Texas Summer 2019

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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#121 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:06 am

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#122 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:19 am

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#123 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:28 am

1st watch of the day to our North, those storms seem to be holding together better than any of the HiRes models were showing. If they collapse and spit out an outflow then that could send a push of cool stable air down over DFW shutting off storm chances for later...

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#124 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:41 am

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Mesoscale Discussion 1039
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1034 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2019

Areas affected...South-central Oklahoma/north-central Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347...

Valid 091534Z - 091700Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347
continues.

SUMMARY...Within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347, a cluster of
south/southeastward-moving thunderstorms will continue to pose a
damaging wind/some hail risk across south-central OK. Trends are
being closely monitored for the possibility of an additional Watch
across North TX, which could be needed within the hour (before 1130
AM CDT).

DISCUSSION...A south/southeastward-moving cluster (around 35 kt
forward motion) with history of wind damage/periodic severe hail
continues along the I-35 corridor of south-central OK, with the
leading edge nearing the Wyneewood/Davis/Sulphur areas as of 1025 AM
CDT. The linear cluster remains relatively well-organized with a
tight leading-edge reflectivity gradient and signs of moderately
strong rear inflow and a deep cold pool, with 30+ kt winds within
the lowest 2-3km AGL observed in recent KTLX WSR-88D VWP data.
Mid-level temperatures warm and background environmental winds, if
anything, tend to weaken with southward extent. That said, a readily
evident cold pool (accompanied by strong pressure rises) appears to
be relatively well balanced with moist/moderately strong southerly
storm-relative inflow, which may help to maintain severe-caliber
storms with a damaging wind threat into parts of North TX. This is
all while lapse rates will continue to steepen as low-level
inhibition gradually erodes as temperatures warm through the
middle/upper 80s F as of 15Z.

..Guyer.. 06/09/2019
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#125 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:25 am

Long duration watch for a relatively small area

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#126 Postby Brent » Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:38 am

Well this might at least put a cap on the heat today around here
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#127 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:42 am

June front on the way! I repeat a front in June! Solstice is only a week and half away you can't ask for more than 80s for highs and 60s for lows...remember 1980 it can be 113!!!

It will feel more like September than June the next couple of days.

Unusually cool summer on the way.
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#128 Postby Brent » Sun Jun 09, 2019 12:24 pm

that line moving into Gainesville and Sherman looks like it's gonna make at least the eastern half of the metro

so will there be another round or will this be it?
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#129 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Jun 09, 2019 12:51 pm

Just got back from a Caribbean cruise. Great weather there. The weather here is way different than what the NWS posted this morning, with a line coming through already, not 4 p.m. Will have to see how that changes things.
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#130 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:20 pm

All of DFW metro under warnings now and reports of gust up towards 70 mph with these storms.

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#131 Postby Shoshana » Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:35 pm

Does anyone know the timing yet for the Austin metro?
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#132 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:48 pm

Brent wrote:that line moving into Gainesville and Sherman looks like it's gonna make at least the eastern half of the metro

so will there be another round or will this be it?


Good question, the HiRes models from this morning had storms dying out before even reaching the Red River and then storms firing later along the front. This throws everything out of wack but probably the only storms of the day for DFW given the impressive cold pool behind these batch.
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#133 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:52 pm

62 kt wind gust reported at Love Field in Dallas. I also see reports of trucks blown over along 635
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#134 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:55 pm

Temp has dived with outflow boundary coming out of storm. Think that ends the threat for Tarrant.
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#135 Postby Brent » Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:59 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Brent wrote:that line moving into Gainesville and Sherman looks like it's gonna make at least the eastern half of the metro

so will there be another round or will this be it?


Good question, the HiRes models from this morning had storms dying out before even reaching the Red River and then storms firing later along the front. This throws everything out of wack but probably the only storms of the day for DFW given the impressive cold pool behind these batch.


Yeah the models did horrible today

Even last night the bigger issue was excessive heat lol
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#136 Postby ColdFusion » Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:04 pm

Impressive winds came with the storms in Addison, TX.

I've been here 3 years and this tarp has never had damage prior to today.

Also knocked out power for about 30 min

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#137 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:33 pm

Got no rain here but nice and cool.
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#138 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:42 pm

In the 50s up in the Panhandle!
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#139 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:49 pm

Had a pretty good downpour in Irving but now it is cloud free with a cool wind. Weird. Tomorrow is going to be gorgeous.
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

#140 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:03 pm

srainhoutx wrote:62 kt wind gust reported at Love Field in Dallas. I also see reports of trucks blown over along 635


There was a small hook that passed through near Addison when it rolled through. I happened to be in the area and a lot of tree/branch damage. Some facing the wrong way if considering just straight line winds.
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