Almanac Forecasts for the Winter of 2003-2004

[DelStormLover]

Here i will post the winter forecasts for this winter from various local almanacs:
Firstly, The Harris Framers almanac
Forecast for region 9 Including the states of:S New Jersey,Central PA,Maryland,West Virginia,Virginia C,S Ohio S Indiana,a small part of extreme SE IL,most of KY,NE TN,N,and C SC,NC:

Nov '03: Slightly below temperature's and near normal precipitation. Average Temps should range form 41 in the west and north to 49 along the coast. Coolest November 3-6, 11-15, 25-27 and 29-30; warmest Nov 1, 9-10 and 20-23. Showers and a few T-Storms about Nov 2-4, 10-13, 23-25 and 28-30. A Cloudy and windy month

Dec '03: Temperatures near normal and near normal precip. Temps should average from 34 in the west and north to 40 along the coast. Coolest December 7-10, 13-16, 20-22 and 28-31; Warmest Dec 1-5,12, 19 and 25-27. Mountain snow and Rain and mainly Rain elsewhere about Dec 6-8,12-14 and 20-21. A Major storm could bring SNOW To the coast at month's end.

Jan '04: Below normal Temperature's and above normal precip. Average Temps from 29 in the west and north to 37 along the coast. Coolest January 2-6,8-11,14-17,22-24 and 30-31; Warmest Jan 13,20-21 and 28-29. A good chance for mountain snow and and coastal rain and snow about Jan 1-4, 8-10,13-15,21-23 and 29-31. Very cold early in the month.

Feb '04: Temperature's near normal and precip above normal. Temperature's should average from 34 in the west and north to 41 along the coast. Coolest February 4-8,11-14,19-21 and 27-29;Warmest Feb 2-3,10, 17-18 and 25-26. Mainly Snow in the mountains and rain and sow elsewhere,Locally heavy, about Feb 3-6,10-12,18-20 and27-28. A damp and gusty month.

Mar '04:Near normal Temperature's and slightly above normal precip. average temps should range from 42 in the west and north to 48 along the coast. Coolest March 4-7,13-17,21-24 and 30-31; warmest march 1-3,11-12,19-20 and 28-29. The best chance for mountain snow and rain and snow elsewhere March 13-15 and 21-23. Showers March 3-4 and 29-30 A Breezy month.

[DelStormLover]

Forecast from the Farmers/Poor Richards Almanac for Region 2 comprising of: The Delmarva south of the C&D Canal,MD(Excluding Extreme NE),West Virginia,S Ohio,SE-SW Indiana,Most of KY,NE TN,NE GA,NC,SC,Va,SW PA:

November, 2003:Below average Temperatures will run at 38 inland to about 46 in coastal areas. Cool periods will occur November 2-5 and 10-12. Heavy rains are most likely November 1-2,7-8,13-17 and 21-25. Snows of Region 1 will be matched by dampness in this region.

December, 2003: Temperatures in the northern sections will average 38 and the southern parts will average 41,both close to normal for this month. Precip will stay above normal,however, in almost all areas. Moderate weather will start on Christmas and continue through New Years Eve.

January,2004: The area will experience a warming trend trend January 1-14, but there will be considerable precip and some snow in the northern part of the region. Cold will set in January 20th. with snows in the north and heavy rain in the south. Freezing conditions will occur in some areas and there will be sleet in the north. A warming trend will then develop.

February, 2004: Temperatures will be below normal for the month, averaging 36 in the north and 40 in the south. Rainfall will be light with intervals of snow in the north. By February 18th Temperatures will rise to be followed by a period of some precip that lasts four days of the month.

March,2004: There will be some periods of cold until March 8th, but overall this will be a mild March, At the month, overall temperatures will run 3 degrees above normal in the north at 44 and in the south at 51.

[Guest]

Great info DEL.................BTW welcome to the boards here at Storm2K.......................BTW if you may or may not have noticed in another thread i have a winter outlook that will be up and running tonight...................You definetly will like it!!!!!!.....................It will be located in the Weather central Pages of Storm2K which you can get to by clicking the link below my signature....................Everyone else lets welcome DelStormLover who happens to be from my neck of the woods at the Delaware coast!

[DelStormLover]

And now, drumroll please!
The often imitated, Never equated Old Framers Almanac!
Forecast for region 3 Comprising of:Philly metro area of PA,DE,VA west of west vriginia,Eastern shore of Md,DC balto metro area of MD to hagerstown.
(NOTE: Before we begin, i must tell you that this almanac doesnt call for a very snowy winter, But it also has a slight Rainy and warm bias.)
Nov, 2003 Temp 48 (1 Below avg);precip. 2.5 (0.5 below avg). Nov 1-4 Chilly,showers.
5-15 Warm, sunny, then showers
16-19 Sunny, cooler.
20-26 Rain, then sunny, cold.
27-30 Rain, cool.

Dec, 2003 Temp. 33 (6 below avg); Precip 3.5 (0.5 below avg north; 1 above avg south)
1-4 Sunny, cold.
5-10 Very cold; Snow.
11-16 Sunny.
17-20 Mild, showers, then sunny, cold.
21-31 Heavy rain, then sunny, Very cold.

Jan, 2004 Temp. 31 (3 below avg) precip. 1.5 (1.5 below avg.)
1-6 Sunny, cold.
7-10 Mild, then cold, rain turning to snow.
11-13 Sunny, cold.
14-16 Warm, t-storms.
17-21 Sunny, Then rain and snow.
22-31 Sunny, Then rain.

Feb, 2004 Temp. 40 (3 above avg); precip 2.5 (0.5 below avg)
1-12 Mild, partly sunny, a few showers.
13-16 Sunny, cold.
17-23 Rain, Then sunny, mild.
24-29 Rain.

Mar, 2004 Temp. 47 (1 above avg) precip 3 (0.5 below avg.)
1-6 Chilly, showers.
7-19 Mostly sunny.
20-25 Chilly, rain and flurries.
26-31 Mild, rain.

[Guest]

Ouch..............That is one forecast i wouldnt like if i was there..................Kinda sounds like a few inland runners there.....................BTW with that it would mean a pretty good year here in Ohio for snow................Normally them inland runners give Ohio decent snows.............Not always but normally...............

[Superstorm]

Well, this helps a lot...they all contradict each other!

[Guest]

Well superstorm thats the thing about the almanacs...............They tend to do that for whatever reason....................Still not sure where they get this at either..........Maybe Del can tell us??

[DelStormLover]

Each Almanac uses a diffrent forecasting method........You just have to decide for yourself which one is the most reliable based on previous track record.....and your own gut feeling

[DelStormLover]

Well superstorm thats the thing about the almanacs...............They tend to do that for whatever reason....................Still not sure where they get this at either..........Maybe Del can tell us??

I Dont understand the question

[Guest]

Thanks Del:).........You answered it already.

[ColdFront77]

The Old Farmer's Almanac uses a "secret formula," it says so on the bottom of one of their pages every year.

[Superstorm]

I had two distinct snow dreams last month. The first one was about a 12-18" snowstorm on February 11, 2004. The second one was about 3 snowstorms in March 2004 with no specific dates. The first storm was 4-6" storm early in the month. The second one was about an 8-12" storm in the middle of the month. The third storm was a 4-6" storm that changed to sleet (in north-central Virginia) late in the month.

[DelStormLover]

you would happen to be that person on WWBB who has weather dreams?

[Superstorm]

No, I'm not Katodog, but I have had a lot of experiences where I say something will happpen, then it does, considerably later or where I have a dream that comes true. I had a dream in late August 2001 about hundreds of Islamic extremists in a mosque worshiping Allah and praising him for the defeat of the Infidels. Now that was creepy.