Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.4N, 65.4W or about 78.8 miles (126.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 95.5 hours (Sunday, September 11 at 4:30AM AST).
Caribbean - Central America Weather
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TD14
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TD14
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
533 AM AST WED SEP 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL
FORECAST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRIDAY AND ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS BRUSHED THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN
COAST OF PUERTO RICO...NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATION WAS
REPORTED BY THESE SHOWERS. THIS AFTERNOON...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND THEN
SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTHWEST.
A TROPICAL WAVE NOW LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND ENTER THE LOCAL REGION LATER TONIGHT.
THIS FEATURE WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE THURSDAY.
AT 500 AM AST...HE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS TROPICAL
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSEST TO OUR LOCAL REGION ON SATURDAY NIGHT.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM.
&&
.AVIATION...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS ALL
TAF SITES THROUGH 07/17Z. SOME SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
MORNING HOURS ACROSS TNCM...TKPK...AND TISX. AFT 07/17Z...TEMPO
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS...WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL IN SHRA AND TSRA...AFFECTING TJMZ...TJBQ AND
TJPS THROUGH ABOUT 07/22Z. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY EAST AT 5 TO 10 KTS
AT THE SURFACE.
&&
.MARINE...NORTH TO NORTHWEST SWELLS GENERATED FROM HURRICANE KATIA
WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY...AFFECTING THE LOCAL ATLANTIC
WATERS AND ALL PASSAGES THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. A TROPICAL
WAVE NOW LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL MOVE INTO
OUR LOCAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE THE WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS THEREFORE GENERATING
CHOPPY SEAS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. MARINERS NEED TO MONITOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 89 79 / 20 70 70 40
STT 88 78 90 80 / 30 70 70 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
533 AM AST WED SEP 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL
FORECAST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRIDAY AND ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS BRUSHED THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN
COAST OF PUERTO RICO...NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATION WAS
REPORTED BY THESE SHOWERS. THIS AFTERNOON...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND THEN
SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTHWEST.
A TROPICAL WAVE NOW LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND ENTER THE LOCAL REGION LATER TONIGHT.
THIS FEATURE WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE THURSDAY.
AT 500 AM AST...HE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS TROPICAL
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSEST TO OUR LOCAL REGION ON SATURDAY NIGHT.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM.
&&
.AVIATION...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS ALL
TAF SITES THROUGH 07/17Z. SOME SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
MORNING HOURS ACROSS TNCM...TKPK...AND TISX. AFT 07/17Z...TEMPO
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS...WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL IN SHRA AND TSRA...AFFECTING TJMZ...TJBQ AND
TJPS THROUGH ABOUT 07/22Z. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY EAST AT 5 TO 10 KTS
AT THE SURFACE.
&&
.MARINE...NORTH TO NORTHWEST SWELLS GENERATED FROM HURRICANE KATIA
WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY...AFFECTING THE LOCAL ATLANTIC
WATERS AND ALL PASSAGES THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. A TROPICAL
WAVE NOW LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL MOVE INTO
OUR LOCAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE THE WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS THEREFORE GENERATING
CHOPPY SEAS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. MARINERS NEED TO MONITOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 89 79 / 20 70 70 40
STT 88 78 90 80 / 30 70 70 40
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expat2carib
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- Posts: 458
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2008 1:44 pm
- Location: Sint Maarten
Results for St.Maarten/St.Martin (18.05N, 63.12W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.1N, 63.1W or about 7.0 miles (11.2 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 84.4 hours (Saturday, September 10 at 5:24PM AST).
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.1N, 63.1W or about 7.0 miles (11.2 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 84.4 hours (Saturday, September 10 at 5:24PM AST).
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cycloneye
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- Posts: 145313
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TD14
This mornings discussion from Rob of Crown Weather:
Tropical Depression #14:
Invest 95L was upgraded to Tropical Depression #14 yesterday afternoon. The depression is close to tropical storm strength this morning and I suspect we will see it upgraded to Tropical Storm Maria sometime today. The latest intensity guidance forecasts very little strengthening of TD 14 with most model guidance forecasting it to remain a weak 40 or 45 mph tropical storm right into this weekend. It appears that this system will remain weak due to the combination of shear being imparted on the depression by a trough of low pressure located about 500 miles northwest of this system and the fact that this system may try to outrun itself over the next several days. The European model weakens it after today and keeps it weak right into early next week before strengthening it again near the Bahamas next Wednesday.
Tropical Depression 14 is tracking slightly north of due west at a forward speed of 18 to 19 mph. This forward speed is expected to increase over the next couple of days and the low level center may try to outrun any mid-level center and keep this system quite weak. This track will bring this system into the northern Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on Saturday and then across the Virgin Islands as a tropical storm on Saturday night. After that, it looks likely that we will have a strong trough of low pressure located over the Mississippi River Valley next week with a strong ridge of high pressue in the western Atlantic. This means that this system should be able to make it west of 70 and even west of 75 West Longitude. The GFS model forecasts a curve north and northeast well east of the United States next week while the European model forecasts a track that takes it very close to the outer banks of North Carolina next Thursday and next Friday.
I will be monitoring Tropical Depression 14 closely and I will keep you all updated.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TD14
cycloneye wrote:This mornings discussion from Rob of Crown Weather:Tropical Depression #14:
Invest 95L was upgraded to Tropical Depression #14 yesterday afternoon. The depression is close to tropical storm strength this morning and I suspect we will see it upgraded to Tropical Storm Maria sometime today. The latest intensity guidance forecasts very little strengthening of TD 14 with most model guidance forecasting it to remain a weak 40 or 45 mph tropical storm right into this weekend. It appears that this system will remain weak due to the combination of shear being imparted on the depression by a trough of low pressure located about 500 miles northwest of this system and the fact that this system may try to outrun itself over the next several days. The European model weakens it after today and keeps it weak right into early next week before strengthening it again near the Bahamas next Wednesday.
Tropical Depression 14 is tracking slightly north of due west at a forward speed of 18 to 19 mph. This forward speed is expected to increase over the next couple of days and the low level center may try to outrun any mid-level center and keep this system quite weak. This track will bring this system into the northern Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on Saturday and then across the Virgin Islands as a tropical storm on Saturday night. After that, it looks likely that we will have a strong trough of low pressure located over the Mississippi River Valley next week with a strong ridge of high pressue in the western Atlantic. This means that this system should be able to make it west of 70 and even west of 75 West Longitude. The GFS model forecasts a curve north and northeast well east of the United States next week while the European model forecasts a track that takes it very close to the outer banks of North Carolina next Thursday and next Friday.
I will be monitoring Tropical Depression 14 closely and I will keep you all updated.
I hope he is right..that the system will remain weak
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TD14
The temperatures in Central America on September 7, 2011:
-Near normal lows in all the region.
-Cooler than normal highs in Guatemala, warmer than normal in Nicaragua and Costa Rica, and near normal maximums in the rest of the region.
Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 24°C (75°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.9°C (69.6°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 10.7°C (51.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.1°C (66.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 12.4°C (54.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.5°C (74.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 17°C (63°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 14°C (57°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.9°C (62.4°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.0°C (71.6°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.6°C (42.1°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.9°C (73.2°F)
Boquete, Panama 13.9°C (57.0°F)
Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 30.2°C (86.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 20.0°C (68.0°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 28.7°C (83.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 18.6°C (65.5°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 33.3°C (91.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 28°C (82°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 32°C (90°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 33°C (91°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 29°C (84°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.9°C (85.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 30.6°C (87.1°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.0°C (89.6°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.8°C (73.0°F)
-Near normal lows in all the region.
-Cooler than normal highs in Guatemala, warmer than normal in Nicaragua and Costa Rica, and near normal maximums in the rest of the region.
Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 24°C (75°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.9°C (69.6°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 10.7°C (51.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.1°C (66.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 12.4°C (54.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.5°C (74.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 17°C (63°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 14°C (57°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.9°C (62.4°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.0°C (71.6°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.6°C (42.1°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.9°C (73.2°F)
Boquete, Panama 13.9°C (57.0°F)
Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 30.2°C (86.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 20.0°C (68.0°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 28.7°C (83.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 18.6°C (65.5°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 33.3°C (91.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 28°C (82°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 32°C (90°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 33°C (91°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 29°C (84°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.9°C (85.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 30.6°C (87.1°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.0°C (89.6°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.8°C (73.0°F)
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cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.5N, 65.2W or about 89.1 miles (143.4 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 91.5 hours (Sunday, September 11 at 6:30AM AST).
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.5N, 65.2W or about 89.1 miles (143.4 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 91.5 hours (Sunday, September 11 at 6:30AM AST).
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
cycloneye wrote:Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.5N, 65.2W or about 89.1 miles (143.4 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 91.5 hours (Sunday, September 11 at 6:30AM AST).
and for St. Maarten
Results for St.Maarten/St.Martin (18.05N, 63.12W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.2N, 63.0W or about 8.6 miles (13.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 78.3 hours (Saturday, September 10 at 5:18PM AST).
Wow! and the question is how strong will it be?
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
do you all suspect the San Juan or St. John's , Antigua airports to shut down on Friday evening due to this storm? Or safe to fly in do you think?
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
244 PM AST WED SEP 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AS
A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOCAL AREA
NEXT WEEKEND.
&&
.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO AS A RESULT OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS AND DIURNAL
HEATING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET...
LEAVING VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES. HOWEVER...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO PERSIST ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS DUE TO AN APPROACHING
TROPICAL WAVE.
A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL
WAVE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...WITH PWAT FORECAST TO PEAK AROUND 2.0 INCHES. THIS
TROPICAL WAVE WILL INTERACT WITH A TUTT LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...ENHANCING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE USVI/PUERTO RICO ON
THE EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST
BULLETIN...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST NEAR 23 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. REGARDLESS DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE WEEKEND.
ALL LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
&&
.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED AT LOCAL TAF SITES...
HOWEVER TIL 07/22Z SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THEN
SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE COASTAL AREAS. SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS
WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE INLAND AROUND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING
THE AFTN AND EVENING HOURS. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE MAINLY EAST AT
10 TO 15 KTS BLO 25K FT.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS OF 18 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS CAN
BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS. BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST... TROPICAL STORM
MARIA IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS SATURDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 90 79 / 30 70 70 40
STT 88 79 89 80 / 30 70 70 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
244 PM AST WED SEP 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AS
A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOCAL AREA
NEXT WEEKEND.
&&
.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO AS A RESULT OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS AND DIURNAL
HEATING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET...
LEAVING VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES. HOWEVER...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO PERSIST ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS DUE TO AN APPROACHING
TROPICAL WAVE.
A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL
WAVE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...WITH PWAT FORECAST TO PEAK AROUND 2.0 INCHES. THIS
TROPICAL WAVE WILL INTERACT WITH A TUTT LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...ENHANCING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE USVI/PUERTO RICO ON
THE EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST
BULLETIN...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST NEAR 23 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. REGARDLESS DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE WEEKEND.
ALL LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
&&
.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED AT LOCAL TAF SITES...
HOWEVER TIL 07/22Z SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THEN
SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE COASTAL AREAS. SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS
WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE INLAND AROUND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING
THE AFTN AND EVENING HOURS. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE MAINLY EAST AT
10 TO 15 KTS BLO 25K FT.
&&
.MARINE...WINDS OF 18 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS CAN
BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS. BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST... TROPICAL STORM
MARIA IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS SATURDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 90 79 / 30 70 70 40
STT 88 79 89 80 / 30 70 70 40
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cycloneye
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- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
5 PM closest point from San Juan is a little more away than at 11 AM.
Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.6N, 65.0W or about 106.2 miles (170.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 79.9 hours (Sunday, September 11 at 0:54AM AST).
5 PM Track.
Saved image.
Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.6N, 65.0W or about 106.2 miles (170.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 79.9 hours (Sunday, September 11 at 0:54AM AST).
5 PM Track.
Saved image.
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
Posted by Gusty at the Maria discussion thread.
Martinica, Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards are since 5PM under an yellow alert cyclone by Meteo-France.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
SxmDCOMM - Office of Disaster Management Recommends Monitoring Approaching Tropical Storm Maria; Construction Sector and Wholesaler Warehouse Storage Depots requested to review plans of actions
By Roddy Heyliger <roddyheyliger at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 7 Sep 2011 17:34:51 -0400
News Release
Department of Communication (DCOMM), Ennia Bldg., Longwall Rd., Philipsburg, Sint Maarten D.W.I. Tel. 00-599-543-1162 , 542-4119, Fax: 543-1169; Email: gis at sintmaarten.net; Website: http://www.sintmaartengov.org
For Immediate Release: Wednesday, September 07, 2011/N239
Office of Disaster Management Recommends Monitoring Approaching Tropical Storm Maria; Construction Sector and Wholesaler Warehouse Storage Depots requested to review plans of actions
GREAT BAY, Sint Maarten (DCOMM) – The Office of Disaster Management (ODM) is advising the population of the South side of the island to closely monitor the progress of newly formed and 13th storm of the season Tropical Storm (TS) Maria, which is approximately over 1000 miles from Sint Maarten in the Eastern Atlantic Ocean.
TS Maria is moving at approximately 23 miles per hour on a Westerly track which would bring it in our area over the weekend. Late Thursday an Air Force Reconnaissance aircraft will reach the system to investigate it further.
Tropical Storm Watches (issued 48 hours prior to arrival of storm conditions) could be issued on Thursday morning for the islands of the Northeastern Caribbean which includes Sint Maarten; however it is still too early to say what impact the storm will have on the local weather.
The 10 Emergency Support Functions (ESFs) of the island’s disaster management system have been placed on standby and to monitor closely the progress of TS Maria.
Residents are therefore advised to be prepared to take action if needed.
The ODM is also advising contractors, builders and sub-contractors to review their plans of action in order to take quick action to secure job sites in the event of a passing tropical storm/hurricane.
Materials such as plywood, shingles, zinc, and other construction material could become flying missiles capable of impaling brick walls or anything in its way. Construction debris can cause severe damage to property and cost lives.
Food wholesalers and warehouse depots are requested to review their plan of action to secure their properties in the event of a storm/hurricane threat.
Materials such as plywood, shipping pallets, food pallets, pieces of metal used to secure pallet shipments, can easily become flying missiles and a threat.
The ODM will closely monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Maria and the public will be informed in future communications and advisories on Thursday and Friday.
Roddy Heyliger (roddyheyliger at gmail.com; 00 599 581-6323 )
Department of Communication (DCOMM), Sint Maarten
By Roddy Heyliger <roddyheyliger at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 7 Sep 2011 17:34:51 -0400
News Release
Department of Communication (DCOMM), Ennia Bldg., Longwall Rd., Philipsburg, Sint Maarten D.W.I. Tel. 00-599-543-1162 , 542-4119, Fax: 543-1169; Email: gis at sintmaarten.net; Website: http://www.sintmaartengov.org
For Immediate Release: Wednesday, September 07, 2011/N239
Office of Disaster Management Recommends Monitoring Approaching Tropical Storm Maria; Construction Sector and Wholesaler Warehouse Storage Depots requested to review plans of actions
GREAT BAY, Sint Maarten (DCOMM) – The Office of Disaster Management (ODM) is advising the population of the South side of the island to closely monitor the progress of newly formed and 13th storm of the season Tropical Storm (TS) Maria, which is approximately over 1000 miles from Sint Maarten in the Eastern Atlantic Ocean.
TS Maria is moving at approximately 23 miles per hour on a Westerly track which would bring it in our area over the weekend. Late Thursday an Air Force Reconnaissance aircraft will reach the system to investigate it further.
Tropical Storm Watches (issued 48 hours prior to arrival of storm conditions) could be issued on Thursday morning for the islands of the Northeastern Caribbean which includes Sint Maarten; however it is still too early to say what impact the storm will have on the local weather.
The 10 Emergency Support Functions (ESFs) of the island’s disaster management system have been placed on standby and to monitor closely the progress of TS Maria.
Residents are therefore advised to be prepared to take action if needed.
The ODM is also advising contractors, builders and sub-contractors to review their plans of action in order to take quick action to secure job sites in the event of a passing tropical storm/hurricane.
Materials such as plywood, shingles, zinc, and other construction material could become flying missiles capable of impaling brick walls or anything in its way. Construction debris can cause severe damage to property and cost lives.
Food wholesalers and warehouse depots are requested to review their plan of action to secure their properties in the event of a storm/hurricane threat.
Materials such as plywood, shipping pallets, food pallets, pieces of metal used to secure pallet shipments, can easily become flying missiles and a threat.
The ODM will closely monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Maria and the public will be informed in future communications and advisories on Thursday and Friday.
Roddy Heyliger (roddyheyliger at gmail.com; 00 599 581-6323 )
Department of Communication (DCOMM), Sint Maarten
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145313
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America - Watching track of TS Maria
11 PM Track. There are TS Watches for some islands of the Leewards.
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS
IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS
IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145313
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America - TS Watch issued
Local Statement on TS Maria effects in Puerto Rico
TROPICAL STORM MARIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1042 PM AST WED SEP 7 2011
...MARIA RACING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
.NEW INFORMATION...
ALL SECTIONS ARE NEW.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN
VIEQUES...CULEBRA...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THEIR ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NONE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME BUT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE
REQUIRED LATE THURSDAY.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4N...LONGITUDE 46.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 1490 MILES EAST
OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 1420 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT
THOMAS VI. STORM MOTION WAS W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY TO THE WEST OR
WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...MARIA WILL BE PASSING VERY NEAR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
LATE SATURDAY. THERE IS A GENERAL CONCERN FOR THE POSSIBILITY FOR
MINOR WIND DAMAGE PRIMARILY TO WEAKENED TREES AND LOOSE OBJECTS
AND ALSO FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...GUTS AND LOW LYING AREAS.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK WITH HOTEL
MANAGEMENT OR WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING ANY ACTIONS THEY
SHOULD TAKE.
THE FOLLOWING ARE SUGGESTED ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN AT THIS
TIME...
- CHECK BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS.
- STOCK UP ON DRINKING WATER AND CANNED OR DRIED FOOD.
- ENSURE YOU HAVE A MANUAL CAN OPENER.
- HAVE ENOUGH FOR AT LEAST THREE TO FIVE DAYS PER PERSON.
- GATHER MEDICINES...TOILETRIES...AND FIRST AID SUPPLIES.
- HAVE A SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF CASH ON HAND SINCE CREDIT CARDS AND
AUTOMATED CASH MACHINES DO NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER.
- CHECK FUEL LEVELS ON AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS...AND CHAIN SAWS.
- IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.
- DETERMINE WHERE YOU SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOUR AREA.
- CONSIDER WHETHER YOU LIVE IN A POTENTIAL EVACUATION ZONE. IF
SO...IDENTIFY PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES WHICH LEAD OUT OF
THE THREATENED AREAS. - LEARN THE LOCATIONS OF OFFICIAL SHELTERS.
PLEASE VISIT http://WWW.READY.GOV FOR A MORE COMPLETE LIST OF ITEMS TO
INCLUDE IN AN EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS KIT.
IN ALL CASES...HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH
ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.
MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR UNSAFE
CONDITIONS. CONSIDER EARLY STEPS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. IF
SMALL CRAFT MUST GO OUT AND CURRENT CONDITIONS ALLOW...DO NOT
VENTURE FAR FROM PORT AND DO NOT STAY OUT VERY LONG. RETURN TO
PORT QUICKLY IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.
AMZ710-715-722-725-732-PRZ012-013-VIZ001-002-090245-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.S.1014.110908T0242Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1042 PM AST WED SEP 7 2011
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
TROPICAL STORM MARIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1042 PM AST WED SEP 7 2011
...MARIA RACING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
.NEW INFORMATION...
ALL SECTIONS ARE NEW.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN
VIEQUES...CULEBRA...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THEIR ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NONE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME BUT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE
REQUIRED LATE THURSDAY.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4N...LONGITUDE 46.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 1490 MILES EAST
OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 1420 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT
THOMAS VI. STORM MOTION WAS W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY TO THE WEST OR
WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...MARIA WILL BE PASSING VERY NEAR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
LATE SATURDAY. THERE IS A GENERAL CONCERN FOR THE POSSIBILITY FOR
MINOR WIND DAMAGE PRIMARILY TO WEAKENED TREES AND LOOSE OBJECTS
AND ALSO FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...GUTS AND LOW LYING AREAS.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK WITH HOTEL
MANAGEMENT OR WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING ANY ACTIONS THEY
SHOULD TAKE.
THE FOLLOWING ARE SUGGESTED ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN AT THIS
TIME...
- CHECK BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS.
- STOCK UP ON DRINKING WATER AND CANNED OR DRIED FOOD.
- ENSURE YOU HAVE A MANUAL CAN OPENER.
- HAVE ENOUGH FOR AT LEAST THREE TO FIVE DAYS PER PERSON.
- GATHER MEDICINES...TOILETRIES...AND FIRST AID SUPPLIES.
- HAVE A SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF CASH ON HAND SINCE CREDIT CARDS AND
AUTOMATED CASH MACHINES DO NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER.
- CHECK FUEL LEVELS ON AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS...AND CHAIN SAWS.
- IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.
- DETERMINE WHERE YOU SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOUR AREA.
- CONSIDER WHETHER YOU LIVE IN A POTENTIAL EVACUATION ZONE. IF
SO...IDENTIFY PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES WHICH LEAD OUT OF
THE THREATENED AREAS. - LEARN THE LOCATIONS OF OFFICIAL SHELTERS.
PLEASE VISIT http://WWW.READY.GOV FOR A MORE COMPLETE LIST OF ITEMS TO
INCLUDE IN AN EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS KIT.
IN ALL CASES...HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH
ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.
MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR UNSAFE
CONDITIONS. CONSIDER EARLY STEPS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. IF
SMALL CRAFT MUST GO OUT AND CURRENT CONDITIONS ALLOW...DO NOT
VENTURE FAR FROM PORT AND DO NOT STAY OUT VERY LONG. RETURN TO
PORT QUICKLY IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.
AMZ710-715-722-725-732-PRZ012-013-VIZ001-002-090245-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.S.1014.110908T0242Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1042 PM AST WED SEP 7 2011
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
WTNT34 KNHC 080832
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
500 AM AST THU SEP 08 2011
...MARIA CONTINUES TO SPEED ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 48.2W
ABOUT 940 MI...1510 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WOULD APPROACH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE MARIA LATE TODAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
WTNT34 KNHC 080832
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
500 AM AST THU SEP 08 2011
...MARIA CONTINUES TO SPEED ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 48.2W
ABOUT 940 MI...1510 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WOULD APPROACH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE MARIA LATE TODAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145313
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America - TS Watch issued
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
529 AM AST THU SEP 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL WAVE AND A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA TODAY...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. AT 5 AM AST...TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR 13.5 NORTH AND 48.2 WEST. MARIA WAS MOVING TO THE
WEST NEAR 20 KNOTS AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED THEREAFTER.
&&
.DISCUSSION...AFTER MIDNIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVERAGE
HAVE INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. A FEW
CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTED THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLAND OF ST CROIX. THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED TO THE COMBINATION OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AND A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THESE FEATURES WILL ENHANCED
THE WEATHER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT
LEAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS WILL CONCENTRATE OVER WATERS
AND COASTAL SECTIONS DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND LATER ON ALONG
THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.
AT 500 AM AST THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST AND
A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF MARIA WOULD APPROACH OUR LOCAL FORECAST AREA BETWEEN
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS TISX...TKPK...AND TNCM THROUGH AT LEAST 08/16Z IN SHRA/TSRA.
ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...AFTER
08/16Z...MVFR CONDITIONS WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS TJSJ...TJBQ...TJMZ...AND TJPS IN SHRA/TSRA. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE MAINLY EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS AT THE SURFACE.
&&
.MARINE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS
THE TROPICAL WAVE AND MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE LOCAL REGION.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 80 91 81 / 70 40 30 40
STT 88 79 90 82 / 70 40 40 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
529 AM AST THU SEP 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL WAVE AND A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA TODAY...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. AT 5 AM AST...TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR 13.5 NORTH AND 48.2 WEST. MARIA WAS MOVING TO THE
WEST NEAR 20 KNOTS AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED THEREAFTER.
&&
.DISCUSSION...AFTER MIDNIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVERAGE
HAVE INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. A FEW
CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTED THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLAND OF ST CROIX. THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED TO THE COMBINATION OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AND A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THESE FEATURES WILL ENHANCED
THE WEATHER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT
LEAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS WILL CONCENTRATE OVER WATERS
AND COASTAL SECTIONS DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND LATER ON ALONG
THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.
AT 500 AM AST THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST AND
A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF MARIA WOULD APPROACH OUR LOCAL FORECAST AREA BETWEEN
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS TISX...TKPK...AND TNCM THROUGH AT LEAST 08/16Z IN SHRA/TSRA.
ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...AFTER
08/16Z...MVFR CONDITIONS WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS TJSJ...TJBQ...TJMZ...AND TJPS IN SHRA/TSRA. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE MAINLY EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS AT THE SURFACE.
&&
.MARINE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS
THE TROPICAL WAVE AND MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE LOCAL REGION.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 80 91 81 / 70 40 30 40
STT 88 79 90 82 / 70 40 40 40
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - Central America - TS Watch issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
800 AM AST THU SEP 08 2011
...MARIA A LITTLE SOUTH OF PREVIOUSLY INDICATED...NOT WELL
ORGANIZED...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 50.0W
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
800 AM AST THU SEP 08 2011
...MARIA A LITTLE SOUTH OF PREVIOUSLY INDICATED...NOT WELL
ORGANIZED...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 50.0W
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
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