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will there be snow in tampa?

Poll ended at Tue Feb 14, 2006 1:26 pm

10% chance
6
55%
20% chance
0
No votes
30% chance
3
27%
40% chance
0
No votes
60% chance
0
No votes
70% chance
0
No votes
80% chance
0
No votes
90% chance
0
No votes
100% chance
2
18%
 
Total votes: 11

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JonathanBelles
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#1 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Feb 12, 2006 1:26 pm

i think there is a small chance of snow but what makes it it hard is the location, 80 by friday!
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gatorcane
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#2 Postby gatorcane » Sun Feb 12, 2006 3:56 pm

how about adding a 0% chance? Tampa/Clearwater/St.Petersburg metros have a 0% chance. Maybe extreme inland and northern parts of the Tampa Bay area have a 0.000001% chance. With strong NW winds coming of the GOM waters and a cloud bank overhead tonight it won't get below the mid 40s near the coast, not cold enough for snow. Tomorrow night will be colder for sure as winds slaken and clear skies take contol but there won't be any precipitation chances. That's my vote.
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#3 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Feb 12, 2006 3:59 pm

yeah...10% chance max. Does not look like it will be an event of any significance. May be 1 or 2 reports of a flurry but that is it probably. Some places may see light sprinkles though, but most places will be too warm for flurries.
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#4 Postby WaitingForSiren » Sun Feb 12, 2006 4:54 pm

I dont expect any precip what so ever. Look at the satellite..its totally clear, and the models dont really develop anything.
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#5 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Feb 12, 2006 5:05 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 9&start=20 look at the graphs almost an inch expected
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#6 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Feb 12, 2006 5:13 pm

Tampa will not see an inch of snow. If an inch fell it would be 5 times the 1977 snowstorm. Not going to happen. With an air temp. of 35-40F...any flurries that did fall would NOT stick (especially since they would be light and the ground would be warm). Additionally, there is not a lot of moisture to work with. Overall, even if a few flakes are managed to be seen...it will be a non-event...most people would never spot the 1-2 flakes that may fall and there would be no accumulation. To top it off..your high tomorrow will be near 50F..the opening for snow is a small, small period early tomorrow morning. More than likely any precip. that falls will be in the form of drizzle. The Tampa NWS has not even put a precip. chance in their forecast, meaning that even drizzle is a 10% or less chance. In the end, seeing snow in Tampa tomorrow seems highly unlikely, and though some days miracles do occur, I doubt tomorrow will be that day.
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#7 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 12, 2006 5:18 pm

fact789 wrote:http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=81259&start=20 look at the graphs almost an inch expected


No... that's what the GFS predicts... that is not what is "expected".

Tampa will be lucky to see a few flakes.
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#8 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sun Feb 12, 2006 6:33 pm

WaitingForSiren wrote:I dont expect any precip what so ever. Look at the satellite..its totally clear, and the models dont really develop anything.


Radar does show some showers offshore now. Sarasota is reporting light rain at 5pm. Also, overcast conditions at other stations in central FL.

Not saying that I believe it will happen, because I don't.
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