Florida Weather

[HURAKAN]

According to the latest sounding, the surface CAPE is 2551. From what I have learned that is pretty high.

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< 300   Very weak convection
300-1000   Weak
1000-2500   Moderate
2500-3000   Strong
3000+   Very Strong

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/severe/cape.html

[dizzyfish]

I'm home now. Quite windy on the way up here. Doesn't seem to be blowing as bad as at work but we are close to the bay in Tampa.

One raindrop about 1/4 mile from my house.

Sorry to hear about your lamp feederband - lets hope that is the only damage any of us sees!

[JonathanBelles]

Current thinking is that this will move onshore in Pinellas to Hernando between 5-9pm.

[dizzyfish]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 355 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...NEW SMYRNA BEACH...SOUTH DAYTONA... PORT ORANGE...PONCE INLET... * UNTIL 415 PM EST
* AT 350 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PONCE INLET...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... DAYTONA BEACH SHORES BY 400 PM EST... THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STRONG BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...IN AN INTERIOR ROOM SUCH AS A BATHROOM OR CLOSET. KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY. EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. THE TORNADO WILL LIKELY BE WRAPPED IN HEAVY RAIN MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO SEE. BE SMART AND REACT NOW! IF YOU EXPERIENCE SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE RELAY YOUR REPORT TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND ASK THEM TO PASS IT ALONG TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. OR YOU MAY CALL THE MELBOURNE WEATHER OFFICE DIRECTLY AT THIS NUMBER 1 800 683 4468. YOUR TIMELY REPORT COULD SAVE SOMEONES LIFE! LAT...LON 2918 8093 2912 8087 2906 8087 2900 8092 2910 8109 2927 8097 2924 8093 TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 214DEG 35KT 2913 8095 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Evil Jeremy]

Look out Tampa. It looks like you are about 2-3 hours away from some heavy rain!

[wbug1]

Completely missed on the Crystal river to Ocala thing. Storms weakened as they moved in. Interesting the isolated cells in the east half of Florida are more intense than the stuff moving into the west right now, such as the cell approaching Daytona beach. Looks like a good squall line will sweep in later in the day through mid to mid north florida.

[Bunkertor]

Coverage anyone ?

[feederband]

. Interesting the isolated cells in the east half of Florida are more intense than the stuff moving into the west right now, such as the cell approaching Daytona beach.

Yeah the rouge storms are the ones I watch out for..

[JonathanBelles]

Ive just made my first vlog, blah stupid wind. Cant really hear anything im saying. Ill post it when YT is done.

Anyway clouds have rolled in and winds have come down a tad.

[dizzyfish]

News just said one death due to a tornado near Lake City.

[Ed Mahmoud]

. Interesting the isolated cells in the east half of Florida are more intense than the stuff moving into the west right now, such as the cell approaching Daytona beach.

Yeah the rouge storms are the ones I watch out for..

I think you mean 'rogue'. But since rouge is French for red, and red is a scary color on radar, you might indeed have meant 'rouge'.


Individual cells aren't competing with the rest of the line for inflow, and I believe the shear orientation that produces them is more conducive to low level rotation.

[JonathanBelles]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jPUogC5KsfE

First Vlog ^^^

[JonathanBelles]

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
430 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

FLZ039-042-043-048>051-GMZ830-850-853-870-873-072245-
CITRUS-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT TO 20 NM-HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-LEVY-
PASCO-PINELLAS-SUMTER-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER 20 TO 60 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 20 NM-
430 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

.NOW...
A WIDE BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR WILLISTON TO
CRYSTAL RIVER...HOMOSASSA AND THE VILLAGES...AND SOUTHWEST TO 50
MILES OFFSHORE FROM CLEARWATER. ROUGH SEAS...HEAVY RAIN...STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COAST
BETWEEN CEDAR KEY AND CLEARWATER. THE ACTIVITY WILL SLOWLY SPREAD
SOUTHEAST INTO HERNANDO PASCO AND PINELLAS COUNTIES BY 530 PM.

[Bocadude85]

Looks like severe weather will make it all the way down to south florida

[wbug1]

I found it difficult to find news on the Lake City, Fl tornado. This is the best I could find.

http://www.firstcoastnews.com/news/most ... ovider=top

[Bunkertor]

I found it difficult to find news on the Lake City, Fl tornado. This is the best I could find.

http://www.firstcoastnews.com/news/most ... ovider=top

Much appreciated.

puh - that looks bad

[SamSagnella]

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 
419 PM EST FRI MAR 07 2008 
   
.TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON 
.DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. 
            ..REMARKS.. 
 
0945 AM     TORNADO          LAKE CITY               30.19N 82.62W   
03/07/2008                   COLUMBIA           FL   NWS STORM SURVEY 
 
            A NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM IS ASSESSING SIGNIFICANT TORNADO   
            DAMAGE IN LAKE CITY. AN ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE MAGNITUDE   
            HAS NOT BEEN DETERMINED YET. INITIAL SURVEY REPORTS   
            INCLUDE ABOUT 20 HOMES WITH SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE 
            AND NUMEROUS MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED NEAR 1700 BASCON   
            NORRIS DRIVE IN LAKE CITY. MORE STORM REPORTS WILL BE   
            ISSUED WITH FURTHER DETAILS AS INFORMATION BECOMES   
            AVAILABLE. THE TIME OF DAMAGE WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON   
            RADAR.INJURIES AND FATALITIES ARE UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.

http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KJAX/0803072121.nwus52.html

[JonathanBelles]

Rain is now moving into Indian Rocks Beach northward with the squall moving into Citrus County still. Timing for the following: Citrus: now, Hernando-next hour or so, Pasco 6-7pm, Pinellas 7-8pm, Manatee 7:30-9.

Ill revise these in the next hour.

Current conditions:
Increasing winds, distant thunder, and mist.

[dizzyfish]

Got a feeling I might loose power. Almost constant thunder now. I really like the ones that rattle the windows! Scares the dickens out of Winnie though.

Just sprinkles so far but I think that is about to change.

[JonathanBelles]

This looks to be strengthening. I am expecting the TOR watch to expire being replaced by a SVR watch.