Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
No change, I figured at least the tornado threat would increase to 15%:
SPC AC 181630
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013
VALID 181630Z - 191200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING OVER
PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN LOWER MI...MUCH OF IND...FAR NORTHWESTERN
OH...SOUTHERN IL...SOUTHEAST MO...WESTERN KY...WESTERN TN...EASTERN
AR...NORTHERN MS...AND FAR NORTHWESTERN AL...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK FROM
EAST TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY NORTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE TN AND
OH VALLEYS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO SWRN STATES WILL SHIFT
EWD THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS A VERY STRONG SWLY MIDLEVEL JET
EXCEEDING 100 KT TRANSLATES THROUGH THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE
TROUGH...EFFECTIVELY STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS FROM W-E
TODAY ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. AT THE SURFACE...A LEAD LOW IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK ENEWD ACROSS LOWER MI TO SRN ONTARIO AND WEAKEN
SOME. MEANWHILE...A SECONDARY LOW ALREADY FORMING OVER NRN MO...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH EXIT REGION OF EJECTING UPPER JET STREAK...SHOULD
BECOME THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC LOW THROUGH TONIGHT...DEEPENING FURTHER
AS IT MOVES NEWD INTO THE WRN GREAT LAKES REGION. A COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY TRAILING SSWWD FROM THE NRN MO LOW THROUGH THE ARKLATEX TO
S TX WILL ADVANCE EWD THROUGH THE OH/TN AND LOWER MS VALLEYS...AND
SHOULD EXTEND FROM CENTRAL OH TO ERN TN...AL TO THE N CENTRAL/WRN
GULF BY 12Z FRI.
...MI/IL/IND/OH...
SPC MCD 521 PROVIDES MESOSCALE DETAILS AND CONTINUED SHORT TERM
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THESE AREAS FOR WW/S 122/123/124. THE
NRN EXTENT OF THE BAND OF TSTMS INTO SRN LOWER MI COULD OUTPACE LOW
LEVEL MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION...AND LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT. THUS...THE MODERATE RISK AND SEVERE PROBABILITIES
HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SWD SOME. MEANWHILE...THE LINE OF TSTMS
EXTENDING SWWD THROUGH NRN/WRN IND INTO SRN IL MAY STALL AS STRONGER
SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OCCUR INTO ERN IA AND WI ALONG TRACK OF
SURFACE LOW. SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL MAINTAIN MOISTENING/
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR S OF THE TSTM LINE...WHILE A
MESOLOW OVER SRN-SERN MO TRACKS NEWD ALONG THE ATTENDANT EFFECTIVE
SW-NE ORIENTED BOUNDARY. FORECAST OF STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER AND
LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS TORNADOES...SOME STRONG...AND STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS INTO THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING.
...LA/AR/MS/TN/KY/AL...
FARTHER S...GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
STRONGER INSTABILITY THAN LOCATIONS FARTHER N...WITH MLCAPE UP TO
1000-1500 J/KG. STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS WITH BOTH
STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL PROVE MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT QLCS CIRCULATIONS AND/OR EMBEDDED/BOW-ECHO AND
SUPERCELLS. MODELS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INCREASE IN STORM
INTENSITIES AND COVERAGE ACROSS ERN AR INTO THE MID SOUTH LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. CAPE/SHEAR PARAMETER SPACE WOULD
SUPPORT A TORNADO THREAT...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG...IN ADDITION TO AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
..PETERS/LEITMAN.. 04/18/2013
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1641Z (12:41PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
SPC AC 181630
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013
VALID 181630Z - 191200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING OVER
PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN LOWER MI...MUCH OF IND...FAR NORTHWESTERN
OH...SOUTHERN IL...SOUTHEAST MO...WESTERN KY...WESTERN TN...EASTERN
AR...NORTHERN MS...AND FAR NORTHWESTERN AL...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK FROM
EAST TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY NORTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE TN AND
OH VALLEYS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO SWRN STATES WILL SHIFT
EWD THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS A VERY STRONG SWLY MIDLEVEL JET
EXCEEDING 100 KT TRANSLATES THROUGH THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE
TROUGH...EFFECTIVELY STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS FROM W-E
TODAY ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. AT THE SURFACE...A LEAD LOW IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK ENEWD ACROSS LOWER MI TO SRN ONTARIO AND WEAKEN
SOME. MEANWHILE...A SECONDARY LOW ALREADY FORMING OVER NRN MO...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH EXIT REGION OF EJECTING UPPER JET STREAK...SHOULD
BECOME THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC LOW THROUGH TONIGHT...DEEPENING FURTHER
AS IT MOVES NEWD INTO THE WRN GREAT LAKES REGION. A COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY TRAILING SSWWD FROM THE NRN MO LOW THROUGH THE ARKLATEX TO
S TX WILL ADVANCE EWD THROUGH THE OH/TN AND LOWER MS VALLEYS...AND
SHOULD EXTEND FROM CENTRAL OH TO ERN TN...AL TO THE N CENTRAL/WRN
GULF BY 12Z FRI.
...MI/IL/IND/OH...
SPC MCD 521 PROVIDES MESOSCALE DETAILS AND CONTINUED SHORT TERM
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THESE AREAS FOR WW/S 122/123/124. THE
NRN EXTENT OF THE BAND OF TSTMS INTO SRN LOWER MI COULD OUTPACE LOW
LEVEL MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION...AND LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT. THUS...THE MODERATE RISK AND SEVERE PROBABILITIES
HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SWD SOME. MEANWHILE...THE LINE OF TSTMS
EXTENDING SWWD THROUGH NRN/WRN IND INTO SRN IL MAY STALL AS STRONGER
SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OCCUR INTO ERN IA AND WI ALONG TRACK OF
SURFACE LOW. SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL MAINTAIN MOISTENING/
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR S OF THE TSTM LINE...WHILE A
MESOLOW OVER SRN-SERN MO TRACKS NEWD ALONG THE ATTENDANT EFFECTIVE
SW-NE ORIENTED BOUNDARY. FORECAST OF STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER AND
LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS TORNADOES...SOME STRONG...AND STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS INTO THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING.
...LA/AR/MS/TN/KY/AL...
FARTHER S...GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
STRONGER INSTABILITY THAN LOCATIONS FARTHER N...WITH MLCAPE UP TO
1000-1500 J/KG. STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS WITH BOTH
STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL PROVE MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT QLCS CIRCULATIONS AND/OR EMBEDDED/BOW-ECHO AND
SUPERCELLS. MODELS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INCREASE IN STORM
INTENSITIES AND COVERAGE ACROSS ERN AR INTO THE MID SOUTH LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. CAPE/SHEAR PARAMETER SPACE WOULD
SUPPORT A TORNADO THREAT...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG...IN ADDITION TO AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
..PETERS/LEITMAN.. 04/18/2013
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1641Z (12:41PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0521
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS LOWER MI...WRN OH...INDIANA EXCEPT NWRN
PORTIONS...SRN IL...SERN MO.
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 122...123...124...
VALID 181614Z - 181815Z
CORRECTED FOR GEOGRAPHIC HEADER
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
122...123...124...CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...REMAINDER WW 122 HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 18Z WITH ADDITION
OF REYNOLDS COUNTY MO...PER COORD W/LSX WFO. WWS 123-124 MAY BE
CLEARED BEHIND PRIMARY CONVECTIVE BAND...WITH POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF
SRN PORTIONS WW 124 AHEAD OF CONVECTION MOVING NEWD FROM WW 122.
PORTIONS OH E OF WW 123 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW BASED ON
CONVECTIVE/DESTABILIZATION TRENDS.
DISCUSSION...BAND OF TSTMS FROM LM SHORE OF LOWER MI SSWWD ACROSS
NWRN INDIANA TO SERN MO -- WELL AHEAD OF SYNOPTIC SFC COLD FRONT AND
LOW -- WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS REMAINDER WW AREAS. NET EWD
MOTION HAS BEEN ABOUT 25 KT...WITH CONSIDERABLE LOCAL
VARIABILITY...AND NEWD 40-50 KT SPEEDS ON EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS. MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING WIND...WITH OCNL
TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN EITHER QLCS CIRCULATIONS OR EMBEDDED/BOW-ECHO
MESOVORTICES.
BOTH VERTICAL SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WEAKEN WITH EWD EXTENT
ATTM. HOWEVER...COMBINATION OF MOIST/WARM ADVECTION AND DIABATIC
SFC HEATING E OF CONVECTION WILL YIELD FAVORABLE BUOYANCY -- I.E.
MLCAPE 500-1000 J/KG. THAT WILL BE JUXTAPOSED WITH NARROW AREA OF
45-55 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES THAT SHOULD SHIFT EWD GENERALLY
IN STEP WITH MOST OF CONVECTIVE PLUME. HOWEVER...FASTER SEGMENTS OF
SQUALL LINE MAY OUTPACE OPTIMAL MOISTENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS NERN INDIANA AND SERN LOWER MI. MEANWHILE...WEAK SFC
INFLECTION POINT AND COLLOCATED MESOLOW WAS ANALYZED OVER SERN MO
OZARKS...MOVING NEWD ALONG CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY TOWARD SRN/ERN IL.
AS SUCH...SEGMENT OF CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY ACROSS PORTIONS ERN
IL...AND PERHAPS SWRN/CENTRAL INDIANA...MAY STALL OR EVEN RETREAT
SLIGHTLY NWD.
..EDWARDS/MARSH.. 04/18/2013
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...APX...LMK...IWX...GRR...IND...
PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...
LAT...LON 37119111 37869057 38588940 39628736 41258586 42818579
43548523 43958382 43708386 43658369 43868345 44028299
43988269 43528254 42958240 42618254 42328300 41878335
40988329 39878420 39028548 38578646 38368908 37369040
37119111
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS LOWER MI...WRN OH...INDIANA EXCEPT NWRN
PORTIONS...SRN IL...SERN MO.
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 122...123...124...
VALID 181614Z - 181815Z
CORRECTED FOR GEOGRAPHIC HEADER
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
122...123...124...CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...REMAINDER WW 122 HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 18Z WITH ADDITION
OF REYNOLDS COUNTY MO...PER COORD W/LSX WFO. WWS 123-124 MAY BE
CLEARED BEHIND PRIMARY CONVECTIVE BAND...WITH POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF
SRN PORTIONS WW 124 AHEAD OF CONVECTION MOVING NEWD FROM WW 122.
PORTIONS OH E OF WW 123 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW BASED ON
CONVECTIVE/DESTABILIZATION TRENDS.
DISCUSSION...BAND OF TSTMS FROM LM SHORE OF LOWER MI SSWWD ACROSS
NWRN INDIANA TO SERN MO -- WELL AHEAD OF SYNOPTIC SFC COLD FRONT AND
LOW -- WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS REMAINDER WW AREAS. NET EWD
MOTION HAS BEEN ABOUT 25 KT...WITH CONSIDERABLE LOCAL
VARIABILITY...AND NEWD 40-50 KT SPEEDS ON EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS. MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING WIND...WITH OCNL
TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN EITHER QLCS CIRCULATIONS OR EMBEDDED/BOW-ECHO
MESOVORTICES.
BOTH VERTICAL SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WEAKEN WITH EWD EXTENT
ATTM. HOWEVER...COMBINATION OF MOIST/WARM ADVECTION AND DIABATIC
SFC HEATING E OF CONVECTION WILL YIELD FAVORABLE BUOYANCY -- I.E.
MLCAPE 500-1000 J/KG. THAT WILL BE JUXTAPOSED WITH NARROW AREA OF
45-55 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES THAT SHOULD SHIFT EWD GENERALLY
IN STEP WITH MOST OF CONVECTIVE PLUME. HOWEVER...FASTER SEGMENTS OF
SQUALL LINE MAY OUTPACE OPTIMAL MOISTENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS NERN INDIANA AND SERN LOWER MI. MEANWHILE...WEAK SFC
INFLECTION POINT AND COLLOCATED MESOLOW WAS ANALYZED OVER SERN MO
OZARKS...MOVING NEWD ALONG CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY TOWARD SRN/ERN IL.
AS SUCH...SEGMENT OF CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY ACROSS PORTIONS ERN
IL...AND PERHAPS SWRN/CENTRAL INDIANA...MAY STALL OR EVEN RETREAT
SLIGHTLY NWD.
..EDWARDS/MARSH.. 04/18/2013
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...APX...LMK...IWX...GRR...IND...
PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...
LAT...LON 37119111 37869057 38588940 39628736 41258586 42818579
43548523 43958382 43708386 43658369 43868345 44028299
43988269 43528254 42958240 42618254 42328300 41878335
40988329 39878420 39028548 38578646 38368908 37369040
37119111
0 likes
yesh
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145270
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
340 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 445 PM CDT
* AT 340 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF SNYDER
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SNYDER BY 345 PM CDT...
PORTLAND BY 350 PM CDT...
MONTROSE BY 355 PM CDT...
MCMILLAN CORNER AND LAKE VILLAGE BY 415 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3329 9166 3339 9146 3342 9146 3353 9132
3352 9126 3356 9124 3356 9123 3351 9118
3344 9123 3345 9117 3350 9117 3347 9112
3343 9114 3341 9121 3338 9117 3339 9112
3345 9106 3329 9118 3314 9160
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 239DEG 33KT 3319 9164
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
340 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 445 PM CDT
* AT 340 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF SNYDER
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SNYDER BY 345 PM CDT...
PORTLAND BY 350 PM CDT...
MONTROSE BY 355 PM CDT...
MCMILLAN CORNER AND LAKE VILLAGE BY 415 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3329 9166 3339 9146 3342 9146 3353 9132
3352 9126 3356 9124 3356 9123 3351 9118
3344 9123 3345 9117 3350 9117 3347 9112
3343 9114 3341 9121 3338 9117 3339 9112
3345 9106 3329 9118 3314 9160
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 239DEG 33KT 3319 9164
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
Re: Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
507
WFUS54 KJAN 182141
TORJAN
ARC017-182200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0057.130418T2141Z-130418T2200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
441 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 500 PM CDT
* AT 441 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR EUDORA MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3324 9107 3323 9106 3322 9109 3315 9108
3313 9109 3313 9115 3315 9117 3313 9120
3311 9120 3308 9115 3308 9114 3306 9124
3315 9127
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 250DEG 31KT 3312 9119
WFUS54 KJAN 182141
TORJAN
ARC017-182200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0057.130418T2141Z-130418T2200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
441 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 500 PM CDT
* AT 441 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR EUDORA MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3324 9107 3323 9106 3322 9109 3315 9108
3313 9109 3313 9115 3315 9117 3313 9120
3311 9120 3308 9115 3308 9114 3306 9124
3315 9127
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 250DEG 31KT 3312 9119
0 likes
Re: Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
395
WFUS54 KJAN 182131
TORJAN
MSC151-182200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0056.130418T2131Z-130418T2200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
431 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 500 PM CDT
* AT 431 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED A DAMAGING
TORNADO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE ON THE GROUND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SOUTHERN GREENVILLE BY 440 PM CDT...
METCALFE...LELAND AND WINTERVILLE BY 450 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3352 9076 3346 9076 3330 9114 3335 9114
3342 9106 3345 9106 3345 9109 3341 9110
3338 9114 3338 9117 3341 9121 3342 9120
3343 9114 3348 9113 3353 9104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 223DEG 34KT 3331 9113
WFUS54 KJAN 182131
TORJAN
MSC151-182200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0056.130418T2131Z-130418T2200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
431 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 500 PM CDT
* AT 431 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED A DAMAGING
TORNADO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE ON THE GROUND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SOUTHERN GREENVILLE BY 440 PM CDT...
METCALFE...LELAND AND WINTERVILLE BY 450 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3352 9076 3346 9076 3330 9114 3335 9114
3342 9106 3345 9106 3345 9109 3341 9110
3338 9114 3338 9117 3341 9121 3342 9120
3343 9114 3348 9113 3353 9104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 223DEG 34KT 3331 9113
0 likes
Re: Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
377
WFUS54 KJAN 182145
TORJAN
ARC017-LAC035-123-MSC055-182245-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0058.130418T2145Z-130418T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
WEST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 545 PM CDT
* AT 445 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR OAK GROVE MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SHELBURN AND MILLIKIN BY 455 PM CDT...
GASSOWAY BY 500 PM CDT...
GRACE BY 525 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3306 9123 3309 9115 3304 9112 3302 9116
3301 9116 3301 9091 3295 9091 3284 9097
3279 9139 3280 9142 3290 9145
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 249DEG 31KT 3288 9132
WFUS54 KJAN 182145
TORJAN
ARC017-LAC035-123-MSC055-182245-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0058.130418T2145Z-130418T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
WEST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 545 PM CDT
* AT 445 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR OAK GROVE MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SHELBURN AND MILLIKIN BY 455 PM CDT...
GASSOWAY BY 500 PM CDT...
GRACE BY 525 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3306 9123 3309 9115 3304 9112 3302 9116
3301 9116 3301 9091 3295 9091 3284 9097
3279 9139 3280 9142 3290 9145
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 249DEG 31KT 3288 9132
0 likes
Re: Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
636
WFUS54 KJAN 182159
TORJAN
LAC035-041-065-MSC055-182300-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0059.130418T2159Z-130418T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
459 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
FRANKLIN PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT
* AT 459 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED 6 MILES WEST OF WAVERLY
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WAVERLY AND TENDAL BY 505 PM CDT...
MONTICELLO BY 510 PM CDT...
SONDHEIMER...ALSATIA...OMEGA AND MANSFORD BY 525 PM CDT...
TRANSYLVANIA BY 530 PM CDT...
LAKE PROVIDENCE BY 535 PM CDT...
FITLER BY 540 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3250 9148 3254 9144 3259 9144 3261 9140
3266 9139 3281 9120 3284 9096 3254 9093
3253 9096 3257 9097 3257 9105 3255 9108
3251 9101 3249 9105 3255 9109 3247 9111
3232 9150
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 250DEG 37KT 3248 914
WFUS54 KJAN 182159
TORJAN
LAC035-041-065-MSC055-182300-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0059.130418T2159Z-130418T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
459 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
FRANKLIN PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT
* AT 459 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED 6 MILES WEST OF WAVERLY
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WAVERLY AND TENDAL BY 505 PM CDT...
MONTICELLO BY 510 PM CDT...
SONDHEIMER...ALSATIA...OMEGA AND MANSFORD BY 525 PM CDT...
TRANSYLVANIA BY 530 PM CDT...
LAKE PROVIDENCE BY 535 PM CDT...
FITLER BY 540 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3250 9148 3254 9144 3259 9144 3261 9140
3266 9139 3281 9120 3284 9096 3254 9093
3253 9096 3257 9097 3257 9105 3255 9108
3251 9101 3249 9105 3255 9109 3247 9111
3232 9150
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 250DEG 37KT 3248 914
0 likes
Re: Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
363
WFUS54 KJAN 182223
TORJAN
MSC053-055-083-125-133-151-182315-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0060.130418T2223Z-130418T2315Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SUNFLOWER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SHARKEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
LEFLORE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 615 PM CDT
* AT 523 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED A DAMAGING
TORNADO NEAR NITTA YUMA MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
DELTA CITY AND HOLLANDALE BY 530 PM CDT...
MURPHY AND DARLOVE BY 535 PM CDT...
ISOLA BY 550 PM CDT...
BELZONI BY 555 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3327 9046 3324 9042 3324 9037 3328 9037
3328 9036 3329 9036 3331 9034 3331 9033
3319 9033 3294 9093 3310 9093 3329 9074
3337 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 238DEG 37KT 3305 9084
WFUS54 KJAN 182223
TORJAN
MSC053-055-083-125-133-151-182315-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0060.130418T2223Z-130418T2315Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SUNFLOWER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SHARKEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
LEFLORE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 615 PM CDT
* AT 523 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED A DAMAGING
TORNADO NEAR NITTA YUMA MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
DELTA CITY AND HOLLANDALE BY 530 PM CDT...
MURPHY AND DARLOVE BY 535 PM CDT...
ISOLA BY 550 PM CDT...
BELZONI BY 555 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3327 9046 3324 9042 3324 9037 3328 9037
3328 9036 3329 9036 3331 9034 3331 9033
3319 9033 3294 9093 3310 9093 3329 9074
3337 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 238DEG 37KT 3305 9084
0 likes
Re: Another multi-day outbreak (April 17-18)
902
WFUS54 KJAN 182226
TORJAN
MSC133-182300-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0061.130418T2226Z-130418T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
526 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SUNFLOWER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT
* AT 526 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED A DAMAGING
TORNADO 7 MILES WEST OF INVERNESS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
INDIANOLA BY 535 PM CDT...
MOORHEAD BY 540 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3337 9046 3333 9053 3333 9056 3331 9056
3328 9076 3343 9076 3344 9074 3357 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 236DEG 39KT 3336 9068
WFUS54 KJAN 182226
TORJAN
MSC133-182300-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0061.130418T2226Z-130418T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
526 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SUNFLOWER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT
* AT 526 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED A DAMAGING
TORNADO 7 MILES WEST OF INVERNESS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
INDIANOLA BY 535 PM CDT...
MOORHEAD BY 540 PM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE COVER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3337 9046 3333 9053 3333 9056 3331 9056
3328 9076 3343 9076 3344 9074 3357 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 236DEG 39KT 3336 9068
0 likes
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
Yeah it's going to be tough believing big outbreaks with these positive tilted troughs in the plains. It's simply the trend lately, if something can go wrong it will (if you're looking for tornadoes to chase.) The Mississippi river valley constantly does better with these set ups.
0 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Help support Storm2K!
-
TropicalAnalystwx13
- Category 5
- Posts: 2109
- Age: 27
- Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 8:20 pm
- Location: Wilmington, NC
- Contact:
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Killjoy12 and 12 guests