Since 1987, at least 45 people have been killed by tornadoes on that date. There have been at least 170 tornadoes on recent November 15's.
1987: 11 people were killed in the south-central US, mainly in Texas and Louisiana, from at least 22 tornadoes. Palestine, Texas was almost destroyed.
1988: At least 44 tornadoes hit the central US. 7 people were killed.
1989: Huntsville, Alabama is slammed by an F4 tornado, killing 21 people. In total, at least 18 tornadoes touched down.
1994: While not a large outbreak with 6 tornadoes, one person was killed on the east coast of Florida by an F2 tornado (remnants of Hurricane Gordon?).
2005: About 50 tornadoes hit the central US in the largest outbreak on this date. Amazingly, only 1 person was killed though.
2006: The Deep South sees about 30 tornadoes (a couple more the next morning including a deadly one). 2 people were killed (plus 8 more the next morning).
2008: While not an outbreak (yet), 2 people are killed in North Carolina from at least one tornado.
Severe weather - Atlantic Coast - November 15
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Looks like another watch coming. Continue discussion here.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2391
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1247 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN PA...NRN NJ...SERN NY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 151847Z - 151945Z
PARTIAL CLEARING HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN PA/NJ...AND
EVEN PORTIONS OF SERN NY AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH AHEAD OF STRONG
UPPER TROUGH. SFC DEW POINTS SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT RISE QUICKLY
INTO THE LOWER 60S WHICH COMBINED WITH WEAK LAPSE RATES ARE
SUFFICIENT FOR LOW TOPPED CONVECTION. GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING IT
APPEARS BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE ADEQUATE FOR A FEW STRONGER
STORMS...DESPITE MINIMUM IN LIGHTNING. BROKEN SQUALL LINE IS
GRADUALLY DEVELOPING NWD ACROSS MD INTO SERN PA. THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD CONTINUE DEVELOPING/SPREADING NNEWD ACROSS ERN PA INTO SERN
NY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS ARE THE GREATEST THREAT WITH FRONTAL CONVECTION. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE WW.
..DARROW.. 11/15/2008
Already have two watches out now. May see another one farther south later too?
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2391
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1247 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN PA...NRN NJ...SERN NY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 151847Z - 151945Z
PARTIAL CLEARING HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN PA/NJ...AND
EVEN PORTIONS OF SERN NY AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH AHEAD OF STRONG
UPPER TROUGH. SFC DEW POINTS SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT RISE QUICKLY
INTO THE LOWER 60S WHICH COMBINED WITH WEAK LAPSE RATES ARE
SUFFICIENT FOR LOW TOPPED CONVECTION. GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING IT
APPEARS BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE ADEQUATE FOR A FEW STRONGER
STORMS...DESPITE MINIMUM IN LIGHTNING. BROKEN SQUALL LINE IS
GRADUALLY DEVELOPING NWD ACROSS MD INTO SERN PA. THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD CONTINUE DEVELOPING/SPREADING NNEWD ACROSS ERN PA INTO SERN
NY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS ARE THE GREATEST THREAT WITH FRONTAL CONVECTION. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE WW.
..DARROW.. 11/15/2008
Already have two watches out now. May see another one farther south later too?
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
http://www.weather.gov/view/validProds. ... &node=KRAH
The two killer twisters have preliminary ratings - Kenly was a high-end EF2 and Elm City was a low-end EF3.
The two killer twisters have preliminary ratings - Kenly was a high-end EF2 and Elm City was a low-end EF3.
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 935
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 934...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING
EWD ACROSS CENTRAL NC WHERE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEST AND
IMPRESSIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL INCREASE FROM W TO E ACROSS THE WATCH THIS
AFTERNOON. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS BUT ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS
THAT DEVELOP.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 934...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING
EWD ACROSS CENTRAL NC WHERE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEST AND
IMPRESSIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL INCREASE FROM W TO E ACROSS THE WATCH THIS
AFTERNOON. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS BUT ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS
THAT DEVELOP.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 934
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
MUCH OF MARYLAND
ALL BUT NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
MUCH OF EASTERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1225 PM UNTIL
700 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
TRENTON NEW JERSEY TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH HILL
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WIND FIELDS
APPROACHING MID ATLANTIC STATES WHERE AIR MASS HAS CONTINUED TO WARM
AND DESTABILIZE THIS AM. THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT NOW MOVING E OF APPALACHIANS IN THE FORM
OF A SQUALL LINE. IN ADDITION TO WIND DAMAGE...EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH TORNADO POTENTIAL. ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
...HALES
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
MUCH OF MARYLAND
ALL BUT NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
MUCH OF EASTERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1225 PM UNTIL
700 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
TRENTON NEW JERSEY TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH HILL
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WIND FIELDS
APPROACHING MID ATLANTIC STATES WHERE AIR MASS HAS CONTINUED TO WARM
AND DESTABILIZE THIS AM. THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT NOW MOVING E OF APPALACHIANS IN THE FORM
OF A SQUALL LINE. IN ADDITION TO WIND DAMAGE...EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH TORNADO POTENTIAL. ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
...HALES
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
And the latest Tornado Watch....
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 936
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF WESTERN CONNECTICUT
SMALL PART OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
PARTS OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
ALLENTOWN PENNSYLVANIA TO 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PITTSFIELD
MASSACHUSETTS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 934...WW 935...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN INTENSITY ALONG/AHEAD
OF COLD FRONT AND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER ERN PA. WITH STRONG
SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY STORMS EXPECTED TO BECOME LOCALLY
SEVERE REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON AS THEY TRACK NEWD IN A VERY STRONG
SHEAR PROFILE ENVIRONMENT. LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE
ACCOMPANIED BY POSSIBLE TORNADOES GIVEN THE STRONG SHEAR.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...HALES
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 936
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF WESTERN CONNECTICUT
SMALL PART OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
PARTS OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
ALLENTOWN PENNSYLVANIA TO 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PITTSFIELD
MASSACHUSETTS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 934...WW 935...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN INTENSITY ALONG/AHEAD
OF COLD FRONT AND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER ERN PA. WITH STRONG
SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY STORMS EXPECTED TO BECOME LOCALLY
SEVERE REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON AS THEY TRACK NEWD IN A VERY STRONG
SHEAR PROFILE ENVIRONMENT. LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE
ACCOMPANIED BY POSSIBLE TORNADOES GIVEN THE STRONG SHEAR.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...HALES
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Crostorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 2060
- Age: 50
- Joined: Mon Dec 25, 2006 3:51 pm
- Location: Croatia-Europe
- Contact:
Re: Severe weather - Atlantic Coast - November 15
EF-1, EF-2, EF-3 tornado reports
http://www.wral.com/weather/story/3966035/
video
http://www.wral.com/weather/video/3966587/
http://www.wral.com/weather/video/3966538/
http://www.wral.com/weather/video/3966901/
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,452604,00.html
http://www.wral.com/weather/story/3966035/
video
http://www.wral.com/weather/video/3966587/
http://www.wral.com/weather/video/3966538/
http://www.wral.com/weather/video/3966901/
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,452604,00.html
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