Texas Summer - 2014

[Portastorm]

What a remarkable weather day here in Austin. We had 81 degrees with 45% humidity at 12 noon. On June 10th no less. And, a nice dry breeze blowing in from the northwest!

In 2011 we hit 100 on this date. In 2012, we hit 97. Last year we hit 96. We'll be lucky to hit the forecasted high today of 90.

I'm loving this summer of 2014 weather.

[weatherdude1108]

What a remarkable weather day here in Austin. We had 81 degrees with 45% humidity at 12 noon. On June 10th no less. And, a nice dry breeze blowing in from the northwest!

In 2011 we hit 100 on this date. In 2012, we hit 97. Last year we hit 96. We'll be lucky to hit the forecasted high today of 90.

I'm loving this summer of 2014 weather.

It is beautiful out there! Feels great, and green everywhere!

[aggiecutter]

Picture of the super-cell thunderstorm from Four States Storm Chasers that hit the city of Texarkana on Sunday night.

[Ralph's Weather]

Sunny and 81 in Tyler with a nice NW breeze in the middle of the afternoon in June, wow.

[aggiecutter]

Looks like the rains return to North and Northeast Texas Thursday-Friday:

[aggiecutter]

NBC 6 Todd Warren's Futurecast radar for 10:00pm Thursday:

[South Texas Storms]

Unfortunately the heat will be returning to central and south Texas tomorrow and Thursday with high temperatures approaching 100 degrees in Austin and San Antonio. Hopefully rain chances will return to our part of the state next week.

[weatherdude1108]

Bob Rose has an encouraging outlook for more rain for central Texas in his Tuesday blog. Bring it! This is the typical June pattern of potential overnight MCS's and maybe even daytime popup scattered thundershowers I remember as a child. Well, I am at least hopeful for it anyway!

http://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-wea ... ather.aspx

[TheProfessor]

Well, I wouldn't mind the 0z GFS coming true, I know the GFS has been spinning up phantom storms, but this last one had a tropical system make landfall around the Corpus Christi area and then turn up toward central Texas and then going over north Texas giving beneficial rainfall.

[aggiecutter]

Are anyother of you North Texas guys going to be affected by this MCS:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
305 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NW FLOW ALOFT HAS BROUGHT MILD JUNE TEMPERATURES AND SUNNY SKIES
TO THE REGION TODAY. HOWEVER...THIS IS A BIT DECEPTIVE. A
DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL RIDE EWD
AROUND THE NERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE...AND DOWN ACROSS OUR
REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY SEND AN MCS OUR WAY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THESE
STORMS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL FINALLY MOVE E OF THE REGION FRIDAY
MORNING...DIMINISHING RAIN CHANCES BY FRIDAY EVENING.

[Ntxw]

Are anyother of you North Texas guys going to be affected by this MCS:

Most of North and northern parts of Central Texas will. Those big storms just east of Big Spring is just the first of possibly several clusters/MCS that would move east.

[Ntxw]

Thing of beauty Hurricane Cristina is, maybe go for major status? Her direct effects won't be felt in Texas but like Amanda she is part of a larger envelope of moisture enhancement from Pacific that has been so persistent. These little disturbances that cross Texas this year have had plentiful rich moisture to work with at many levels of the atmosphere thanks to the EPAC.

[KatDaddy]

A significant severe weather event is possible across N, E, and SE TX tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night as a short wave moves into NTX. A possible upgrade to moderate risk in later SPC outlooks later tonight. Excerpt from this afternoon's SPC discussion:

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE EVENTS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WITHIN THIS REGION...AND THIS AREA MAY NEED TO BE INCLUDED IN A MODERATE RISK UPGRADE IN DAY 1 UPDATES.

[Ntxw]

Looks good this morning. Be careful this afternoon for some wind and hail, triple point setting up over I-20 and I-35 intersection especially areas along the warm front from there on east.





In other news no cat 5s in the gulf, but a run at cat 5 in the EPAC from Cristina who is now cat 4! She is the earliest second major for this basin and Amanda was the earliest major. Definitely not normal down there.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Looks good this morning. Be careful this afternoon for some wind and hail, triple point setting up over I-20 and I-35 intersection especially areas along the warm front from there on east.

What time frame are we looking at for storm development? It seems the last few weeks that the West Texas storms developed later in the afternoon, more like 6-8 pm, whereas it seems more typical for storms to begin popping in the 4-6 pm window.

[Ntxw]

Looks good this morning. Be careful this afternoon for some wind and hail, triple point setting up over I-20 and I-35 intersection especially areas along the warm front from there on east.

What time frame are we looking at for storm development? It seems the last few weeks that the West Texas storms developed later in the afternoon, more like 6-8 pm, whereas it seems more typical for storms to begin popping in the 4-6 pm window.

HRRR is showing anywhere between 2-4pm. I'm not too confident on coverage but whatever comes up could be severe.

[Ralph's Weather]

The storms are racing into E TX this morning earlier than I expected. My wife has to drive from Henderson to Palestine sometime in the next few hours so hopefully she can make it without hitting the worst of the storms.

[South Texas Storms]

Much of central Texas has a chance of severe thunderstorms this afternoon through tonight as hot temperatures help to destabilize the atmosphere ahead of an upper level disturbance. Large hail and damaging winds are the main severe threats, but a tornado can not be ruled out. Please stay weather aware today.



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[JDawg512]

Tornado Watch was issued at 4 p.m. for Central/West Texas that includes both the Austin and San Antonio areas.

[South Texas Storms]

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes are currently developing in the Tornado Watch area. These storms could make it to Austin and San Antonio later this evening.



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