dangerous cold

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wthrmilagro

dangerous cold

#1 Postby wthrmilagro » Wed Dec 22, 2004 12:26 pm

Wow, that is all I have to say...

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Old Man Winter has already put an icy grip on all of the central states, and the harsh cold will spread to the Eastern Seaboard by Christmas Eve. The cold is being caused by a huge dip in the jet stream. Whenever that happens this time of year, any bitter air that has been stored in Canada surges into the United States. Across the northern and central states, the cold is appropriately labeled dangerous since frostbite can occur in short order. In the Deep South, where temperatures will be running 20 to 30 degrees below normal, extreme cold is the best description.

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The Great Plains and Midwest will have to endure excruciatingly cold weather Thursday. Over a broad area of the north central states, the temperature will never get rise above zero. An even larger area will have temperatures no higher than 10 degrees all day. On the eastern flank of the cold wave, harsh winds will lower Real Feel (tm) temperatures to 20 and 30 below zero.
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sertorius
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#2 Postby sertorius » Wed Dec 22, 2004 2:25 pm

It is truly cold here in the Lawrence/Kansas City area-especially considering there is no snow cover-we will prob. bottom out Thursday night at about minus 2-but, as cold as it is, this is really not that bad for here as we are supp. to be 38 on Saturday (that is just 4 degrees below normal) and then 50 by Sunday. To me, a real cold snap or severe cold is cold that lasts for at least 5 days-last winter it never went above 20 for about 8-10 days or, 1989 where we bottomed out at minus 24 and stayed in the teens or below for almost 3 weeks. Of course, the low may not develop so fast out west and the cold may hang on for another day, but for all intents and purposes, this shot is two days then gone. Next week looks to be warm thru at least Friday. Current temp is 17 degrees with a stiff North wind-we have at least 8-10 days like this in a normal winter-now for Texas, Oklahoma, etc. that is a shock. Interestingly enough, Topeka didn't even put a hazordous outlook or short term forcast concerns for this area untill 4:00 this morning and that was just for Northern Kansas where wind chills may dip around minus 15 tonight.
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PurdueWx80
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#3 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Dec 22, 2004 2:33 pm

I'm betting on a few -25's in southern IL, IN and OH Christmas morning with widespread readings from -10 to -20...there is no way this can be escaped given snowpack of 8-20". Christmas eve day may stay near or below zero all day. All time records here are around -22 in Louisville (I think) but most of the smaller towns have records as cold as -35. Christmas records will likely be broken or tied though.
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sertorius
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#4 Postby sertorius » Wed Dec 22, 2004 2:47 pm

I think I need to clarify a bit: I wasn't trying to down play this for Texas, Oklahoma and points south as well as where the blizzard is occuring in far south eastern Missouri, Kentucky, Tenn., Ohio and Indiana as it is going to be brutal-especially with the huge snow pack and I would think that the models are way to warm for those areas early next week with that much snow on the ground. But for the central plains where there is no snow pack, this is basically a 2 day cold shot that makes it a bit uncomfortable to go outside. It is nothing we don't deal with for at least 6-10 days every winter. It is just my opinion, but to me a real cold out break for this area is one that lasts at least 6 days and never goes above 28 degrees and has reenforcing shots. We have gone down to negative 7 or 8 without snow cover before and not much even to our North. To be honest, this is not getting much play here for two reasons: 1. it is gone by Saturday. 2. Originally it looked to last longer and there was chances of some snow. Next week we will be in the 50's for most of the week. Points east of here to the apps. it is a totally different story.
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#5 Postby Wpwxguy » Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:09 pm

Its 73 degrees out now . Just turned on my AC the humidity is terrible. Should see severe weather here later. Then hopefully we'll get that cold. :(
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wthrmilagro

#6 Postby wthrmilagro » Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:20 pm

Wpwxguy wrote:Its 73 degrees out now . Just turned on my AC the humidity is terrible. Should see severe weather here later. Then hopefully we'll get that cold. :(


Wow, you guys. Please keep warm. I just spoke to an adjuster in Kansas and Illinois and they both said it was freezing..
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Scorpion

#7 Postby Scorpion » Wed Dec 22, 2004 4:01 pm

73 is warm? Hah. Here I consider a high of 73 a cool day. Supposed to get to 81 tomorrow :eek: . Cant that dangerous cold slide down a bit down here? We can take it down here :D .
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