with the training of these storms the panhandle from East Destin to Pensacola is getting swamped with torrential rains. Flood warnings are out for streams and rivers in the norther portions of Escambia, Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa county. Incredible rains and some pretty impressive lightning!!
fwbbreeze
flooding an issue in Panhandle
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fwbbreeze
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flooding an issue in Panhandle
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Serious flash flood threat within this region through the night as low level inflow increases with an increasing low level jet. Low level jet is 50-90 degrees to low level convective boundary supporting strong meso scale ascent over the boundary. In addition mid level flow is roughly parallel to boundary and in good favor of repeat cell training.
88D estimates widespread 2-3 inches of rain with 4-6 inches over a good part of the FL panhandle into AL today. Several more inches will be possible including very high hourly rainfall rates given the high PWS (1.3-1.6 inches south of the low level boundary) and a nearly saturated sounding profile. Hourly rainfall rates may approach 4.0 inches within the strongest convection. An additional widespread 2-3 inches can be expected through the night with isolated 4-5 inch amounts.
Additional large scale ascent will move into the region on Friday ahead of deep S plains trough. As can be expected more rainfall will be likely. Main question will be degree and type of air mass given current convective trends and possible sagging of boundary southward into the Gulf limiting deep tropical moisture movement inland.
88D estimates widespread 2-3 inches of rain with 4-6 inches over a good part of the FL panhandle into AL today. Several more inches will be possible including very high hourly rainfall rates given the high PWS (1.3-1.6 inches south of the low level boundary) and a nearly saturated sounding profile. Hourly rainfall rates may approach 4.0 inches within the strongest convection. An additional widespread 2-3 inches can be expected through the night with isolated 4-5 inch amounts.
Additional large scale ascent will move into the region on Friday ahead of deep S plains trough. As can be expected more rainfall will be likely. Main question will be degree and type of air mass given current convective trends and possible sagging of boundary southward into the Gulf limiting deep tropical moisture movement inland.
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Impressive heavy rainfall/flood event underway from S MS to S GA.
88D estimates upwards of 10-12 inches of rain has fallen over S AL around Mobile since yesterday with widespread 8-12 inches from S MS into the FL panhandle.
Low level meso scale boundry has remained anchored just off the coast with very moist tropical air being lifted over the boundary by an increasing low level jet ahead of the approaching trough over TX/LA.
Rainfall should end from west to east as the trough moves into the MS valley and a surface cold front crosses the region. Widespread nature of the event extending northward into C MS and C AL will likely result in widespread river flooding over the next several days as run-off reaches the mainstream channels.
This was a classic meso scale flood setup and such events are frequent along the Gulf coast during the spring, summer, and fall.
88D estimates upwards of 10-12 inches of rain has fallen over S AL around Mobile since yesterday with widespread 8-12 inches from S MS into the FL panhandle.
Low level meso scale boundry has remained anchored just off the coast with very moist tropical air being lifted over the boundary by an increasing low level jet ahead of the approaching trough over TX/LA.
Rainfall should end from west to east as the trough moves into the MS valley and a surface cold front crosses the region. Widespread nature of the event extending northward into C MS and C AL will likely result in widespread river flooding over the next several days as run-off reaches the mainstream channels.
This was a classic meso scale flood setup and such events are frequent along the Gulf coast during the spring, summer, and fall.
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