Texas Summer 2017

[Ntxw]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/899983756987174912

[Portastorm]

The 0z Euro, should it verify, has Austin getting 12 1/2" of rain this weekend. I greatly respect King Euro and all ... but he must have forgotten he was talking about Austin, where it doesn't rain much and NEVER snows.

[Tireman4]

The 0z Euro, should it verify, has Austin getting 12 1/2" of rain this weekend. I greatly respect King Euro and all ... but he must have forgotten he was talking about Austin, where it doesn't rain much and NEVER snows.

And now...and now..you have just jinxed the whole works Porta...LOL

[Portastorm]

The 0z Euro, should it verify, has Austin getting 12 1/2" of rain this weekend. I greatly respect King Euro and all ... but he must have forgotten he was talking about Austin, where it doesn't rain much and NEVER snows.

And now...and now..you have just jinxed the whole works Porta...LOL

Listen, if I had that much power, I would have anti-jinxed Austin a long time ago to make it snow! LOL.

Harvey has me worried all kidding aside. Potential there for a lot of misery in Texas by next week.

[Tireman4]

The 0z Euro, should it verify, has Austin getting 12 1/2" of rain this weekend. I greatly respect King Euro and all ... but he must have forgotten he was talking about Austin, where it doesn't rain much and NEVER snows.

And now...and now..you have just jinxed the whole works Porta...LOL

Listen, if I had that much power, I would have anti-jinxed Austin a long time ago to make it snow! LOL.

Harvey has me worried all kidding aside. Potential there for a lot of misery in Texas by next week.

Agreed...I have a bad feeling about this.....

[weatherdude1108]

And now...and now..you have just jinxed the whole works Porta...LOL

Listen, if I had that much power, I would have anti-jinxed Austin a long time ago to make it snow! LOL.

Harvey has me worried all kidding aside. Potential there for a lot of misery in Texas by next week.

Agreed...I have a bad feeling about this.....

Where do you see the amount of rain on the Euro? I have never found the rain on the Euro model, with Tropical Tidbits. I only find it on the GFS model (Tropical Tidbits). Is there some magic button somewhere? The Euro rainfall is obviously on there somewhere, as multiple people have mentioned it.

[Portastorm]

Specific Euro data from paid site. You cannot get specific stuff from the free access. The 12.5" amount came from an actual meteogram for Camp Mabry. I'm not freaking out by any means but it does show the potential out there. Everyone in the southern half of the state needs to get ready now and be prepared.

[Brent]

Euro near or just a tad south of Corpus Christi, weaker

All of my life I've wanted to experience a hurricane, but definitely not what the GFS was showing. A cat 4 right over my house. Maybe a strong cat one or a weak cat 2 would be about as much as I'd ever want to experience so this run of the Euro pleases me much more than what the GFS was showing.

Its not what its put up to be. A TS might be a good experience, but a hurricane is more intense. Once you go through without electricity for days and no access to stores etc you realize the rush disappears fast. And dealing with insurance afterward is a headache.

I liken it to big hailstorms. It may be a rush to see one happen elsewhere but once it happens to you, you will always hope the next one misses you

I haven't been through a full fledged hurricane on the coast, but when I lived in Alabama I went through at least 2 hurricanes(Opal and Ivan) that were still a hurricane when they got inland(no water, just wind)... and yeah... once the power goes out it loses its luster quickly. Ivan was at least better since I was much older and more aware and was daylight where we lived.

[Brent]

Austin gets the eye on the GFS

[Portastorm]

Okay ... you guys KNOW that won't happen, right?! LOL. It won't. I'm here. That's why it won't.

[weatherdude1108]

I just saw that! Seems to be wobbling paths with each run. Porta's right. If he's here, it won't happen.

[Brent]

then it spends 4 days moving at a crawl towards Louisiana, still near Houston on Monday

Feet of rain in Houston this run

UKMET Into Galveston again

[starsfan65]

then it spends 4 days moving at a crawl towards Louisiana, still near Houston on Monday

Feet of rain in Houston this run

UKMET Into Galveston again

What effects will Harvey have in DFW?

[Brent]

then it spends 4 days moving at a crawl towards Louisiana, still near Houston on Monday

Feet of rain in Houston this run

UKMET Into Galveston again

What effects will Harvey have in DFW?

If models are right, not much impact... we will be on the dry side and have sinking air... could actually be a nice weekend with cooler air maybe

most of the rain would stay below Waco

[starsfan65]

then it spends 4 days moving at a crawl towards Louisiana, still near Houston on Monday

Feet of rain in Houston this run

UKMET Into Galveston again

What effects will Harvey have in DFW?

If models are right, not much impact... we will be on the dry side and have sinking air... could actually be a nice weekend with cooler air maybe

most of the rain would stay below Waco

It could still get some rain out of Harvey according to the GFS.

[TheProfessor]

Been paying too much attention to the tropical system that I forgot my umbrella today and got caught in a storm lol.

[Brent]

What effects will Harvey have in DFW?

If models are right, not much impact... we will be on the dry side and have sinking air... could actually be a nice weekend with cooler air maybe

most of the rain would stay below Waco

It could still get some rain out of Harvey according to the GFS.

really really depends on track... would need to come up 35 pretty far basically to get significant rain here(more than a band or two)... if it trends more east towards Galveston and Louisiana we'll be dry

[Ntxw]

Yeah, and the stronger Harvey is the more it will be tightly wrapped with core weather closer to center and east side. One thing is for sure, since it opened up most of the convection has shifted north to the upper Yucatan, thus more and more likely a Texas direct storm vs N Mex. Question is how quickly it can intensify in the WGOM

[Tireman4]

Yeah, and the stronger Harvey is the more it will be tightly wrapped with core weather closer to center and east side. One thing is for sure, since it opened up most of the convection has shifted north to the upper Yucatan, thus more and more likely a Texas direct storm vs N Mex. Question is how quickly it can intensify in the WGOM

Also until we have a point of something to base a track on, the models are just conjecture...I would think

[starsfan65]

If models are right, not much impact... we will be on the dry side and have sinking air... could actually be a nice weekend with cooler air maybe

most of the rain would stay below Waco

It could still get some rain out of Harvey according to the GFS.

really really depends on track... would need to come up 35 pretty far basically to get significant rain here(more than a band or two)... if it trends more east towards Galveston and Louisiana we'll be dry

We got to hope for a south of Galveston landfall.