TORNADO WATCH #99

[WXBUFFJIM]

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MUCH OF ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HARRISON ARKANSAS TO 15
MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 98...

DISCUSSION...AIRMASS OVER MUCH OF AR CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH
SBCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500 J/KG. WEAK CAP AND FORCING ALONG SEVERAL
REMNANT BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY...WITH
THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN STRONGER CELLS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...HART