Stronger El Nino in the works?

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azsnowman
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Stronger El Nino in the works?

#1 Postby azsnowman » Sat Sep 11, 2004 10:03 am

O'TAY.....I've been reading a LOT about the upcoming winter, FLAG NWS is calling for a stronger El Nino than first forecasted weak one.....any truth to this?

Dennis :na:
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Aslkahuna
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At The Moment

#2 Postby Aslkahuna » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:53 pm

I'm going for a pattern similar to 2002-03 where the effects of the Niño were concentrated in the late January to early March timeframe and no wet Spring as was expected then. There's too much down here working against it in the form of the Drought to expect something like 92-93 or 94-95. Even the ultrastrong 1997-98 Niño was not as good down here as the weaker ones that occurred earlier. One bad thing, post Niño monsoons have a tendency to start late and be erratic. Same for pre Niño ones which this year would be.

Steve
8-)
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