Texas Spring 2018

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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1021 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 8:00 am

The WPC is still suggesting excessive rainfall. It would only be today. It looks like it is being pushed south.
Today is the first measurable rain I have gotten in a while, maybe a couple weeks, give or take.

Image
Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1022 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 8:48 am

Thundering at the office. People talking about it here. No rain yet, but it's coming, I think!lol

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1023 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 9:10 am

Image
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC031-209-453-041445-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0059.180504T1345Z-180504T1445Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
845 AM CDT FRI MAY 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northern Hays County in south central Texas...
Southwestern Travis County in south central Texas...
Northeastern Blanco County in south central Texas...

* Until 945 AM CDT

* At 845 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Pedernales
Falls State Park, or 11 miles northwest of Dripping Springs, moving
east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Austin, Kyle, Buda, Dripping Springs, Round Mountain, Tanglewood
Forest, Lakeway, Bee Cave, West Lake Hills, The Hills, Rollingwood,
Bear Creek, Barton Creek, Cypress Mill, Henly, Pedernales Falls
State Park, Shady Hollow, Onion Creek, Driftwood and Briarcliff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1024 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 10:56 am

Flash Flood Warning
TXC209-453-041830-
I'll have to check my rain gauge when I get home.


/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0006.180504T1529Z-180504T1830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1029 AM CDT FRI MAY 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Hays County in south central Texas...
Travis County in south central Texas...

* Until 130 PM CDT

* At 1029 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have
already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Austin, Round Rock, Cedar Park, Pflugerville, Kyle, Buda, Dripping
Springs, Wimberley, Tanglewood Forest, Austin Bergstrom Int
Airport, Windemere, Lakeway, Manor, Lago Vista, Bee Cave, West Lake
Hills, Hudson Bend, The Hills, Woodcreek and Rollingwood.

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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1025 Postby Haris » Fri May 04, 2018 11:04 am

Flooding in parts of Austin ! FF warning ! Sver warning earlier ! 3.3” and counting at my home ! More rain SW! YEAAAAA
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1026 Postby dhweather » Fri May 04, 2018 12:09 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:Thundering at the office. People talking about it here. No rain yet, but it's coming, I think!lol

Image



What software is this image from ?
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1027 Postby bubba hotep » Fri May 04, 2018 2:26 pm

Enjoy the rain because it looks like we could be in for a 7 to 10 day stretch of no rain. There are several northern stream systems racing across, so maybe one of those digs more than expected and sends a complex of storms into Texas?
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1028 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 2:33 pm

dhweather wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:Thundering at the office. People talking about it here. No rain yet, but it's coming, I think!lol

Image



What software is this image from ?


It's the KXAN weather app., our local NBC station.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1029 Postby Haris » Fri May 04, 2018 2:34 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1030 Postby Cpv17 » Fri May 04, 2018 2:35 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Enjoy the rain because it looks like we could be in for a 7 to 10 day stretch of no rain. There are several northern stream systems racing across, so maybe one of those digs more than expected and sends a complex of storms into Texas?


I’m still wondering why the May forecast from the CPC was so bullish on rainfall for Texas when it looks like a big dry spell is coming up.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1031 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 2:38 pm

Apparently Camp Mabry broke a record for daily rainfall today, going back to 1895, essentially since records started being kept. We were about 3 inches behind for the year, and made all of it up today. After this weekend, no telling when it will rain again.

 https://twitter.com/KXAN_Weather/status/992475609405251584


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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1032 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 2:39 pm

Haris wrote:Image


Very nice. Good drink for the soils! :)
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1033 Postby Cpv17 » Fri May 04, 2018 2:53 pm

This is ugly. Really ugly. Looks like the rest of the month could be dry.

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1034 Postby gpsnowman » Fri May 04, 2018 3:15 pm

Yep, looks like dry early summer type heat will be with us next week. We have been spoiled the last couple Mays. Damn it to heck.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1035 Postby bubba hotep » Fri May 04, 2018 3:23 pm

I wouldn't lock in the those dry outlooks just yet. The Euro 24 hr change was in the right direction:

12z Yesterday for the 13th

Image

12z Today for the 13th

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1036 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 3:33 pm

000
FXUS64 KEWX 042015
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
315 PM CDT Fri May 4 2018

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Saturday Night)...

Upper level trough axis extends across west Texas. This and its
associated cold front is causing widspread rainshowers and isolated
thunder throughout south central Texas. Locally heavy rainfall
continues to affect the area mostly east of the I-35 corridor. Today
Austin recieved a record rainfall ammount of 3.64 inches so far,
beating the old record set in 1895.
As the front progresses eastward,
residual moisture and instability lingers behind the front as
isolated areas of light to moderate showers persist through tonight
and into early Saturday morning with gradual clearing by Saturday
afternoon. Cooler temperatures are expected behind this front with
low temps tonight in the mid 50`s in the Hill Country and low 60`s
elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM (Sunday through Friday)...

Higher pressure builds in from the west with a northwest flow aloft.
This should keep the area mostly clear and dry. Temperatures will
increase early in the week into the upper 80`s and lower 90`s. No
major changes to the pattern through Friday.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1037 Postby Brent » Fri May 04, 2018 3:58 pm

bubba hotep wrote:I wouldn't lock in the those dry outlooks just yet. The Euro 24 hr change was in the right direction:

12z Yesterday for the 13th

Image

12z Today for the 13th

Image


GFS has a cutoff low around day 10 too maybe the pattern isnt totally hopeless
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1038 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri May 04, 2018 5:18 pm

A little over two inches at my place. Light rain still falling. :)
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1039 Postby JDawg512 » Fri May 04, 2018 7:12 pm

3 and a half inches fell here at the Rain Cave. I would still say we are behind for the year since May is our wettest month on average and 3.5 is still below May's average, we would need to triple that to make up for the losses of the year. Now it wouldn't hurt to have a week of dry weather after this event, though I'd personally would like to see a slow light rain continue each day for perfect weather. Could get a lot of yard work done...
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#1040 Postby Haris » Fri May 04, 2018 7:37 pm

JDawg512 wrote:3 and a half inches fell here at the Rain Cave. I would still say we are behind for the year since May is our wettest month on average and 3.5 is still below May's average, we would need to triple that to make up for the losses of the year. Now it wouldn't hurt to have a week of dry weather after this event, though I'd personally would like to see a slow light rain continue each day for perfect weather. Could get a lot of yard work done...


Rain miser the 2nd here got 3.78” of rain in SW Austin ! Beat ya ! Hehehe
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