Final snowfall estimates

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EXTONPA
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Final snowfall estimates

#1 Postby EXTONPA » Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:32 pm

1-3 Baltimore, Philly, Newark, Providence
2-4 West Chester PA, Allentown, Hartford, Andover Mass
4-8 Reading PA, Albany NY, Greenfield MA, Concord NH
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Fodie77
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#2 Postby Fodie77 » Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:34 pm

What do you think about for the Shenandoah Valley? (NW VA)
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EXTONPA
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#3 Postby EXTONPA » Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:34 pm

1-3 inches
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#4 Postby Fodie77 » Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:36 pm

EXTONPA wrote:1-3 inches


Only 1-3! You said in DDT's thread that people 100mi. inland would see heavy snow.
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#5 Postby EXTONPA » Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:39 pm

sorry! I thought you were further east...well, I'd say anywhere from 4-12 inches...it all hinges on how close the low is to the shore.
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#6 Postby Fodie77 » Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:40 pm

EXTONPA wrote:sorry! I thought you were further east...well, I'd say anywhere from 4-12 inches...it all hinges on how close the low is to the shore.


Yeah, I think I'm one of the only people on this board that actually wants this storm to move further west.
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#7 Postby BlizzzardMan » Sun Feb 27, 2005 6:11 pm

Fodie77 wrote:
EXTONPA wrote:sorry! I thought you were further east...well, I'd say anywhere from 4-12 inches...it all hinges on how close the low is to the shore.


Yeah, I think I'm one of the only people on this board that actually wants this storm to move further west.


I'm not sure where I want it to go now. Right now they are saying that both lows are going to affect my area and give us at least 8 inches. Originally I wanted it to go further west too. I guess I still would since that might just add to it even more for my area. Interesting storm(s)
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#8 Postby carve » Sun Feb 27, 2005 6:28 pm

This storm is crazy..we now have ws watches here in central ohio..They calling for 3-6 inches here in central ohio..wxrisk saying 4-8..i hope we finally get some.We have been missed so many times.
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#9 Postby AnthonyC » Sun Feb 27, 2005 7:23 pm

This could be a big storm for the Northeast. Although the surface low does hug the coast, there's already cold air in place with the canadian surface high. Add wet-bulb cooling affect and heavier precipitation and you've got a heavy, wet snow. Here are my estimates...

Washington DC/Philly: Will initially begin as snow...probably 3-8 inches before a changeover to sleet/freezing rain. Once the low moves up the coast, wrap-around moisture should produce another 2-4 inches. Probably the biggest storm of the season for this area.

New York City: Going to get clobbered. I say an initial 6-10 inches before maybe a changeover to sleet...and then another 3-6 inches once the surface low pulls away from the coast.

Boston: May be the loser of this storm. With the storm hugging the coast, enough warm, atlantic air should mix in to limit the amount of accumulation. An initial 3-6 inches is possible before a definite changeover to sleet. Should stay that way the rest of the storm...although some ocean bands may form once the storm exits.

Definitely a major nor'easter for the end of February, beginning of March. I think you'll have better luck compared to the March 1, 2001 storm.

Anthony
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krysof

#10 Postby krysof » Sun Feb 27, 2005 7:30 pm

well the main storm will hit in February not March which would mean no bust hopefully
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#11 Postby EXTONPA » Sun Feb 27, 2005 7:30 pm

in order for a noreaster to produce heavy snows in big cities, the center of the low needs to pass to the south and east of cape cod as it trecks northward. this puts places like Philly, NYC and boston in the coldest quadrant of the storm. The current storm looks like it will almost hug the coast and pass straight over NYC or Long Island. This track puts the big cities out of the heavy snow for sure. There will be very little snow in Baltimore, Philly, and probably not much in NYC or Boston. If someone has an argument to the contrary I'd be happy to hear it
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#12 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sun Feb 27, 2005 7:46 pm

Currently the surface low is centered east of jacksonville, florida. The center of the low has a central pressure of 996 millibars, again possibly an overachiever with respect to intensity and it's only progged to get stronger as it heads up along the coast as a classic nor' easter.

Jim
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#13 Postby stormman » Sun Feb 27, 2005 8:40 pm

how is that the biggest snow of the winter for philly? we had 14 from the jan 22 storm here in philly.
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