Just posted a video, because why not?
[youtube]https://youtu.be/fFhUvYAbC2Q[/youtube]
Texas Spring 2023
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Deshaunrob17
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
When the 2015 Elnino was on the verge of happening, Texas was swamped with rain that spring..... Interesting....
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
It's not really fair to compare this year's rainfall to that of 2015. In 2015, massive MCSs occurred almost daily, and they dropped fairly even amounts of rainfall over large portions of the state. In contrast, this year's rainfall has been much more localized. It remains to be seen what May and June will bring, but at this point, the two years are not comparable.
Also, DFW has picked up less than an inch so far this week. The 12z NAM... This week could end up being well short of the WPC forecast.
Also, DFW has picked up less than an inch so far this week. The 12z NAM... This week could end up being well short of the WPC forecast.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Edwards Limestone
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
bubba hotep wrote:It's not really fair to compare this year's rainfall to that of 2015. In 2015, massive MCSs occurred almost daily, and they dropped fairly even amounts of rainfall over large portions of the state. In contrast, this year's rainfall has been much more localized. It remains to be seen what May and June will bring, but at this point, the two years are not comparable.
Also, DFW has picked up less than an inch so far this week. The 12z NAM... This week could end up being well short of the WPC forecast.
https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2023051112/084/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png
Yeah, I noticed last night the EPS and GEFS were also showing marked less precip totals/coverage than the WPC was forecasting.
Hoping for widespread 3"+ rain w/ min flood damage.
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The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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rwfromkansas
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Edwards Limestone
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
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The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Spring 2023
Yeah, I’ve not really been impressed with the rains yet either. They’ve been pretty isolated. Definitely not very widespread. Hopefully that changes.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
Edwards Limestone wrote:bubba hotep wrote:It's not really fair to compare this year's rainfall to that of 2015. In 2015, massive MCSs occurred almost daily, and they dropped fairly even amounts of rainfall over large portions of the state. In contrast, this year's rainfall has been much more localized. It remains to be seen what May and June will bring, but at this point, the two years are not comparable.
Also, DFW has picked up less than an inch so far this week. The 12z NAM... This week could end up being well short of the WPC forecast.
https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2023051112/084/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png
Yeah, I noticed last night the EPS and GEFS were also showing marked less precip totals/coverage than the WPC was forecasting.
Hoping for widespread 3"+ rain w/ min flood damage.
EPS is still holding strong to 5-7 inches in south central Texas. GEFS has always been on the lower side so we'll see.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
Cpv17 wrote:Yeah, I’ve not really been impressed with the rains yet either. They’ve been pretty isolated. Definitely not very widespread. Hopefully that changes.
Yeah it still hasn't even rained enough to wash my car here
I mean the better rains were always later in the week but still
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#neversummer
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
Storms firing off the dryline SW of DFW. If those storms get surface based and track into DFW then all modes of svr wx would be on the table.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
The Temple (Oklahoma) Supercell already has a funnel reported with it, and it's a nasty supercell with a huge wall cloud.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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bubba hotep
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2023
Storms tried their best SW of DFW, but none of them could get surface based and survive moving off the dryline.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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bubba hotep
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
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Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2023
Broken line of Discrete Supercells
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2023
ElectricStorm needs to take shelter soon
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
bubba hotep
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
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bubba hotep
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
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bubba hotep
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2023
Storms firing again to the SW of DFW. These look more robust than earlier and are starting to increase in coverage.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Spring 2023
Looks like Cole just got hit again(they had deaths in the outbreak in April)
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#neversummer
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Iceresistance
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2023
Brent wrote:Looks like Cole just got hit again(they had deaths in the outbreak in April)
It just missed it to the south and east.
I hear tornado sirens now.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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