My New Snowfall Predicitons

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krysof

My New Snowfall Predicitons

#1 Postby krysof » Tue Nov 29, 2005 5:03 pm

I changed my snowfall predicitons as I was too farfetc'd with my predicitons last time.

A potential snowstorm has got me intrested, but its a week away and things could certainly change.

My predicitons for 1-3 inch snowfalls for the big cities last time and the crazy summer predictions was too extreme.

I still predict below normal snowfall for now:

Boston, MA- 20-22 inches
New York City, NY- 14-18 inches
Philadelphia, PA- 12-16 inches
Washington D.C- 8-13 inches
Richmond, Va- 4-9 inches
Raleigh, NC-2-6 inches

Any further south and it should be 1-3 inches in the cities with near 0 to maybe an inch in Georgia and the rest of the southeast cities.

The suburbs of these areas could pick up about 2-4 inches more than in the cities themselves, and the higher elevations could pick up 3-6 inches more. I will update these by mid December. Any significant snowstorm in the next two weeks will cause me to up these totals significantly. Many people won't be happy with my predicitons but its a lot higher than I put at the beginning. Because of a neutral season, and -PDO, the totals are below normal unless there is there prolonged periods of -Nao conditions then the snowfall predicitons will be upped as well.
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#2 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Nov 29, 2005 5:16 pm

okay I can deal with those numbers :wink: lol

yeah dont worry about changing stuff around... any forecast I make will be altered up to the last snowfall lol

I think that temperatures will be about average for most of the east however with above average precipitation...

I think I might dare to make a forecast for this up coming storm...

right now Im going to say that most of interior southern New England should see at least 4 inches of snow from this forecasted storm, based on the past model runs...
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truballer#1

#3 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Nov 29, 2005 5:27 pm

ill post my snowfall map of next weeks storm this friday when I get a lil better uderstanding
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krysof

#4 Postby krysof » Tue Nov 29, 2005 5:39 pm

well latest model runs continue with this storm so I think it will probably happen, maybe the big cities could get a good snowstorm, but thats still too far out to tell
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#5 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Nov 29, 2005 10:10 pm

Krysof, much more reasonable forecasting. Good job.
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