Severe weather Dec 22-23

EF-5bigj · #41 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Wed Dec 23, 2015 7:53 pm

Today reminded me of the April 2014 outbreak all the intense supercells where father north. They are reporting a child fatality

#42 Postby **psyclone** » Wed Dec 23, 2015 8:33 pm

TWC keeps implying that the threat will maintain or even increase overnight but that doesn't appear to be the case as the storms seem to be getting fewer/less impressive with time.

*the two supercells in south central TN remain impressive looking.

EF-5bigj · #43 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Wed Dec 23, 2015 9:09 pm

I agree they over blew it with the Torcon the violent tornado threat was only centered around the northern parts of MS and TN.

#44 Postby **Alyono** » Wed Dec 23, 2015 9:45 pm

Should have been a TORCON of a 4 or a 5 given the actual activity. Few, but intense tornadoes

EF-5bigj · #45 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Wed Dec 23, 2015 10:14 pm

Well that long tracker was the big one of the day. That was a impressive event

WeatherGuesser · #46 Postby **WeatherGuesser** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 4:26 am

Alyono wrote:Should have been a TORCON

Should not be any such scale. Leave the classifications and naming to the official agencies.

WeatherGuesser · #47 Postby **WeatherGuesser** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 7:37 am

A Holiday many will remember for all the wrong reasons.

#48 Postby **Alyono** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 9:23 am

WeatherGuesser wrote:
Alyono wrote:Should have been a TORCON

Should not be any such scale. Leave the classifications and naming to the official agencies.

Private industry is quite capable. Why do some believe only the government should issue weather products when private industry FOR THE MOST PART, does it better?

Forbes simply made a BAD forecast for yesterday. It did not surprise me at all based upon the high res models showing next to nothing for Alabama

#49 Postby **psyclone** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 11:21 am

Forbes is as good as anyone IMO but he's not perfect. He's an oasis of sanity at TWC. Verbatim, his forecast was off but it was legit to warn for this event which, as I understand, has now claimed 8 lives. we can be thankful it wasn't worse. Like many high end weather events, the ducks need to line up perfectly for extremes to be realized. the potential happens with far greater frequency.

WeatherGuesser · #50 Postby **WeatherGuesser** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 11:31 am

psyclone wrote:Forbes is as good as anyone IMO but he's not perfect. He's an oasis of sanity at TWC.

But I think he's been sucked in to the insanity. I feel he'd be better with another company that's less focused on sensationalism and ratings.

EF-5bigj · #51 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 4:21 pm

The preliminary rating is EF-3

EF-5bigj · #52 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 4:28 pm

psyclone wrote:Forbes is as good as anyone IMO but he's not perfect. He's an oasis of sanity at TWC. Verbatim, his forecast was off but it was legit to warn for this event which, as I understand, has now claimed 8 lives. we can be thankful it wasn't worse. Like many high end weather events, the ducks need to line up perfectly for extremes to be realized. the potential happens with far greater frequency.

I think his forcast should have been more consentrated up north where they had that long tracked,violent tornado which bulldozed through. He gave my area a 6 on that scale and we saw nothing and the cells that did form fell apart. But we had rain for two days straight so that was a likely cause of the atmosphere not being primed further south.

#53 Postby **Alyono** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 5:50 pm

even where they had the long track tornado, a 5 seemed more appropriate given the amount of coverage on the high res models. Few supercells were being predicted yesterday

EF-5bigj · #54 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 9:38 pm

Well the few up north where intense but in a limited area.

EF-5bigj · #55 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Thu Dec 24, 2015 10:00 pm

The death toll has risen to 14

HurricaneRyan · #56 Postby **HurricaneRyan** » Sat Dec 26, 2015 7:08 pm

Go figure. Something interesting finally happens severe weather wise and it happens the day I decide to do Christmas shopping.

RIP to those killed

#57 Postby **psyclone** » Sun Dec 27, 2015 5:10 pm

Severe weather is trying to crank again with southern AR/northern LA a hot spot for tornadic supercells.

EF-5bigj · #58 Postby **EF-5bigj** » Sun Dec 27, 2015 5:37 pm

Yeah I've noticed supercells firing in that area.

Severe weather Dec 22-23

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