After a rough day and night yesterday, high pressure and sunshine will prevail. Cold front now off shore in the Gulf of Mexico. Lows in the 30's to near 40 by Thanksgiving morning. Return flow sets up Friday with a few showers possible by the end of the weekend with another wet system by early next week. A weak front may work through the area Saturday with a few Thunderstorms possible early. We'll see on Wednesday's runs on Moisture depth and instabilities.
http://www.kfdm.com/weather.shtml
Next week...rough again or just plain rain?
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southerngale
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Next week...rough again or just plain rain?
I read this on a local news site this morning. Do any of you forecasters see anything that would hint at severe weather again or will it likely be just plain old rain? The ground is sooooo saturated...we could use a dry spell.
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Well from what i have been seing its looking like another big ticket event for you guys. Another system looks to again come out of the SW out into TX and pretty much take the same track this one has. Hard to say at this point if it will be as bad bus suffice to say there will be some severe wx with it.
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PurdueWx80
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Kelly -
The models don't seem as sure of this, but the one thing I see as obvious is more MAJOR flooding in and around the TX coast (Corpus up to Beaumont...and even points east). If the upper low in the west moves out (which I think it may in pieces instead of all at once like now), then the chance of tornadoes will be higher. Most models are hinting at some VERY heavy rainfall totals once again, perhaps a repeat of the last few days, especially if the front gets hung up down there. If the front stays off the coast but jets up to the NE from there, the heavier rains will likely be in the SE (MS/AL/GA/FL and the Carolinas). Stay tuned for a couple of days...once the models pick up on what will happen next, it'll be more obvious.
The models don't seem as sure of this, but the one thing I see as obvious is more MAJOR flooding in and around the TX coast (Corpus up to Beaumont...and even points east). If the upper low in the west moves out (which I think it may in pieces instead of all at once like now), then the chance of tornadoes will be higher. Most models are hinting at some VERY heavy rainfall totals once again, perhaps a repeat of the last few days, especially if the front gets hung up down there. If the front stays off the coast but jets up to the NE from there, the heavier rains will likely be in the SE (MS/AL/GA/FL and the Carolinas). Stay tuned for a couple of days...once the models pick up on what will happen next, it'll be more obvious.
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southerngale
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- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
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