Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

[CrazyC83]

Sounds bad for sure.

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
527 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 527 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF IOWA PARK...MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ANOTHER TORNADO
AT ANYTIME...AND IS TRACKING TOWARD IOWA PARK...PLEASANT VALLEY...
AND NORTHERN SIDES OF WICHITA FALLS...NORTH OF OLD IOWA PARK ROAD.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE IOWA PARK...NORTHWESTERN WICHITA
FALLS AND PLEASANT VALLEY.

[Bunkertor]

http://www.kauz.com/

( OK, not that interesting )

[RL3AO]

It was moving ESE, now it is moving SE. Watch out Wichita Falls.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Still has a clear circulation on radar, although that may have weakened just a touch in the last few minutes, and there haven't been spotter reports, and I'd guess as close to SPS as it is, either spotters or the public would be calling it in.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Still has a clear circulation on radar, although that may have weakened just a touch in the last few minutes, and there haven't been spotter reports, and I'd guess as close to SPS as it is, either spotters or the public would be calling it in.

I think the cell is weakening, and with just a little luck, Wichita Falls metro area will be spared, but if I lived there, I'd stay alert until the storm was passed.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
544 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

TXC485-072300-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-080407T2300Z/
WICHITA TX-
544 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
WICHITA COUNTY...

AT 544 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF IOWA PARK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
STORM SCALE ROTATION HAS CURRENTLY WEAKENED...BUT IS STILL CAPABLE
OF REORGANIZING AND PRODUCING ANOTHER TORNADO AT ANYTIME.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE IOWA PARK...NORTHWESTERN WICHITA
FALLS AND PLEASANT VALLEY.

LAT...LON 3403 9849 3392 9853 3392 9886 3410 9880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 276DEG 19KT 3402 9865

[Ed Mahmoud]

Now, just the last couple of minutes, while not as strong as before, the radial velocity indicates the possibly tornadic circulation tracking North of US 287 and heading for the Northern side of Wichita Falls has actually strengthened a small bit.

[RL3AO]

Warning allowed to expire

[Category 5]

I hope somebody got pictures of that monster earlier. Thats the most well defined hook I've seen since Greensburg.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Rotation no longer visible at all, and the base reflectivity has really suffered just the last few minutes.



The tornado may have lifted (judging from lack of local storm reports) just before Electra, and the new cell fizzled just in time to spare Wichita Falls.

[Ed Mahmoud]

000
FLUS74 KOUN 072306
AWUOUN

AREA WEATHER UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
605 PM CST MON APR 07 2008

...WARNING DECISION UPDATE...

THIS WARNING DECISION UPDATE CONCERNS WICHITA COUNTY TEXAS AND
COTTON COUNTY OKLAHOMA.

SUPERCELL ALONG RED RIVER NORTH OF WICHITA FALLS HAS WEAKENED PAST
30 MINUTES. REPORTS FROM SPOTTERS AND RADAR TRENDS OF REFLECTIVITY
AND VELOCITY DATA AGREE THAT STORM IS LESS ORGANIZED AND HAS TURNED
MORE TO THE NORTHEAST. STORM NO LONGER HAS WELL ORGANIZED MESO AND
BWER HAS DISAPPEARED.

THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME AT LEAST TEMPORARILY LESS FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADIC STORMS WITH DEWPOINTS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 50S. WILL MONITOR
ENVIRONMENT AND RADAR TRENDS...BUT AT THIS TIME TORNADOES DO NOT
APPEAR LIKELY FROM THIS CELL OR OTHERS DEVELOPING NEAR SEYMOUR AND
NEAR CACHE.

$$

I stayed an hour past quittin' time.

Later...

[RL3AO]

More cells popping up near Wichita Falls.

[RL3AO]

Two SVRs

[RL3AO]

A SVR north of OKC

[Cyclenall]

I hope somebody got pictures of that monster earlier. Thats the most well defined hook I've seen since Greensburg.

I echo this, but where can I find the video of it? It was suppose to be a wedge tornado until the cell didn't something unexpected...again. I heard it was a multi-vortex too .

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0581
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CDT MON APR 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NW TX INTO CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 169...

VALID 072352Z - 080145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 169 CONTINUES.

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ADDITIONAL WW
TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST OF WW.

WITH SIGNIFICANT GULF MOISTURE RETURN YET TO BECOME FULLY
ESTABLISHED...COUPLED WITH THE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARMING
THROUGH MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
HAS BEEN SLOWED ALONG DRY LINE AND SURFACE WARM FRONT ACROSS REGION.
HOWEVER...UPPER FLOW IS IN THE PROCESS OF BECOMING INCREASINGLY
DIFLUENT AND DIVERGENT...AND THIS FORCING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
FOCUSED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BETWEEN NOW AND 02-03Z. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME COINCIDENT WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND
WARM ADVECTION ON THE NOSE OF A 40 KT SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET.
AND...IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR/ MOST UNSTABLE CAPE
OF 1000-2000 J/KG...STORM DEVELOPMENT NOW OCCURRING NORTH OF
OKLAHOMA CITY...AND ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA...MAY GROW INTO AN EXPANDING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER LATER THIS
EVENING. UNTIL THEN...THE RISK FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS
CONTINUES...ACCOMPANIED BY POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL/LOCALIZED
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..KERR.. 04/07/2008


ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...

34339941 34899935 35419948 36049946 36599879 36679693
36619635 36349539 35789528 34639592 33969692 33479893

[RL3AO]

New soundings will be out in a few minutes. Should be interesting.

[RL3AO]

Two impressive cells near Wichita Falls. No signs of rotation yet, but that could develop quick.

[CrazyC83]

SEL0

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF
CLINTON OKLAHOMA TO 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TULSA OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 169...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...WILL
CONTINUE INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS NRN AND NERN OK TONIGHT.
THIS WILL OCCUR AS SSWLY LLJ INTENSIFIES AND FUELS STRONG LOW LEVEL
WAA ALONG AND NORTH OF SURFACE FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM NERN INTO
W-CENTRAL OK. STRONG SHEAR AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL COMPENSATE
FOR MODEST MUCAPE AND SUPPORT STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...SOME OF
WHICH COULD BE QUITE LARGE...AS ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO A LARGER
CLUSTER/MCS AFTER DARK. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN A BRIEF
TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS NEAR THE SURFACE FRONT
INTO THE MID/LATE EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...EVANS


SEL0

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF
CLINTON OKLAHOMA TO 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TULSA OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 169...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...WILL
CONTINUE INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS NRN AND NERN OK TONIGHT.
THIS WILL OCCUR AS SSWLY LLJ INTENSIFIES AND FUELS STRONG LOW LEVEL
WAA ALONG AND NORTH OF SURFACE FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM NERN INTO
W-CENTRAL OK. STRONG SHEAR AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL COMPENSATE
FOR MODEST MUCAPE AND SUPPORT STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...SOME OF
WHICH COULD BE QUITE LARGE...AS ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO A LARGER
CLUSTER/MCS AFTER DARK. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN A BRIEF
TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS NEAR THE SURFACE FRONT
INTO THE MID/LATE EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...EVANS


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 080025
WOU0

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

OKC021-035-037-041-043-047-071-093-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-
115-117-119-131-143-145-147-080800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0170.080408T0030Z-080408T0800Z/

OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEROKEE CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE DEWEY GARFIELD
KAY MAJOR MAYES
MUSKOGEE NOBLE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
ROGERS TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON


ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW0
WW 170 SEVERE TSTM OK 080030Z - 080800Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40N CSM/CLINTON OK/ - 65ENE TUL/TULSA OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /42SE GAG - 38WNW RZC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

LAT...LON 36569919 37209480 35909480 35259919

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.


Watch 170 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

[Category 5]

I don't like the southernmost cell, I think it's about to go tornadic on us.