Severe Weather Potential Friday the 13th and MLK Day?

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

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yzerfan
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#101 Postby yzerfan » Fri Jan 13, 2006 8:18 pm

Report on the damaged school in Florida:

http://www.okaloosaschools.com/news/gen ... ornado.asp

"Early indications are that Baker School may have sustained as much as $2 million in structural damage from a tornado which struck the school at approximately 10:45 a.m. today. Fortunately, there were no serious injuries to students or staff, although a handful of minor bumps and scraps were treated on sight by emergency medial services personnel and the Baker School nurse. EMS officials determined that no one required hospitalization or further treatment.

It appears that the storm struck Baker School from the southwest, crossing the football stadium and destroying the concession stand. The tornado hit the southwest corner of the main school building peeling the metal roof off of the kindergarten area.

At least 4 classrooms have sustained severe damage. In the main hallway of the school, concrete beams separated from support walls in two places, causing structural weakness. The school district contracted structural engineers are at Baker school assessing damages now.

The severity of the tornado could be seen by destruction caused to the school’s roof. Three roof-mounted 25 ton HVA units were ripped off the roof with one landing over 100 feet away in the girls’ softball field. School district maintenance personnel and commercial roofers are placing a temporary roof over about one-fourth of the school this afternoon."
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mike815
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#102 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 8:20 pm

wow thanks for that post
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#103 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 9:31 pm

AREAS AFFECTED...W CENTRAL FL

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS

VALID 140210Z - 140415Z

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED AS STORMS MOVE INLAND AND A WW
COULD BE REQUIRED IF STORMS INTENSIFY.

LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE ASHORE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. 00Z TBW
SOUNDING INDICATES SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS
ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO VEER WITH TIME. PRESSURES
CONTINUE TO FALL OVER N CENTRAL FL AHEAD OF THIS LINE...AND LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN A FOCUS. LEAD LEFT MOVER HAS
MAINTAINED INTENSITY AS IT HAS TREKKED ACROSS NRN FL THIS EVENING.
IF STORMS CAN MAINTAIN INTENSITY...THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WOULD
LIKELY BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...EITHER FROM OUTFLOW OR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ANY MESOCYCLONES. LOW LEVEL SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A TORNADO IF STORMS MAINTAIN INTENSITY.
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#104 Postby brandybugg4180 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 9:34 pm

LIne moved thru not too long ago all we got was very heavy rain now that the line has moved thru the wind has really kicked up.
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#105 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 9:50 pm

yup going to get very windy.
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#106 Postby Skywatch_NC » Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:00 pm

We could have gusts to 40 mph possibly and snow flurries tomorrow night for a time here in Raleigh behind the system!

Eric
Last edited by Skywatch_NC on Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#107 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:03 pm

around 30 or so here
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#108 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:03 pm

around 30 or so here
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#109 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:07 pm

around 30 or so here
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#110 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:07 pm

around 30 or so here
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#111 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:11 pm

winds around 30 or so here.
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#112 Postby mike815 » Fri Jan 13, 2006 10:11 pm

opps lol sry
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#113 Postby conestogo_flood » Sat Jan 14, 2006 12:50 pm

What is it looking like for MLK Day? Still that roaring outbreak predicted?
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#114 Postby WaitingForSiren » Sat Jan 14, 2006 1:06 pm

Nah not really, i havent seen the latest model runs but yesterday it didnt look like it was going to happen. I could still see damaging winds in eastern texas and lousiana and perhaps brief tornadoes and hail, but thats about all its looking like as of now.
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Donwx

Severe weather risk area moved...

#115 Postby Donwx » Sat Jan 14, 2006 3:20 pm

The SPC has moved the severe weather risk area more south and west to include more of Southeast Texas... We also now have a 15% chance of severe weather....

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outloo ... k_1100.gif

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outloo ... b_1100.gif


...SRN/ERN TX TO LOWER MS VALLEY...
COLD FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD BE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...WITH SCATTERED-NUMEROUS TSTMS POSSIBLE INVOF FRONT BY
END OF PERIOD...AND SOME THREAT FOR WARM SECTOR SEVERE AHEAD OF MAIN
BAND OF CONVECTION. LIKELIHOOD OF MDT-STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
ALONG/AHEAD OF FRONT SUGGESTS BROAD AREA OF SOME SEVERE
POTENTIAL...AS DOES STRENGTH OF FRONTAL FORCING LIKELY IN SUCH A
PATTERN.

HOWEVER...SEVERAL FACTORS PRECLUDE EVEN LARGER SEVERE PROBABILITIES
ATTM. IN WAKE OF STRONG COLD FRONT NOW CROSSING GULF...ROBUSTNESS
OF THETAE IN MODIFYING MARINE AIR MASS AND EXTENT OF ITS INLAND
PENETRATION EACH ARE IN QUESTION. THERMAL/THICKNESS PROGS...AND
POTENTIAL FOR MUCH CLOUDS/PRECIP INLAND...EACH LEND CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY TO POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT DESTABILIZATION.
FURTHER...UNLIKE WITH SOME PREVIOUS SYSTEMS...MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW
SHOULD BE ALIGNED NEARLY PARALLEL TO COLD FRONTAL ZONE. SUCH
NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY ANAFRONTAL REGIME -- DEPENDING ON FRONTAL MOTION
-- COMBINES WITH THERMODYNAMIC UNCERTAINTIES TO JUSTIFY ONLY MRGL TO
SLGT SVR PROBABILITIES ATTM OVER BROAD AREA.
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#116 Postby Skywatch_NC » Sat Jan 14, 2006 3:43 pm

Winds Destroy Gastonia Homes, Cut Power To Thousands In N.C.

POSTED: 3:15 pm EST January 14, 2006
UPDATED: 3:15 pm EST January 14, 2006

RALEIGH, N.C. -- A handful of homes were declared inhabitable after a fast-moving storm system whipped winds into a possible tornado that hit a Gastonia neighborhood and also unleashed gusts that cut power Saturday to more than 13,000 homes and businesses in North Carolina.

Several witnesses reported seeing a funnel cloud Friday evening before the storm crashed into a housing subdivision under construction, Gastonia fire department division chief Kerr Foy said Saturday. The winds followed a path about two houses wide through the neighborhood, ripping the roof off an unoccupied house and driving a truss section of the roof into another home like an arrow, he said.

Other flying construction materials shattered windows in cars parked outdoors, and one car was turned onto its side by the wind, Foy said.

No one was hurt by the storm that lashed into Barkers Ridge Drive around 8 p.m. Friday, Foy said.

"It's pretty amazing," he said.

Local housing inspectors deemed at least five houses suffered structural damage that made them unsafe for habitation, including four homes that were occupied, Foy said. About a dozen homes suffered significant damage, he said.

A woman who said Saturday she lives near the damaged subdivision said she heard a loud crash as the wind hit the bay window at the back of her apartment.

"I didn't know what was going on just a mile and a half down the road," said the woman, who declined to give her name. "Whatever it was, it was quick. Ten minutes later it wasn't even raining."

A National Weather Service meteorologist in the Greenville-Spartanburg, S.C., office planned to visit the scene Saturday to judge whether the winds were a tornado, a microburst, or some other wind phenomenon.

"I definitely feel like it was a tornado. The neighbors say they saw it coming but they couldn't alert anyone," said Annette Davis, who lives in the damaged neighborhood.

The high winds that churned across North Carolina's Piedmont Friday night continued Saturday morning in the mountains, where more than 1,000 homes and businesses in Black Mountain lost power, Progress Energy spokeswoman Heidi Daja said.

Duke Power Co., which serves almost about two million customers in western and central North Carolina and South Carolina, reported about 13,800 customer without power Saturday morning, spokeswoman Paige Sheehan said.

"There are scattered outages in every county that we serve," she said.

The bulk were in Henderson County, where continuing wind gusts left 11,400 mountain residents and businesses without power Saturday, Sheehan said. Another 650 customers were in the dark in Cleveland County, she said.

The storm system was associated with a cold front that moved across parts of the South and East. Eleven people were injured and at least nine mobile homes were destroyed in South Carolina. A woman in Alabama was killed in her home by a chimney collapse and 13 children were injured at a school in the Florida Panhandle when winds tore off a section of roof.

Colder air moved into North Carolina's mountains Saturday behind Friday's strong cold front, bringing snow accumulations in the moutains. Heavy snow warnings and advisories predicted 1 to 4 inches on Saturday, with west-facing mountain slopes near the Tennessee border possibly collecting up to 7 inches. Smoky Mountain National Park reported 6 inches of new snow Saturday morning at Mount LeConte in Tennessee, the National Weather Service said.

http://www.wral.com/news/6090250/detail.html

Copyright 2005 by The Associated Press.
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#117 Postby mike815 » Sat Jan 14, 2006 3:56 pm

geez thanks for that very bad there i beat. next threat for severe wether in 3 days
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#118 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun Jan 15, 2006 11:49 pm

Moisture again a concern for this system... but I guess it has a chance.
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#119 Postby beachbum_al » Mon Jan 16, 2006 8:52 am

We had severe weather in Alabama last Friday. About 80 miles from here a tornado killed one person and destroyed a lot of houses in a small community. I was at school when the weather came through here. We were out in the shop with about 20 high school students. Bless their hearts. They were scared because the sky got dark as night and the wind started to pick up. I think some of them were having flashback from Ivan. I kept trying to reassure them that we would be okay but you know I was worried. My own children were 20 miles down the road and I had no idea what was going on in Fairhope. A scary thought.

On Monday I am at home with my girls so if the weather gets that bad we will be in our hallway bathroom in the bathtub.
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