latest GFS: snowstorm NE for monday night into tues ??

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EXTONPA
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latest GFS: snowstorm NE for monday night into tues ??

#1 Postby EXTONPA » Wed Jan 26, 2005 9:44 pm

looks like storm bombing out along mid-atlantic coast around that time
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#2 Postby EXTONPA » Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:15 pm

JMA now showing same thing!
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#3 Postby EXTONPA » Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:20 pm

ECMWF now showing blizzard on Tuesday-Weds for north-midatlantic and new england comparable to the last blizzard. This is getting interesting!
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#4 Postby EXTONPA » Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:31 pm

this has shades of the 93 superstorm...if models continue to converge tomorrow, this will be all over the news...
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#5 Postby JenyEliza » Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:43 pm

EXTONPA wrote:this has shades of the 93 superstorm...if models continue to converge tomorrow, this will be all over the news...


Maybe...but the Superstorm of '93 had snow all the way down deep in the Southeast. My part of Atlanta saw almost a foot of snow before it was over for Superstorm 1993.
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#6 Postby EXTONPA » Wed Jan 26, 2005 11:06 pm

probably will be quite a bit different in terms of the geography affected, but there are some definite parallels between the upcoming weather pattern and the pattern back in 93....
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#7 Postby Matt31388 » Wed Jan 26, 2005 11:07 pm

EXTONPA wrote:this has shades of the 93 superstorm...if models continue to converge tomorrow, this will be all over the news...


Your exciting me...
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#8 Postby EXTONPA » Wed Jan 26, 2005 11:16 pm

well, at the very least, the weather should be fun to follow over the next several days!
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#9 Postby SnowGod » Thu Jan 27, 2005 12:41 am

Err.............................What is with this thread?

Superstorm 93? Whaaaaaaaaaa???????????

Believing in bad model data(which what the GFS and European are showing and what fits the pattern is 2 far different things.
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#10 Postby VERMONTsnow » Thu Jan 27, 2005 1:59 am

the pattern in the next 7 days does not get any better for a BLOCKBUSTER storm in the east! I agree, with the other post: there are similarities between the 93 pattern and the current pattern; all of the long range models show major storms in the horizon. Someone is going to get a heck of a storm, although the exact day is still to be determined.
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#11 Postby snow_wizzard » Thu Jan 27, 2005 2:05 am

You guys need to look at the 850mb temps. They are not cold at all by early next week. In fact, the entire nation is warm early next week. The NE could see some snow, but it would be wet.
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#12 Postby andrewr » Thu Jan 27, 2005 2:08 am

I think I remember reading from someone that the temps can be lowered a few degrees because of the snow all ready on the ground. All though I don't know if that will lower it enough to make much of a difference.
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Sending us more snow, huh? Quit That!

#13 Postby Persepone » Thu Jan 27, 2005 5:03 am

You're sending us all your snow so that you won't have to shovel it and pile it up in your yards, I see... javascript:emoticon(':roll:')
javascript:emoticon(':roll:')

Quit that! We got a bunch yesterday/last night and right now it is snowing hard and blowing around. I have to go out and try and shovel some off the roof! And keeping the vents clear has gotten to be a real pain...

Is this like the 12 Days of Christmas and the overzealous gift-giving boyfriend or what?

We still have streets in town that have not been plowed yet from the first storm... This is getting ridiculous. (Cape Cod usually does not get that much snow.)
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#14 Postby Guest » Thu Jan 27, 2005 5:42 am

Lets not get to far ahead of ourselves here. To start with by the looks of it this looks to be a miller B type system which as was seen with the Blizz some may get zilcho while others get a mega blizz PERHAPS. As of right now this looks almost like the blizz we just had for many from the mw/lakes eastward. Only difference this time is this looks to be comming from the sw which may add fuel to the fire seing how it will be able to tap more gom moisture. And as well affect places further the the west but a bit south though of the blizz such as in KS, MO, IL etc.

The EC shows a system going from the southern Plains into the OV (into southern/Central Ohio) and then making a jump and redeveloping off the Delmarva and slowly making its way up the coast while bombing out. This btw is a better track for those in the MA especially from Baltimore, MD south then with the blizz. However there could be more mixing concerns from near DC south with this but still get a nice snowstorm out of it and better then what the blizz did for there for sure.
On the other side of the Apps unfortunatly at this point mixing would be a huge concern from near the i70 corridor south in IL, IN, and more so OH.


Still a bit to early to call but worth mentioning at this point anyways. Nothing as of yet is written in stone. So anything between now and then could and probably will change. I'll share my own thoughts on this later on after i see the 12z runs.
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#15 Postby storm4u » Thu Jan 27, 2005 6:27 am

:D
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#16 Postby ohiostorm » Thu Jan 27, 2005 12:11 pm

Our forecast is showing all rain Monday into Tuesday. I'd like to see some snow. No more rain please. Still flooding here. We can't afford more rain. Or ice!
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#17 Postby BowMeHunter » Thu Jan 27, 2005 2:11 pm

My preidiction will be mostly a coastal storm.....
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#18 Postby BlizzzardMan » Thu Jan 27, 2005 5:54 pm

ohiostorm wrote:Our forecast is showing all rain Monday into Tuesday. I'd like to see some snow. No more rain please. Still flooding here. We can't afford more rain. Or ice!


Our forecast is saying a 40% chance of rain or snow Monday and 50% chance of rain or snow Monday night. Their forecasting a high or 40 here Monday and low of 30 Monday night. Maybe if we get anything at all from this, it might go from snow to rain and back to snow? Just 50/50 odds right now though. Like BowMeHunter said, the bulk of it will stay east more toward the coast anyway. Here's hoping though.
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#19 Postby ohiostorm » Thu Jan 27, 2005 5:57 pm

Still a couple days out. Temps could change as they get a "better handle" on the storm.
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