Texas Spring 2024

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Cpv17
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1341 Postby Cpv17 » Sat May 18, 2024 10:03 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Cpv17 no kidding, was just out last week in west texas helping my dad with testing oil meters, it looked like it hadnt rained in a century out their lol


Yeah lol idk how people can live out there.
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snownado
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1342 Postby snownado » Sun May 19, 2024 6:19 am

FWIW, despite all of the precipitation, DFW is still on track for a top 10 warmest Spring on record. To-date, the temperature departure is 68.6*F, which as a matter of fact, ties with 2022...

With respect to total rainfall at DFW, Spring 2024 isn't even close to cracking the top 10 wettest list (*ONLY* 15.85" to-date)...
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1343 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 19, 2024 9:58 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Cpv17 no kidding, was just out last week in west texas helping my dad with testing oil meters, it looked like it hadnt rained in a century out their lol


Yeah lol idk how people can live out there.


Did it for 7 years when first moving to Texas. Great people. Awful scenery and weather. Have weather and trees now but the awful DFW traffic.

Looks like one more chance of some rain next week before the ridge takes over for good.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1344 Postby bubba hotep » Sun May 19, 2024 5:45 pm

snownado wrote:FWIW, despite all of the precipitation, DFW is still on track for a top 10 warmest Spring on record. To-date, the temperature departure is 68.6*F, which as a matter of fact, ties with 2022...

With respect to total rainfall at DFW, Spring 2024 isn't even close to cracking the top 10 wettest list (*ONLY* 15.85" to-date)...


I haven't looked at the numbers but I would imagine that the warmth is being primarily driven by lows getting hung up b/c of all the humidity.

Also, WPC is highlighting North Texas in both the D4 & D5 ERO

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1345 Postby snownado » Sun May 19, 2024 6:22 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
snownado wrote:FWIW, despite all of the precipitation, DFW is still on track for a top 10 warmest Spring on record. To-date, the temperature departure is 68.6*F, which as a matter of fact, ties with 2022...

With respect to total rainfall at DFW, Spring 2024 isn't even close to cracking the top 10 wettest list (*ONLY* 15.85" to-date)...


I haven't looked at the numbers but I would imagine that the warmth is being primarily driven by lows getting hung up b/c of all the humidity.

Also, WPC is highlighting North Texas in both the D4 & D5 ERO

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN0xdwgW4AEqEj_?format=jpg&name=small


The overnight lows have been running warm, but I wouldn't say that's the primary reason as the average highs for March / April / May have also been solidly above average.

Although we haven't had any extreme heat or record-breaking temps ala Spring 2022, we've also had very few "cold" days this Spring. The last freeze was 2/18 and sub-70*F highs have been limited at best.
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Cpv17
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1346 Postby Cpv17 » Sun May 19, 2024 7:59 pm

Probably an EF3 or 4 on the ground in OK now.
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1347 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun May 19, 2024 9:20 pm

Monster supercell that dropped a huge wedge earlier about to move into OKC metro, looks like the circulation is intensifying
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1348 Postby WacoWx » Sun May 19, 2024 9:22 pm

Such a unique radar presentation with the circulation so far away from the rest of the cell. Union city abt to get it.
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Cpv17
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1349 Postby Cpv17 » Mon May 20, 2024 3:05 pm

The latest CPC forecast keeps the rain around into the beginning of June, and it’s looking better for the southern and western part of the state as well.
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1350 Postby Texoz » Mon May 20, 2024 3:13 pm

The forecast high from NWS for Austin on Sunday is 98.

I'm not ready for spring to be over.
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1351 Postby Cpv17 » Mon May 20, 2024 3:19 pm

Texoz wrote:The forecast high from NWS for Austin on Sunday is 98.

I'm not ready for spring to be over.


I don’t see a repeat of last summer. I think temps this summer will be closer to average.
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869MB
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1352 Postby 869MB » Mon May 20, 2024 4:12 pm

Cpv17 wrote:The latest CPC forecast keeps the rain around into the beginning of June, and it’s looking better for the southern and western part of the state as well.


Enjoy this wetter pattern while you can this year because it still appears with a fully-coupled La Nina atmosphere and our never-ending -PDO, the Spring of 2025 will be much drier for SCTX & SETX next year. As you already know, I've been looking ahead to 2025 for over the past year now. Hopefully, I get proven wrong this time next year.
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1353 Postby Cpv17 » Mon May 20, 2024 4:14 pm

869MB wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:The latest CPC forecast keeps the rain around into the beginning of June, and it’s looking better for the southern and western part of the state as well.


Enjoy this wetter pattern while you can this year because it still appears with a fully-coupled La Nina atmosphere and our never-ending -PDO, the Spring of 2025 will be much drier for SCTX & SETX next year. As you already know, I've been looking ahead to 2025 for over the past year now. Hopefully, I get proven wrong this time next year.


Except it really hasn’t been a wet pattern for me. I’ve only had 1.25” in the past month.
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1354 Postby 869MB » Mon May 20, 2024 6:42 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
869MB wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:The latest CPC forecast keeps the rain around into the beginning of June, and it’s looking better for the southern and western part of the state as well.


Enjoy this wetter pattern while you can this year because it still appears with a fully-coupled La Nina atmosphere and our never-ending -PDO, the Spring of 2025 will be much drier for SCTX & SETX next year. As you already know, I've been looking ahead to 2025 for over the past year now. Hopefully, I get proven wrong this time next year.


Except it really hasn’t been a wet pattern for me. I’ve only had 1.25” in the past month.


That is true, likewise for SCTX where several systems underperformed concerning accumulations. Hopefully, you along with SCTX can benefit from an active tropical pattern this summer and fall during times when the MX Ridge relaxes and allows easterlies into our regions...minus any major tropical cyclones of course.
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1355 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue May 21, 2024 7:21 am

Awfully quiet in here for some storm chances looking to pop over the next few days.

Where did everyone go?
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snownado
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1356 Postby snownado » Tue May 21, 2024 9:40 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:Awfully quiet in here for some storm chances looking to pop over the next few days.

Where did everyone go?


Can't speak for others, but I'm pretty much over this severe weather season.

This isn't meant to be dismissive towards how active (or even destructive) it's been for places such as Houston and OKC, but from a weenie/tracking-perspective, this year has been quite underwhelming for DFW proper and I'm exhausted from all of the teasing we've had.

I'm all in on Summer mode (enjoying the warm mornings, ample sunshine and long days) now.
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Cpv17
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1357 Postby Cpv17 » Tue May 21, 2024 10:04 am

Tomorrow and Saturday look really bad for y’all in NTX. Are y’all sleeping or just don’t care? Have y’all all of a sudden lost your passion for the weather? Lol
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1358 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue May 21, 2024 10:23 am

Looks to be nasty tomorrow.

Radar shows a thin line coming in, is that a front?

Per FWD I thought that would arrive tomorrow.
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snownado
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1359 Postby snownado » Tue May 21, 2024 10:26 am

Cpv17 wrote:Tomorrow and Saturday look really bad for y’all in NTX. Are y’all sleeping or just don’t care? Have y’all all of a sudden lost your passion for the weather? Lol


There have been several setups this season that looked good on paper but failed to execute/deliver for various reasons (thus emphasis on the "exhaustion from teasing" mentioned in my reply).

At this point, I'll believe it when I see it.
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Re: Texas Spring 2024

#1360 Postby Cpv17 » Tue May 21, 2024 10:39 am

snownado wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Tomorrow and Saturday look really bad for y’all in NTX. Are y’all sleeping or just don’t care? Have y’all all of a sudden lost your passion for the weather? Lol


There have been several setups this season that looked good on paper but failed to execute/deliver for various reasons (thus emphasis on the "exhaustion from teasing" mentioned in my reply).

At this point, I'll believe it when I see it.


I mean, I wouldn’t let your guard down just cuz of failed past events. DFW can get some crazy severe weather. Way worse than my part of the state.
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