On the 850, the 0 line is almost to Central Texas and even the 540 line is in Nothern Oklahoma-what am I missing? Thanks-Have a good day
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Yoda:
Thanks for the response and I toally agree-I'm not saying the GFS is correct as far as the actual temps and even taking the GFS' cold bias, I think 40's are too high- but I think it may show a trend. My question was, I just wonder what he was basing his mid to upper 40's temps on when the models and indicators are going for a colder solution trend wise. Also, if the GFS is the only other model that goes that far out, was he just guessing based on the fact that the next two weeks will see a cold shot then moderate then cold again?? Not that it really matters!! I was just curious. I mean, I'm so bored weather wise here since September (accept for that one snow) that I get excited about a wind event and cold front that ony cools our temps to the uppers 30's or low 40's-only about 3-5 degrees below normal!! Or I'm trying to questioned somebody who is really a good met!! What will I do if we get a two inch snow??? Have a good day!!
Thanks for the response and I toally agree-I'm not saying the GFS is correct as far as the actual temps and even taking the GFS' cold bias, I think 40's are too high- but I think it may show a trend. My question was, I just wonder what he was basing his mid to upper 40's temps on when the models and indicators are going for a colder solution trend wise. Also, if the GFS is the only other model that goes that far out, was he just guessing based on the fact that the next two weeks will see a cold shot then moderate then cold again?? Not that it really matters!! I was just curious. I mean, I'm so bored weather wise here since September (accept for that one snow) that I get excited about a wind event and cold front that ony cools our temps to the uppers 30's or low 40's-only about 3-5 degrees below normal!! Or I'm trying to questioned somebody who is really a good met!! What will I do if we get a two inch snow??? Have a good day!!
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