Moderate chance of severe wx for Texas gulf coast!?

[Garnetcat5]

Tornado watch for Ft Bend county until 9Issued at: 1:50 PM CST 2/1/06, expires at: 9:00 PM CST 2/1/06

Tornado watch 24 is in effect until 900 pm cst for the following locations Tx ., Texas Counties Included Are:
Austin, Brazoria, Calhoun Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend Galveston, Grimes, Hardin Harris, Jackson, Jasper Jefferson, Liberty, Matagorda Montgomery, Newton, Orange Polk, San Jacinto, Tyler Victoria, Waller, Washington Wharton.

[Extremeweatherguy]

From the SPC:

...SERN TX/SRN LA-MS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LOOP DEPICTS COMPACT BUT POTENT SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVING STEADILY ESEWD ACROSS LOWER RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IMPULSE IS FORECAST TO PIVOT ACROSS THE TX
COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE LIFTING NEWD OVER LA THROUGH
DAYBREAK THURSDAY. STRONG DPVA/LIFT WAS ALREADY ACTING ON MOISTURE
AT THE TOP OF THE CAPPING INVERSION AND SUPPORTING ELEVATED
CONVECTION NORTH OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT...FROM EAST OF SAT TO
NORTH OF HOU. EXPECT ACTIVITY THROUGHOUT THIS CORRIDOR TO CONTINUE
TO INCREASE IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AS STRONG DYNAMIC LIFT SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION. A CLUSTER OR TWO
OF HAIL-PRODUCING TSTMS NEAR/WITHIN MID LEVEL TROUGH COULD SPREAD
NEWD TOWARD THE TXK/SHV AREA THROUGH LATE EVENING. HOWEVER...MORE
VIGOROUS/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS...AND LARGER HAIL...WILL LIKELY OCCUR
CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS WARM SECTOR CONTINUES TO EXPAND
INLAND ACROSS THE TX COAST FROM VCT NEWD TO WEST OF HOU AS SURFACE
LOW WEST OF VCT DEEPENS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED
ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. HOWEVER...STRONGER WARM SECTOR INITIATION
APPEARS LIKELY WHEN CRP 18Z SOUNDING IS ADJUSTED FOR LATEST INFLOW
AIR MASS /TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID
60S/. EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS AS STORMS TAP GREATER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AHEAD OF
THE DEVELOPING LOW...AND ALONG/SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. TORNADO AND
LARGE HAIL THREAT MAY INCREASE INTO THE EVENING AS STORMS SPREAD
ACROSS THE TX GULF COAST FROM VCT THROUGH HOU/GLS AREA.
EVOLUTION INTO AN MCS APPEARS LIKELY BY LATE EVENING AS DEEP LAYER
LARGER-SCALE CIRCULATION MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER TX COAST AND AIDS IN
UPSCALE ORGANIZATION. HAIL AND WIND THREAT SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE MCS
AS IT SPREADS EWD ALONG THE LA GULF COAST THROUGH THE NIGHT.

[southerngale]

The first post now shows SPC Day 2. Here's an update for today. We're smack dab in the middle of it all.

[southerngale]

Some of the cells near here must be pretty intense. I RARELY see any pink on here...usually yellow is pretty strong and red is heavy or intense. I can't remember the last time I even saw pink show up.

KFDM Doppler Radar - click anywhere on the map to animate it.
http://www.kfdm.com/doppler.shtml


Lake Charles and Houston NWS radars aren't working.

Edit: I just checked wunderground because they give details about each cell and that radar is down for maintenance.

geesh...

[Yankeegirl]

We really havent gotten much of anything here today.. It was a rainy miserable day, but no thunder, lightning or anything severe... Go figure... As I look at the animated doppler, I can see the low spinning just to the north of Houston... Very cool doppler...

~lisa