EXCELLENT Florida 2004-05 dry season outlook

#1 Postby **USAwx1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 5:05 pm

I found this to be a VERY comprehensive and well-written Florida Dry season outlook for the coming year. It's a MUST READ for everyone.

http://www.storm2k.org/newsletter/July2004-pg5.htm

Stormsfury · #2 Postby **Stormsfury** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 7:40 pm

I read that on my lunch hour at work today, and it was an awesome writeup and discussion ... kudos

#3 Postby **USAwx1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 8:02 pm

I particularly like the fact that SOME of those Dry-season analogs also agree with those which we have proposed for the coming winter. Namely 1969-70, and 1977-78.

Aquawind · #4 Postby **Aquawind** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 8:09 pm

That was good reading alrighty..However.. It probably took me longer than a lunch hour.. :roll:

I had to reread alot of it.. :wink:

Great Job elw !! 8-)

Thanks USAwx1.. This article reminded me to go check out the newsletter..

Rainband · #5 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 8:17 pm

Winter may be dry but before hand is far from dry :lol:

#6 Postby **USAwx1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 8:21 pm

Aquawind wrote:That was good reading alrighty..However.. It probably took me longer than a lunch hour.. I had to reread alot of it..

Great Job elw !!

Thanks USAwx1.. This article reminded me to go check out the newsletter..

I'm sure it was worth it though. Took me about a half hour to go over when I read it. The outlook was presented very well and the time and effort which obviously went into putting it together (from the research phase to actually sitting down and writing it out) is deserving of recognition...So I decided to post a link to it in here.

The wait for the Newsletter was definitely worth it. Everyone who contributed did an excellent job--it was a great read.

#7 Postby **USAwx1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 8:28 pm

Rainband wrote:Winter may be dry but before hand is far from dry

According to CLIMO, yes. BUT El Nino years w/ an energeized and Sub-tropical Jet over the region tend to be quite wet. Take for Example DEC 1983, 1997, and 2002. near HISTORIC wetness in some areas.

Also not to mention the SVR wx outbreak of DEC 23-24 of 2002 which is more common in those years over the South.

SF has an excellent write-up on his site about that outbreak. Link below.

http://www.stormsfury1.com/Weather/Seve ... 02SWO.html

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 8:55 pm

Thanks

#9 Postby **USAwx1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 9:02 pm

Sure, Johnathan

Here are the Seasonal breakdowns of storminess and Rainfall totals (since 1960 for stomriness, and 1958 for rainfall)

Notice the Outlier seasons, 1982-83, 1997-98 (the two strong EL NINO winters) and 2002-03 (mod El NINO).

BL03 · #10 Postby **BL03** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 9:51 pm

Great write up!

There has been a lot of great posts talking about the upcoming winter and that is what makes this place so good!

Lets keep it up! :wink:

#11 Postby **USAwx1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 9:53 pm

Thanks. BTW, NICE avatar.

BL03 · #12 Postby **BL03** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 10:04 pm

Thanks I also love cars as you can see. 8-)

#13 Postby **USAwx1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 10:07 pm

BL03 wrote:Thanks I also love cars as you can see.

yeah, that is a GREAT looking lamborghini (the women which go w/ it--make it even better). WAY...WAY out of my price range, but still awesome nonetheless.

donsutherland1 · #14 Postby **donsutherland1** » Wed Jul 28, 2004 11:31 pm

That's a fantastic article!

EXCELLENT Florida 2004-05 dry season outlook

EXCELLENT Florida 2004-05 dry season outlook

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